List of paleotempestology records
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Paleotempestology is the study of past tropical cyclone activity by means of geological proxies as well as historical documentary records. The term was coined by American meteorologist Kerry Emanuel.
Examples
[edit]Place | Country/state | Data sources | Duration of the record, in years | Conclusions | Sources | Approximate coordinates |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actun Tunichil Muknal | Belize | Oxygen and carbon isotopes in a quickly growing stalagmite | AD 1977 – 2000 | Strong correlation of hits by named tropical cyclones with isotope ratio variations | [1][2][3] | 17°07′03″N 88°53′26″W / 17.1174957°N 88.8904667°W[4] |
Amur Bay | Russia | Sediments from floods | 1,800 | Low storm activity in the last 500 years, probably correlated to the Little Ice Age but continuing into the 19th and 20th century | [5] | 43°05′29″N 131°26′56″E / 43.0914432°N 131.4489867°E[6] |
Angliers Pond | Florida | Lake sediments | AD 1920 | Three storm deposits, linked presumably to Hurricane Donna, Great Miami Hurricane and 1921 Tampa hurricane | [7] | 26°25′N 82°04′W / 26.42°N 82.06°W[8] |
Ara River | Japan | River terraces formed by typhoon flooding | 11,600 | Intense flooding during the late glacial to 5,000 – 4,500 years ago indicate increased typhoon activity, followed by a period of less intense activity until about 2,350 years ago | [9] | 35°N 140°E / 35°N 140°E[10] |
Bay Jimmy | Louisiana | Seafloor sediments | 1,200 years | Four intense storms, including two recent ones | [11] | 29°27′06″N 89°54′03″W / 29.4517531°N 89.9007164°W"Bay Jimmy" (Map). Google Maps. Retrieved 23 December 2020. |
Barbuda | Antigua and Barbuda | Sediments in a coastal lagoon | 5,000 | Inactive period between 2,500 – 1,500 years, preceded and followed by more active periods | [12] | 17°38′10″N 61°52′45″W / 17.6361809°N 61.8792619°W[13] |
Basin Bayou | Florida | Overwash and inundation deposits | 2,000 | Over twice as active as today 900–1050 CE, with less activity 250 - 650 CE and 1150 - 1850 CE | [14] | 30°29′23″N 86°14′47″W / 30.4897°N 86.2463°W[15] |
Belize, central | Belize | Overwash deposits | 500 | 1.2-1 catastrophic storms per century including one very strong storm before 1500AD | [16] | 17°00′N 88°15′W / 17.000°N 88.250°W[17] |
Belize, south-central | Belize | Sediments | 7,000 | Several active periods, between 6,900 – 6,700, 6,050 – 5,750, 5,450 – 4,750, 4,200 – 3,200, 2,600 – 1,450 and 600 – c. 200 years ago | [18] | 16°54′N 88°18′W / 16.9°N 88.3°W[19] |
Big Pine Key | Florida | Tree ring evidence of storm damage | AD 1700–present | Decreased activity correlated to decreased shipwreck rates in the Maunder Minimum | [20] | 25°N 80°W / 25°N 80°W[21] |
Blackwood Sinkhole | Bahamas | Sand deposits in sinkhole | 3,000 | A stage without intense storms between 2,900 – 2,500 years ago, followed by an active period that lasted until 1,000 years ago. Two intense events about 500 years ago and an increase between 300 – 100 years ago | [22] | 27°N 78°W / 27°N 78°W[23] |
Brigantine, New Jersey | New Jersey | Sediments | 1,500 | Two strong storms between 600–700 and 700–1,400 AD; nor'easters are also recorded here | [24][25][26] | 39°24′7″N 74°21′52″W / 39.40194°N 74.36444°W[27] |
Cenote Chaltun Ha | Yucatan | Mud layers in speleothems | AD 365 – 2007 | Frequent flooding during the 7th, 9th and 19th century with less common flooding during the 13th and 15–17th centuries. Also, evidence of strong tropical cyclone strikes during the Terminal Classic Maya | [28] | 20°28′N 89°10′W / 20.46°N 89.17°W[29] |
Commerce Bight Lagoon | Belize | Sediment cores | 7,000 | Active periods between 600 and 200, 1,450 – 2,600, 3,200 – 4,200, 4,750 – 5,450, 5,750 – 6,050 years ago | [30] | 16°50′N 88°20′W / 16.833°N 88.333°W[31] |
Charlotte Harbor | Florida | Sediments | 8,000 | Increased activity between 3,000 – 2,000 years ago and also during El Nino-leaning periods | [32] | 26°50′N 82°5′W / 26.833°N 82.083°W[33] |
Chaungtha | Myanmar | Washover deposits | Cyclone Mala and two older tropical cyclones | [34] | 16°56′51″N 94°22′13″E / 16.947505°N 94.370262°E[35] | |
Chenier Plain | Louisiana | Sediments in coastal plain | 600 | 7 hurricanes with category 3 or more intensity are known in the last 600 years, giving a frequency of 1.2 storms per century. Among the storms are Hurricane Audrey and Hurricane Rita | [36] | 29°45′54″N 93°48′02″W / 29.7649394°N 93.8004488°W[37][38] |
Chezzetcook Inlet | Nova Scotia | Sediment analysis | 1,000 | Potential storm deposits at 1200 AD, AD 1831 and AD 1848, the middle of which is correlated to a major storm; also an inactive phase in the 1950s and 1970s | [39] | 44°42′13″N 63°15′30″W / 44.7035527°N 63.2583217°W[40] |
Cowley Beach | Queensland | Beach ridges | 5,740 | Low activity between 1,820 – 850 and 2,580 – 3,230 years ago | [41] | 17°39′18″S 146°03′35″E / 17.6550966°S 146.0597959°E[42] |
Croatan National Forest | North Carolina | Tree rings | AD 1771 – 2014 | Low activity in 1815–1875 | [43] | 34°58′19″N 77°07′08″W / 34.972°N 77.119°W[44]34°44′35″N 76°59′06″W / 34.743°N 76.985°W[44] |
Culebrita | Puerto Rico | Sediment deposits | 2,200 | Several sand layers may correlate to hurricanes, including one perhaps linked to the 1867 San Narciso hurricane | [45] | 18°19′14″N 65°14′11″W / 18.32056°N 65.23639°W[46] |
Curacoa Island | Queensland | Beach ridges | 6,000 | 22 hits by intense storms in 6,000 years, implying return periods of 280 years | [47] | 18°40′12″S 146°32′08″E / 18.6701289°S 146.5354814°E[48] |
De Soto National Forest | Mississippi | Tree rings | 1540–2012 CE | Reconstruction of annual tropical cyclone rainfall totals, which exhibits a decrease after a major volcanic eruption. Presently the oldest paleohurricane reconstruction using tree rings. | [49] | 31°05′N 89°05′W / 31.08°N 89.08°W[49] |
Durban | South Africa | Submarine deposits | Holocene | Increased storminess during the early Holocene and during times with strong Indian Ocean Dipole activity | [50] | 29°54′S 31°00′E / 29.9°S 31.0°E[51] |
Duri Island | South Korea | Shell-gravel deposits | 1,300 | Storms in 720 ± 60, 880 ± 110, 950 ± 70, 995 ± 120 and 1535 ± 40, the latter occurring during the Little Ice Age and the others during the Medieval Climate Anomaly | [52] | 34°20′0″N 126°36′20″E / 34.33333°N 126.60556°E[53] |
Eshaness | British Isles | Boulders perched on cliffs | 1,400 | Probably not tropical cyclones, but intense storm activity occurred since AD 1950, between 1,300 and 1,900 AD, 700–1,050 AD and 400 – 550 AD | [54][55] | 60°30′N 1°30′W / 60.5°N 1.5°W[56] |
Exmouth Gulf | Australia, northwestern | Washover fans | 3,000 | Tropical cyclone strikes took place 170 – 180 ± 16, 360 ± 30, 850 – 870 ± 60, 1,290 – 1,300 ± 90, 1,950 – 1,960 ± 90, 2,260 – 2,300 ± 120 and 2,830 – 2,850 ± 120 years ago, consistent with expectations based on sea surface temperature variations | [57][58] | 22°15′00″S 114°13′57″E / 22.2499987°S 114.2324904°E[59] |
Falso Bluff Marsh | Nicaragua | Sediment deposits | 5,400 | Last 800 years have an active climate with a return period of about 140–180 years, while between 800 and 2,800 the return period was only once between 600 and 2,100 years and another quiet period between 4,900 – 5,400 years ago; between 2,800 and 4,900 no records | [60] | 12°6.72′N 83°41.42′W / 12.11200°N 83.69033°W[61] |
Folly Island | South Carolina | Back-barrier marshes | 4,600 | The last 4,600 years may have seen 27 storms, as well as 11 major storms in the last 3,300 years | [62] | 32°40′04″N 80°00′02″W / 32.6676908°N 80.0004962°W[63] |
Frankland Islands | Queensland | Coastal ridges and coral mortality | 510 | Active periods are known from 1980 to 2000, 1940–1960, 1860–1880, 1800–1830, 1760–1780, 1700–1720, 1630–1650, 1570–1590 | [64] | 17°13′05″S 146°04′05″E / 17.2180577°S 146.0681264°E[65] |
France | France | Tempestites | Kimmeridgian | Intense tropical cyclone activity from storms coming off the Tethys | [66] | Inapplicable |
Gales Point | Belize | Sediment cores | 5,500 | In the last 5,500 years 16 major hurricanes | [67][68] | 17°10′N 88°15′W / 17.167°N 88.250°W[17] |
Grand Case | St. Martin | Sediments | 4,280 | Active period between 3,700 – 1,800 years ago, while 1,800 –800 years ago was inactive | [69][70] | 18°5′N 63°5′W / 18.083°N 63.083°W[71] |
Grape Tree Pond | Jamaica | Sediments | 900-2,011 AD | Subdued activity between 900-1350 and after 1950AD during the recent warm periods and Medieval Climate Anomaly, with increased activity during the Little Ice Age | [72] | 7°53′37″N 76°37′06″W / 7.89361°N 76.61833°W[73] |
Great Bahama Bank | Bahamas | Coarse sediment deposits | 7,000 | Active periods occurred within the last 50 years, between 1,200 and 500 years ago, 2,400 – 1,800 years ago and 4,600 – 3,800 years ago, with low activity before 4,400 years | [74][75] | 25°N 80°W / 25°N 80°W[76] |
Great Blue Hole | Belize | Overwash deposits | 1,885 | Active periods between 800 and 500, 1,300 – 900 or 650 – 1,200 years ago and coinciding with the Medieval Warm Period | [30][77][78] | 17°18′58″N 87°32′07″W / 17.3160476°N 87.5351438°W[79] |
Gulf of Carpentaria | Australia | Beach ridges | 7,500 | Low activity/intensity between 5,500 and 3,500, 2,700–1,800 and 1,000–500 years ago, the former coinciding with the Neoglacial | [80] | 14°07′33″S 134°16′35″E / 14.1257239°S 134.2763924°E[81] |
Gulf of Thailand | Thailand | Beach ridges and a coastal marsh | 8,000 | 18 typhoon strikes in the last 8,000 years, with increased activity in the mid-Holocene until 3,900 years ago (2–5 times more storms) either due to a warmer climate or higher sea level induced better sensitivity to storms | [82] | 12°N 100°E / 12°N 100°E[83] |
Hainan Island | China | Deposits in lakes | 350 | 1–2 typhoons per decade, with higher solar activity, positive Pacific Decadal Oscillation, La Nina and positive North Atlantic Oscillation correlating with decreases | [84] | 18°25′N 110°2′E / 18.417°N 110.033°E[85] |
Hainan Island | China | Coastal dunes | 3,400 | 8 storms in 1095 ± 90 BC, 900–1000 BC, 975 ± 50 AD, 1720 ± 20 AD, 1740 ± 35 AD, 1790 ± 25 AD, 1850 ± 15 AD, and 1895 ± 10 AD | [86] | 19°08′59″N 108°48′42″E / 19.1498174°N 108.8116195°E[87] |
High Atlas | Morocco | Tempestite | Toarcian | Increased tropical cyclone activity during the hot Toarcian Oceanic Anoxic Event | [88] | Inapplicable |
Cay Sal Bank | Bahamas | Subaqueous sediments | 530 | On average 18.7-20.6 category 1+ storms per century. 34 storms between 770 to 1870 CE, only 8 between 1916 and 2016[89] | 23°52′30″N 79°45′00″W / 23.875°N 79.75°W[90] | |
Ilan Plain | Taiwan | River erosion sediments in a lake | 2,000 | Between 500 – 700 and after AD 1400 intense typhoon rainfall | [91] | 24°36′N 121°36′E / 24.600°N 121.600°E[92] |
Israel | Israel | Oxygen isotope ratios in rocks | Cretaceous-Miocene | Intense tropical cyclone activity in the Tethys until its closure 20 million years ago | [93] | Inapplicable |
Jiangsu | China | Tidal flat deposits | 2,000 | ENSO and ITCZ influences; anticorrelation between Japan/Korea and SE China typhoon activity | [94] | 33°30′N 121°00′E / 33.5°N 121.0°E[95] |
Kamikoshiki-jima | Japan | Sediments in coastal lagoons | 6,400 | Higher typhoon activity at the time of the Kamikaze typhoons, with high activity between 3,600 – 2,500 and between 1,000 – 300 years ago | [96][97] | 31°50′N 129°50′E / 31.833°N 129.833°E[98] |
Island Bay | Florida | Overwash deposits | 1,000 | 3–4 storms in the last 500 years, 1–2 in 150 – 500 years before present and 11 storms between 1,000 – 500 years ago, all probably major hurricanes; one of the storms in the last 50 years is Hurricane Donna while the other might either be 1926 Miami hurricane, 1910 Cuba hurricane or the 1873 Central Florida Hurricane | [99] | 26°02′44″N 81°48′42″W / 26.0456022°N 81.8116322°W[100] |
Kimberley | Australia | Flood deposits in stalagmites | 2,200 | Moderate activity between 1,450 – 850 AD and low activity between 500 – 850 and 1,450 – 1,650 AD | [101] | 15°11′S 128°22′E / 15.18°S 128.37°E[102] |
Lady Elliot Island | Queensland | Beach ridges | 3,200 | Strong storms (at least Category 4 or Category 5) occur every 253 years | [103] | 24°06′47″S 152°42′38″E / 24.1131252°S 152.7106403°E[104] |
Laguna Alejandro | Dominican Republic | Sediment analysis | 910 | Strikes c. 910, 800, 730, 530, 500, 330, 260, 210, 200 and 170 years ago | [105] | 18°18′47″N 71°01′51″W / 18.313097°N 71.030802°W[106] |
Laguna Negra | Nicaragua | Deposits in a coastal lake | 8,000 | One very strong storm ("Hurricane Elisenda") 3,340 ± 50 years ago, at the same time as increased storm activity in Alabama and Florida | [107] | 12°2′42.05″N 83°55′39.22″W / 12.0450139°N 83.9275611°W[108] |
Laguna Madre | Texas | Storm deposits | 3350 BC–AD 1050 | 0.46% probability of landfall any given year | [74] | 26°41′05″N 97°32′23″W / 26.6847955°N 97.5397182°W[109] |
Laguna Playa Grande | Puerto Rico | Overwash sediments | 5,000 | 0.48% probability of landfall any given year, but an active period in the last 250 years and previous active periods between 2,500 – 1,000 and 3,600 – 5,400 years ago. El Nino is linked with lower activity, a strong West African Monsoon with higher activity | [74][110][111] | 18°05′N 65°31′W / 18.09°N 65.52°W[112] |
Lake Daija | Japan | Sediments in a coastal lagoon | 2,000 | Beginning at 250 AD increased activity, while a quiet period has lasted from 1600 AD to today. Typhoon Jean, Typhoon Grace and others have been identified, including two deposits that may correlate to the Kamikaze typhoons which also coincide within an active period. Recorded storms appear to be of category 3 or higher strength | [113] | 32°14′N 129°59′E / 32.24°N 129.98°E[96] |
Lake Shelby | Alabama | Storm deposits | 4,800 | 11 intense storms between 3,500 and 700 years ago, a quiet period before 3,200 radiocarbon years ago may be either a stage of inactivity or a change in the lake environment. Comparisons to Hurricane Frederic and Hurricane Ivan imply that the intense storms reached category 4 or 5 intensity | [114][74][115][116] | 30°15′N 87°40′W / 30.250°N 87.667°W[117] |
Lake Tiriara | Cook Islands | Minerals from simultaneous seawater intrusion and island erosion | 3,500 | Two storms between 3,200 – 2,800 and 200 years ago | [118] | 21°57′S 157°57′W / 21.950°S 157.950°W[119] |
Lantau Island | Hong Kong | Marine sediments | 1,200 | Increased storm intensity during the Medieval Warm Period, with more but possibly weaker storms during the Little Ice Age and an increase in storm intensity after it | [120] | 22°07′N 113°32′E / 22.12°N 113.53°E[121] |
Lingyang Reef | South China Sea | Storm deposits | 3,500 | Between 3,100 – 1,800 years ago only weak activity, followed and preceded by strong activity; intense storms about once every ten years in the last 3,500 years and the storm activity correlates to sea surface temperatures | [122] | 16°28′N 111°35′E / 16.467°N 111.583°E[123] |
Little Lake | Alabama | Overwash deposits | 1,200 | Seven strikes in 1,200 years, including Hurricane Ivan | [124][125] | 30°16.38′N 87°36.92′W / 30.27300°N 87.61533°W[125] |
Little Sippewissett Marsh | Massachusetts | Overwash deposits | 400 | Annual landfall probability is about 2.3%, 4% in the last 50 years | [126] | 41°30′N 71°30′W / 41.500°N 71.500°W[127] |
Long Island | New York | Overwash deposits | 3,500 | Increased activity during the Little Ice Age and an inactive period between 900 and 250 years ago | [128] | 40°35′N 73°36′W / 40.59°N 73.6°W[25] |
Long Island blue hole | Bahamas | Deposits in blue holes | 1,050 | Active between 1,245–1,290, 1,395–1,500, 1,590–1,650 and 1,775–1,845 AD in particular the most recent period. Inactive during 1,161–1,213, 1,528–1,585, 1,651–1,713, 1,877–1,927 and 1,933–2,003 AD | [129] | 23°15′54″N 75°07′01″W / 23.265°N 75.117°W[130] |
Lower Mystic Lake | Massachusetts | Varves formed by post-storm sedimentation | 1000 | Up to eight Category 2–3 hurricanes occurred per century in the 12th to 16th century, while the preceding and the two subsequent ones only saw 2–3 such storms per century | [54][131] | 42°25.60′N 71°8.8′W / 42.42667°N 71.1467°W[131] |
Manatee Bay | Jamaica | Multideposits | 1,200 | Four overwash deposits, one of which probably from a tsunami and the most recent one from Hurricane Ivan and Hurricane Dean | [132] | 17°50′36″N 76°59′10″W / 17.8432086°N 76.9861149°W"Manatee Bay" (Map). Google Maps. Retrieved 23 December 2020. |
Mangrove Lake | Bermuda | Lagoon deposits | 1,600 years | Increased activity between 1,200 - 1,800 AD | [133] | |
Mattapoisett Marsh | Massachusetts | Storm inundation deposits | 2,200 | Inactive period between 2,200 and 1,000 followed by an active period in the last 800 years | [24][134] | 41°30′N 71°00′W / 41.5°N 71°W[135] |
Miaodao | China | Storm deposits | 80,000 | Marine isotope stage 5e storm frequency comparable to that of Holocene low-latitude China | [136] | 37°56′31.9″N 120°40′35.9″E / 37.942194°N 120.676639°E[137] |
Middle Caicos Island | Turks and Caicos Islands | Sediments | Past 1,520 years | Maximum activity between 1,550-1,900 with 8 events/century. Active periods in 690-760, 960-1,100, 1,550-1,900 and inactive ones in 98-595, 618-690, 758-813, 831-901, 1,444-1,514 and 1,961-2,017 AD | [138] | 21°43′N 71°49′W / 21.72°N 71.81°W[139] |
Mullet Pond | Florida | Sediments in a sinkhole | 4,500 | Active periods with intense storms 650 – 750 years ago, 925 – 875 years ago, 1,250 – 1,150 years ago, 2,800 – 2,300 years ago, 3,350 – 3,250 years ago, 3,600 – 3,500 years ago and 3,950 – 3,650 years ago; the maximum occurrence rate between 2,300 and 2,800 years ago saw six storms per century while the last 150 years have been fairly inactive. Mullet Pond records also somewhat weaker storms and shows a recurrence rate of 3.9 events per century. | [74][140][141][142] | 30°00′N 84°30′W / 30°N 84.5°W[143] |
Onslow Bay | North Carolina | Backbarrier deposits | 1,500 | Poor preservation; only 5–8 deposits in 1,500 years | [144] | 34°N 77°W / 34°N 77°W[145] |
Oyster Pond | Massachusetts | Sand layers in organic deposits | 1,250 | One of the earliest paleotempestological records; nine sand layers were interpreted as evidence for hurricanes | [146][147] | 41°40′44″N 69°58′37″W / 41.6789627°N 69.977068°W[148] |
Pascagoula Marsh | Louisiana | Sediments | 4,500 (radiocarbon years) | Storms occur about all 300 years; hyperactive period between 3,800 and 1,000 years ago | [149] | 30°21′45″N 88°37′25″W / 30.3624983°N 88.6235212°W[150] |
Pearl River Marsh | Louisiana | Sediments | 4,500 (radiocarbon years) | Storms occur about all 300 years; hyperactive period between 3,800 and 1,000 years ago | [149] | |
Pinqing Lagoon | Guangdong Province, China | Sediments | 1,850 CE - present | Seven typhoons in 130 years | [151] | 22°46′N 115°24′E / 22.77°N 115.4°E[152] |
Playa Los Cocos | Baja California Sur, Mexico | Sediments | One tsunami 530 BP and hurricanes 770, 600, 280 and 0 (Hurricane Olivia most likely) BP | [153] | 26°27′N 111°33′W / 26.45°N 111.55°W[154] | |
Princess Charlotte Bay | Queensland, Australia | Beach ridges | 3,000 | 12 hits by intense storms in 6,000 years, implying return periods of 180 years | [47] | 14°25′00″S 143°58′57″E / 14.4166658°S 143.9824904°E[155] |
Chillagoe | Queensland | Stalagmites | 800 | 2 strong storms between AD 1400 – 1600 after two centuries without one, seven strong storms between AD 1600 and AD 1800 and only one strong storm after that | [54][156] | 17°12′S 144°36′E / 17.2°S 144.6°E[156] |
Robinson Lake | Nova Scotia | Sediments in lake | 800 | Storms at c. 1475, 1530, 1575, 1670 and Hurricane Juan. The record probably reflects storms of at least category 2 | [157] | 44°39.114′N 63°16.631′W / 44.651900°N 63.277183°W[158] |
Rockingham Bay | Queensland | Sand ridges | 5,000 | Intense storms occurred between 130 and 1,550 years ago as well as between 3,380 – 5,010 years ago, while the time between 1,550 – 2,280 years ago had very weak storms | [159] | 18°02′S 146°3′E / 18.033°S 146.050°E[160] |
Salt Pond | Massachusetts | Sediments in a lake | 2,000 | 35 hurricanes with active periods between 150 -1,150 AD and 1,400 – 1,675 AD; one historical hurricane (Hurricane Bob) recorded; some storms are stronger than the most intense hurricane there, the Great Colonial Hurricane of 1635 | [161] | |
San Salvador Island | Bahamas | Lake sediments | 4,000 | Increased storm activity between 3,400 and 1,000 years ago. Recurrence rate of strong hurricanes appears to be much less than the historical rate, which may be due to measurement issues | [162] | 24°05′N 74°30′W / 24.083°N 74.500°W[163] |
Santiago de Cuba | Cuba | Deposits in a coastal lagoon | 4,000 | Active periods occurred between 2,600 – 1,800 years ago and between 500 and 250 years ago | [164] | 19°56′55″N 76°32′22″W / 19.9486°N 76.5395°W[165] |
Scarborough Shoal | South China Sea | Coral boulders | Northward migration of typhoon activity during the recent warm period | [166] | 15°09′18″N 117°39′00″E / 15.155°N 117.65°E[167] | |
Scrub Island | Anguilla | Lagoon deposits | 1,600 | Two tsunami deposits, one of which linked to the 1755 Lisbon earthquake. Of the 23 remaining deposits most likely linked to hurricanes, one probably belongs to Hurricane Dog in 1950 and another to an unnamed hurricane in 1923. Increased activity in 445–525, 720–835, 1080–1230, 1625–1695, 1745–1890 and 1920–1970 including the Medieval Warm Period and decreased activity in 560, ~670, 965–1020,1400–1600, ~1740 cal. CE. | [168] | 18°20′N 63°00′W / 18.333°N 63.000°W[169] |
Sea Breeze | New Jersey | Sediments | AD 214 – present | Storm deposits were emplaced between AD1875-1925, before AD1827, before AD1665-1696, in the 14th–15th century, before AD950-1040, AD429-966 and before AD260-520 | [170] | 39°19′N 75°19′W / 39.317°N 75.317°W[171] |
Seoraksan National Park | South Korea | Tree rings | AS 1,652 - 2,005 | Decreasing landfalling storms after volcanic eruptions. High activity between 1993 and 1997 | [172] | 38°10′N 128°20′E / 38.167°N 128.333°E[173] |
Seguine Pond | New York | Overwash deposits | 300 | Severe storm surges associated with the 1821 Norfolk and Long Island hurricane and Hurricane Sandy | [174] | 40°33′52″N 74°17′13″W / 40.564521°N 74.2869025°W[175] |
Shark Bay | Western Australia | Shell beach ridge | 6,000 | An inactive period between about 5,400 and 3,700 years ago accompanied by drought. Storm intensity indicated by the ridges is about category 2–4 on the Saffir-Simpson scale, while no case of category 5 is inferred | [54][176] | 26°30′S 113°36′E / 26.5°S 113.6°E[177] |
Shark River Slough | Florida | Sediment cores | 4,600 | Decrease of storm activity after 2,800 years ago | [178] | 25°39′21″N 80°42′37″W / 25.6559369°N 80.7103492°W[179] |
Shark River Slough | Florida | Sediment cores | 3,500 | Active periods 3,400–3,000, 2,200–1,500, 1,000–800, 600–300, and ~150–0 years ago | [180] | 25°21′10″N 81°6′52″W / 25.35278°N 81.11444°W[181] |
Shinnecock Bay | New York | Sediments | Older than 1938AD | Several historical deposits by the 1938 New England hurricane, Hurricane Carol, either Hurricane Donna or Hurricane Esther and the Ash Wednesday Storm of 1962 | [182] | 40°50′N 72°32′W / 40.83°N 72.53°W[183] |
Shotgun Pond | Florida | Overwash and inundation deposits | 2,000 | Higher activity than the historical period 650–1000, 1100–1300, 1350–1450, and 1750–1850 AD, and lower activity than today 450–650, 1000–1100, 1300–1350, and 1500–1750 AD; Hurricane Michael in 2018 left a deposit | [14] | 29°55′54″N 84°21′18″W / 29.9316°N 84.355°W[15] |
Singleton Swash | South Carolina | Sediments in tidal deposits | 3,500 | Historical storms like Hurricane Hazel and Hurricane Hugo are recorded, with more storms until 1050 BC. Between 3050 and 1050 BC there are no storm deposits, but one deposit dating to 3750 BC appears to relate to a very intense event, perhaps due to a warmer climate at that time | [184] | 33°45′20″N 78°48′43″W / 33.7554485°N 78.8119756°W[185] |
Silver Slipper West | Mississippi | Overwash deposits and microfossils | 2,500 | Deposits from Hurricane Katrina and Hurricane Camille are present and serve as modern analogues to reconstruct storm surge height for stormy intervals between 350 BC–AD 50 and AD 1050–1350. The decline in activity after AD 1350 coincides with a southward shift in the mean position of the Loop Current | [186] | 30°15′06″N 89°25′41″W / 30.251649°N 89.427932°W[187] |
South Andros Island | Bahamas | Deposits in blue holes | 1,500 | Mainly intense tropical cyclones recorded, including unnamed 1919 and 1945 Category 3 hurricanes although a weaker storm in 1945 might have also contributed. In general there are phases of high and low activity associated with phase changes of the ITCZ volcanic activity and the Little Ice Age | [188] | 23°47′N 77°41′W / 23.78°N 77.69°W[189] |
St. Catherines Island | Georgia | Sediment cores | +3,000 | 7 storms in 3,300 years, equating a recurrence rate of 1 every 471 years. An active period ended 1,100 years before present | [190] | 31°37′41″N 81°13′43″W / 31.6279865°N 81.2284741°W[191] |
Spring Creek Pond | Florida | Storm layers | 4,500 | An active period between about 600 and 1,700 years ago, but fewer major hurricanes in the last 600 years | [74][192] | 30°00′N 84°30′W / 30°N 84.5°W[143] |
Succotash Marsh | Rhode Island | Sediment overwash | 700 years | Over 6 intense storms in the last 700 years | [24][193] | 41°22′47″N 71°31′16″W / 41.37972°N 71.52111°W[193] |
Tahaa | French Polynesia | Overwash deposits | 5,000 | Increased activity between 5,000 – 3,800 and 2,900 – 500 years ago with relative inactivity since | [194] | 16°37′51″S 151°33′43″W / 16.6308026°S 151.5620333°W[195] |
Thatchpoint Bluehole | Bahamas | Sediments | AD 1010–present | Recorded storms include Hurricane Jeanne in 2004; active periods between 1050 and 1150 AD, a very active period between 1350-1650AD, a reincrease in the late 18th century | [196] | 26°19.408′N 77°17.590′W / 26.323467°N 77.293167°W[197] |
Tutaga | Tuvalu | Coral blocks moved by storms | 1,100 | Increased storminess c. 1,100, 750, 600 and 350 years ago; correlated with storminess in French Polynesia and a recurrence rate of about 100–150 years | [198] | 8°32′S 179°5′E / 8.533°S 179.083°E[199] |
Tzabnah Cave | Yucatan | Oxygen isotope ratios in stalagmites | AD 750 and earlier | Low tropical cyclone activity at the time of the Classical Maya collapse, and more generally coinciding with drought | [200] | 20°45′N 89°28′W / 20.750°N 89.467°W[201] |
Valdosta State University | Georgia | Oxygen isotope ratios in tree rings | AD 1770 – 1990 | Historical storms have been recorded, as well as a trio in 1911–1913 and a strong event in 1780 | [202][203] | 30°50′56″N 83°17′21″W / 30.8489491°N 83.2892064°W[204] |
Wallaby Island | Australia | Beach ridges | 4,100 | Strong storms (category 5) occur every 180 years | [103] | |
Walsingham Cavern | Bermuda | Sediments in submarine cave | 3,100 | Increased storm activity between 3,000 – 1,700 and 600 – 150 years ago; however this record might include extratropical storms | [205][206] | 32°20′N 64°40′W / 32.333°N 64.667°W[207] |
Wassaw Island | Georgia | Overwash | 1,900 | At least eight deposits from strong hurricanes between 1,000 – 2,000 years ago, with a quiet period between 1,100 and 250 years ago | [24][208] | 31°54′20″N 80°59′49″W / 31.9054647°N 80.996943°W[209] |
Western Lake | Florida, northwestern | Overwash deposits | 7,000 | Between 3,800 – 1,000 years ago strike probability was about 0.5% per year, followed and preceded by relative inactivity | [210][211] | 30°19′31″N 86°9′12″W / 30.32528°N 86.15333°W[211] |
Whale Beach | New Jersey | Sand sheets in marshes | AD 1300–present | Two major hurricanes in 700 years, one between 1278–1438 and the other is the 1821 Norfolk and Long Island hurricane | [212][25][213] | 39°11′00″N 74°40′17″W / 39.18333°N 74.67139°W[213] |
Wonga Beach | Queensland, northern | Beach ridges | 4,500 | An inactive period between about 3,800 and 2,100 years ago was followed by an active on between 2,100 and 900 years ago | [54][214] | 16°25′23″S 145°25′8″E / 16.42306°S 145.41889°E[215] |
Xincun Bay | China, southern | Lagoonal sediments | 7,500 | Seven storm periods in the last 7,500 years, including active periods between 5,500 and 3,500 and from 1,700 years ago onwards, with inactive period in between; there are also (in)active periods embedded within these active(inactive) ones and there is more generally a correlation to storm activity elsewhere in southern China and to ENSO variations | [216] | 18°25′N 110°0′E / 18.417°N 110.000°E[217] |
Yok Balum Cave | Belize | Oxygen isotope ratios in speleothems | AD 1550 – 1983 | After an inactive phase (~1 storm/year) in the middle 16th century, an increase to ~8 storms/year in the 17th century associated with the Little Ice Age. Then a steady decrease until 1870, when occurrence halved and dropped to ~2 storms/year | [218] | 16°12′30.780″N 89°4′24.420″W / 16.20855000°N 89.07345000°W[219] |
Yongshu Reef | South China Sea | Coral blocks relocated by storms | 4,000 | Six strikes in 1,000 years, with two during the Little Ice Age and four during the Medieval Climate Anomaly. Also high storm activity around 1200 AD, 400 BC and 1200 BC | [220][221] | 9°37′N 112°58′E / 9.617°N 112.967°E[222] |
Zhejiang-Fujian mud belt | East China Sea | Marine sediment cores | 2,000 | Increased activity between 0–480 CE, 790–1230 CE, and 1940–2018 CE | [223] | 28°41′N 122°25′E / 28.69°N 122.41°E[224] |
Non-tropical examples
[edit]Place | Country/state | Data sources | Record duration in years before present | Conclusions | Sources | Approximate coordinates |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Île d'Yeu | France | High-energy sedimentation | 8,000 | Between around 5720–5520 BC and 5050 BC–AD 360, storm activity was less meaningful. Increased storminess occurred AD 1350–1450, 150 BC–year 0, 900–400 BC, 1550–1320 BC, 3450–3420 BC, and 4700–4560 BC. | [225][226] | 46°42′32″N 2°21′35″W / 46.7089013°N 2.35959579529°W[227] |
Pierre Blanche and Prevost lagoons | France | Overwash deposits | 1,500 | Four intense storms in the last 1,500 years | [228][229] | 43°32′N 3°54′E / 43.53°N 3.9°E[230] |
See also
[edit]Notes
[edit]References
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Further reading
[edit]- Elsner, James B.; Kara, A. Birol (1999). Hurricanes of the North Atlantic: Climate and Society. New York: Oxford University Press. pp. 49–51, 378. ISBN 978-0-19-512508-5.
- Huang, Yun (2009-01-01). "Sediment records of modern and prehistoric hurricane strikes in Weeks Bay, Alabama". LSU Master's Theses. doi:10.31390/gradschool_theses.1922. S2CID 135330841.
- Kar, Devyani (2010-01-01). "Integration of paleotempestology with coastal risk and vulnerability assessment: case studies from the Dominican Republic and Nicaragua". LSU Doctoral Dissertations. doi:10.31390/gradschool_dissertations.2009. S2CID 134409924.
- Knowles, Jason (2004-01-01). "Coastal lake-sediment records of prehistoric hurricane strikes in Honduras and Turks and Caicos Islands of the Caribbean basin". LSU Master's Theses. doi:10.31390/gradschool_theses.3433. S2CID 134921929.
- Liu, Kam-biu (2004). "Paleotempestology: Principles, Methods, and Examples from Gulf Coast Lake Sediments". In Murnane, R. J.; Liu, Kam-biu (eds.). Hurricanes and Typhoons: Past, Present, and Future. New York: Columbia University Press. pp. 13–57. ISBN 978-0-231-12388-4.
- Liu, Kam-biu (2007). "Paleotempestology". In Elias, Scott A. (ed.). Encyclopedia of Quaternary Science. Vol. 3. Amsterdam: Elsevier. pp. 1978–1986. ISBN 978-0-444-51922-1.
- Nott, Jonathan (2004). "Palaeotempestology: the study of prehistoric tropical cyclones—a review and implications for hazard assessment". Environment International. 30 (3): 433–447. Bibcode:2004EnInt..30..433N. doi:10.1016/j.envint.2003.09.010. PMID 14987874.
- Revkin, Andrew C. (July 24, 2001). "Experts Unearth a Stormy Past". The New York Times.