NA-55 Rawalpindi-IV
| NA-55 Rawalpindi-IV | |
|---|---|
| Constituency for the National Assembly of Pakistan | |
.svg) | |
 Location of Rawalpindi District in Pakistan. | |
| Region | Rawalpindi city area of Rawalpindi District |
| Electorate | 431,832 [1] |
| Current constituency | |
| Party | Pakistan Muslim League (N) |
| Member(s) | Malik Ibrar Ahmed |
| Created from | NA-54 Rawalpindi-V |
NA-55 Rawalpindi-IV (این اے-55، راولپنڈی-4) is a constituency for the National Assembly of Pakistan.[2]
Boundaries
[edit]The constituency was renamed NA-61 Rawalpindi-V from NA-54 and was delimited to include all of Rawalpindi Cantonment and three census charges of Chaklala Cantonment.[3] In the earlier delimitation, much of Chaklala was included in this constituency.[4] Now that area has been shifted to the new NA-60 (old NA-56).
Members of Parliament
[edit]1977–2002: NA-40 Rawalpindi-V
[edit]| Election | Member | Party | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1977 | Abdul Qayyum Butt | PPP | |
| 1985 | Chaudhry Nisar Ali Khan | Independent | |
| 1988 | Chaudhry Nisar Ali Khan | IJI | |
| 1990 | Chaudhry Nisar Ali Khan | IJI | |
| 1993 | Chaudhry Nisar Ali Khan | PML-N | |
| 1997 | Chaudhry Nisar Ali Khan | PML-N | |
2002–2018: NA-54 Rawalpindi-V
[edit]| Election | Member | Party | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | Zamarud Khan | PPPP | |
| 2008 | Malik Ibrar Ahmed | PML-N | |
| 2013 | Malik Ibrar Ahmed | PML-N | |
2018–2023: NA-61 Rawalpindi-V
[edit]| Election | Member | Party | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Aamir Mehmood Kiani | PTI | |
2024–present: NA-55 Rawalpindi-IV
[edit]| Election | Member | Party | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Malik Ibrar Ahmed | PML-N | |
Party Trends
[edit]Initially a bastion of the left-wing Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP) in the 1970 and 1977 elections, the constituency of Rawalpindi-V has seen a strong shift towards the conservative center-right parties since Zia's Islamist regime.
Candidates associated with the Pakistan Muslim League (N) (formally IJI) have performed considerably well in the general elections from this constituency. Since the 1988 elections, the party's candidates have won the constituency six times out of seven times, with the left-wing PPP only making winning inroads in the 2002 elections. This includes the 1988–1997 unbeaten streak of Nisar Ali Khan, who has never lost in this constituency. However, since the constituency delimitation in 2002, Nisar's traditional votebank has shifted into the predominantly rural NA-52, where he continues to dominate. While the NA-54 has become a predominantly urban constituency with votebanks for all major political parties.[5]
However, since the reentry of the democratic socialist Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf into the fold of national politics in the 2013 elections, there has been a marked shift in the choices of the constituency's voters, with the party becoming a second major force in the area after PML-N.[6]
Voting Patterns
[edit]The voting pattern in NA-54 shows a division of votes between two parties or candidates, with other candidates playing a minor role in the elections. In 2002, the top two contenders received 72% of the polls with the winner securing the seat following a close competition with the runner-up. The winner's share increased sharply in 2008, when the top two contenders received 88% of the polled votes. According to the results, the winner secured the seat with a margin of 23.4% votes, showing a clear dominance in the elections. The polls in 2013 also witnessed a close race between the top two candidates, who secured 87% of the polled votes. Historical data shows that the second runner-up's share has decreased consistently over the years, indicating a clear two-party race in the constituency. Given the consistent voting pattern, the next polls may witness a similar trend. However, the decrease in the winner's share and the close race in 2013 suggest that an alliance between the runners-up may yield different results in upcoming elections.[7]
Detailed Results
[edit]Election 1988
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IJI | Chaudhary Nisar Ali Khan | 64,186 | 48.8 | – | |
| PPP | Habib Khan | 57,878 | 44.0 | – | |
| PAT | Muhammad Akram Shah | 8,669 | 6.6† | – | |
| Turnout | 131,432 | 59.99 | – | ||
†As Pakistan Awami Ittehad.
Election 1990
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IJI | Chaudhary Nisar Ali Khan | 78,530 | 55.5 |  6.7
| |
| PPP | Ghulam Sarwar Khan | 63,021 | 44.5† | 0.5
| |
| Turnout | 141,551 | 62.59 | 2.60
| ||
†As People's Democratic Alliance.
Election 1993
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PML(N) | Chaudhary Nisar Ali Khan | 76,288 | 51.6† |  3.9
| |
| PPP | Ghulam Sarwar Khan | 64,800 | 43.8 | 0.7
| |
| JI | Dr. Muhammad Kamal | 6,898 | 4.7‡ | 4.7
| |
| Turnout | 147,986 | 60.65 | 1.94
| ||
† The Islami Jamhoori Ittehad was dissolved prior to the 1993 general elections, as JUI-F, JUI-S, and JI parted ways from the alliance. Subsequently, the core of the party, the Muslim League – Nawaz, contested elections for the first time as the Pakistan Muslim League (N).
‡As the Pakistan Islamic Front.
Election 1997
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PML(N) | Chaudhry Nisar Ali Khan | 64,186 | 51.3 | 0.3
| |
| PPP | Ghulam Sarwar Khan | 57,878 | 46.3 | 2.5
| |
| PTI | Chaudhry Ghulam Jillani | 3,588 | 2.3 | 2.3
| |
| MQM | Dr. Abdul Qadir Khan | 1,243 | 1.0† | 1.0
| |
| Turnout | 125,094 | 48.52 | 12.13
| ||
†As Haq Parast Group.
Election 2002
[edit]General elections were held on 10 Oct 2002. Zamurd Khan of the PPP won by 31,491 votes.[8]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPP | Zamarud Khan | 31,491 | 38.3 | 6
| |
| PML(N) | Raja Zafar-ul-Haq | 28,805 | 35.0 | 16.1
| |
| MMA | Shaukat Aziz Siddiqui | 12,676 | 15.4 | 15.4
| |
| PML(Z) | Ijaz-ul-Haq | 4,164 | 5.0 | 5.0
| |
| Turnout | 82,292 | 39.97 | 8.55
| ||
Election 2008
[edit]Malik Ibrar Ahmed of the Pakistan Muslim League (N) succeeded in the election of 2008 and became a member of the National Assembly. The 2008 elections also saw the lowest turnout in the history of this constituency, at just 38.5%.[9]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PML(N) | Malik Ibrar Ahmed | 58,228 | 56.38 | |||
| PPP | Zumarad Khan | 33,749 | 32.68 | |||
| PML(Q) | Muhammad Basharat Raja | 10,400 | 10.07 | |||
| Others | Others (ten candidates) | 910 | 0.87 | |||
| Turnout | 104,501 | 38.51 | ||||
| Total valid votes | 103,287 | 98.84 | ||||
| Rejected ballots | 1,214 | 1.16 | ||||
| Majority | 24,479 | 23.70 | ||||
| Registered electors | 271,396 | |||||
| PML(N) gain from PPP | ||||||
†PML-Q's Allama Ayaz Zahir Hashmi competed in the 2002 elections and got 1,640 votes.
Election 2013
[edit]General elections were held on 11 May 2013. A total of 166,523 votes were cast of which 165,049 were deemed valid. The overall turnout of the constituency was 55.36%.[10] Malik Ibrar Ahmed of PML-N won by 7,649 votes and became the member of National Assembly.[11]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PML(N) | Malik Ibrar Ahmed | 76,336 | 46.25 | ||
| PTI | Hina Manzoor | 68,687 | 41.62 | ||
| PPP | Zumarad Khan | 13,185 | 7.99 | ||
| Others | Others (nineteen candidates) | 6,841 | 4.14 | ||
| Turnout | 166,850 | 55.47 | |||
| Total valid votes | 165,049 | 98.92 | |||
| Rejected ballots | 1,801 | 1.08 | |||
| Majority | 7,649 | 4.63 | |||
| Registered electors | 300,816 | ||||
| PML(N) hold | |||||
Election 2018
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PTI | Aamir Mehmood Kiani | 105,086 | 50.74 | 9.14
| |
| PML(N) | Malik Ibrar Ahmed | 60,135 | 29.04 | 17.26
| |
| TLP | Syed Shahid Pervez | 9,249 | 4.90 | 4.90
| |
| MMA | Mian Zafar Yasin | 3,899 | 2.06 | 0.26†
| |
| PPP | Muhammad Gulzar | 2,653 | 1.40 | 6.60
| |
| Others | Others (fourteen candidates) | 5,134 | 2.72 | ||
| Turnout | 188,980 | 51.38 | 3.98
| ||
| Rejected ballots | 2,898 | 1.54 | |||
| Majority | 44,875 | 23.74 | |||
| Registered electors | 367,782 | ||||
| PTI gain from PML(N) | |||||
†JI contested as part of MMA.
Election 2024
[edit]General elections were held on 8 February 2024. Malik Ibrar Ahmed won the election with 112,345 votes.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PML(N) | Malik Ibrar Ahmed | 112,345 | 47.80 | 18.76
| |
| Independent | Muhammad Basharat Raja[a] | 96,799 | 41.18 | 9.56
| |
| Others | Others (twenty-eight candidates) | 25,910 | 11.02 | ||
| Turnout | 238,873 | 55.32 | 3.94
| ||
| Total valid votes | 235,054 | 98.40 | |||
| Rejected ballots | 3,819 | 1.60 | |||
| Majority | 15,546 | 6.61 | |||
| Registered electors | 431,832 | ||||
| PML(N) gain from PTI | |||||
See also
[edit]Notes
[edit]- ^ Filed nomination papers as PTI candidate but ECP allowed him to run as an Independent
References
[edit]- ^ "Election Commission of Pakistan". ecp.gov.pk. Retrieved 6 January 2024.
- ^ "ECP - Election Commission of Pakistan". www.ecp.gov.pk. Retrieved 25 December 2022.
- ^ Final List of National Assembly Constituencies (PDF). Election Commission of Pakistan. 2018. p. 13. Archived (PDF) from the original on 10 May 2018. Retrieved 18 May 2018.
- ^ Pakistan, Election Commission of (2002). Final List of National Assembly Constituencies (PDF). The Gazette of Pakistan. p. 19. Archived (PDF) from the original on 10 May 2018. Retrieved 10 May 2018.
- ^ "Constituency profile: Where biradaris trump ideology". The Express Tribune. Archived from the original on 3 June 2016. Retrieved 11 May 2016.
- ^ "NA-54 Detailed Result, GE 2013". ElectionPakistani.com. Archived from the original on 3 May 2016. Retrieved 11 May 2016.
- ^ National Assembly Election Results Analysis Report. FAFEN. p. 238. Archived from the original on 15 May 2016. Retrieved 11 May 2016.
- ^ "Pakistan GE Results 2002" (PDF). ECP.gov.pk. Election Commission of Pakistan. Archived from the original (PDF) on 22 December 2015. Retrieved 13 December 2015.
- ^ "Election result 2008 for NA-54". ECP. Archived from the original on June 3, 2016. Retrieved May 11, 2016.
- ^ "General Elections 2013 Results Portal". ECP.gov.pk. Election Commission of Pakistan. Archived from the original on 19 June 2016.
- ^ "National Assembly of Pakistan". www.na.gov.pk. Archived from the original on 30 September 2016. Retrieved 28 July 2018.
- ^ "ECP – Election Commission of Pakistan". www.ecp.gov.pk. Archived from the original on 29 July 2018. Retrieved 28 July 2018.
External links
[edit]- Election result's official website
- Delimitation 2018 official website Election Commission of Pakistan