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Kegalle Polling Division

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Kegalle
Polling Division
Map
Coordinates: 7°12′53″N 80°22′35″E / 7.214683°N 80.376448°E / 7.214683; 80.376448
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceSabaragamuwa Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictKegalle Electoral District
Area
 • Total
111.89 km2 (43.20 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
90,854
 • Density812/km2 (2,100/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-22C

The Kegalle Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kegalle Electoral District, in the Sabaragamuwa Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Kegalle has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Kegalle is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Kegalle Kegalle Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 5.92% SLPP 8.65%
2015 UPFA UPFA 3.60% NDF 7.78%
2010 UPFA UPFA 4.71% UPFA 8.46%
2005 UPFA UPFA 5.48% UPFA 6.21%
1999 PA PA 4.03% PA 3.94%
1994 PA PA 5.89% PA 0.27%
1988 SLFP UNP 8.18% UNP 2.75%
1982 UNP UNP 2.21% UNP 1.38%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 7/8 5.00% 8/8 4.93%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kegalle[4] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 36,109 61.52% 320,484 55.66% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 19,341 32.95% 228,032 39.60% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 2,032 3.46% 15,043 2.61% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,212 2.06% 12,272 2.13% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 58,694 98.95% 575,831 99.11% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 625 1.05% 5,152 0.89% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 59,319 85.38% 580,983 85.89% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 69,473 676,440 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kegalle[5] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 30,452 55.54% 278,130 51.82% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 23,853 43.51% 252,533 47.05% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 522 0.95% 6,108 1.14% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 54,827 98.86% 536,771 98.80% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 630 1.14% 6,515 1.20% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 55,457 77.91% 543,286 79.85% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 71,183 680,414 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kegalle[6] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 33,129 66.69% 296,639 61.80% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 15,791 31.79% 174,877 36.44% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 754 1.52% 8,448 1.76% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 49,674 99.26% 479,964 99.25% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 372 0.74% 3,604 0.75% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 50,046 74.56% 483,568 76.11% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 67,118 635,342 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kegalle[7] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 27,444 56.66% 239,184 51.02% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 20,451 42.22% 223,483 47.67% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 543 1.12% 6,106 1.30% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 48,438 99.14% 468,773 98.99% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 421 0.86% 4,795 1.01% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 48,859 76.64% 473,568 78.68% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 63,755 601,872 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kegalle[8] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 23,670 54.74% 210,185 51.30% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 16,407 37.94% 176,376 43.05% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 2,314 5.35% 14,997 3.66% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 849 1.96% 8,122 1.98% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 43,240 97.91% 409,680 98.05% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 924 2.09% 8,136 1.95% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 44,164 74.75% 417,816 76.52% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 59,084 546,038 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kegalle[9] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 24,126 62.16% 211,676 56.06% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 14,150 36.45% 159,707 42.30% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 539 1.39% 6,209 1.64% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 38,815 98.10% 377,592 98.14% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 751 1.90% 7,139 1.86% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 39,566 72.03% 384,731 74.84% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 54,933 514,055 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kegalle[10] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 15,226 48.98% 119,769 40.54% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 15,167 48.79% 168,720 57.11% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 694 2.23% 6,923 2.34% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 31,087 98.50% 295,412 98.57% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 474 1.50% 4,277 1.43% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 31,561 65.46% 299,689 67.98% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 48,217 440,836 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kegalle[11] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,184 54.94% 195,444 57.02% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 14,567 39.65% 126,538 36.92% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,506 4.10% 13,706 4.00% 273,428 4.19%
LSSP 384 1.05% 6,184 1.80% 58,531 0.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 94 0.26% 890 0.26% 190,929 2.93%
Valid Votes 36,735 98.81% 342,762 98.69% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 443 1.19% 4,537 1.31% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 37,178 82.35% 347,299 84.30% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 45,146 411,994 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Kegalle has matched the final country result 5 out of 7 times. Hence, Kegalle is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Kegalle Kegalle Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UNP 4.70% UNP 3.88%
2010 UPFA UPFA 2.92% UPFA 6.77%
2004 UPFA UPFA 3.64% UPFA 4.34%
2001 PA UNP 4.63% UNP 3.82%
2000 PA PA 3.78% PA 4.14%
1994 PA UNP 7.30% PA 3.15%
1989 UNP UNP 5.55% UNP 5.14%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/7 6/7 4.65% 7/7 4.46%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kegalle[14] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 25,562 49.88% 227,208 45.47% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 22,643 44.19% 247,467 49.52% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 2,587 5.05% 18,394 3.68% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 453 0.88% 6,661 1.33% 101,045 0.91%
Valid Votes 51,245 96.89% 499,730 96.35% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 1,635 3.09% 18,770 3.62% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 52,889 74.30% 518,674 79.81% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 71,183 649,878 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kegalle[15] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 25,513 69.33% 242,463 66.89% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 9,106 24.75% 104,925 28.95% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 2,061 5.60% 13,518 3.73% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 117 0.32% 1,549 0.43% 33,973 0.42%
Valid Votes 36,797 94.34% 362,455 93.32% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 2,209 5.66% 25,965 6.68% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 39,006 58.12% 388,420 60.93% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 67,118 637,524 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kegalle[16] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 23,778 53.67% 214,267 50.88% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 17,509 39.52% 186,641 44.32% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 2,834 6.40% 18,034 4.28% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 186 0.42% 2,187 0.52% 59,247 0.64%
Valid Votes 44,307 95.11% 421,134 94.25% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,276 4.89% 25,685 5.75% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 46,583 74.46% 446,816 78.35% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 62,561 570,299 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kegalle[17] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 19,454 43.34% 170,901 40.53% 3,330,815 37.19%
UNP 19,242 42.87% 208,104 49.36% 4,086,026 45.62%
JVP 5,415 12.06% 36,711 8.71% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 778 1.73% 5,924 1.40% 123,245 1.38%
Valid Votes 44,889 95.62% 421,640 94.90% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,057 4.38% 22,669 5.10% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 46,946 76.55% 444,309 80.10% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 61,325 554,698 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kegalle[18] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 22,237 51.64% 201,114 48.88% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 16,091 37.37% 175,627 42.69% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 3,509 8.15% 22,028 5.35% 518,725 6.03%
SU 740 1.72% 4,549 1.11% 127,859 1.49%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 486 1.13% 8,094 1.97% 291,648 3.39%
Valid Votes 43,063 N/A 411,412 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kegalle[19] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 23,084 55.04% 190,689 47.91% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 18,311 43.66% 203,938 51.24% 3,498,370 44.04%
SLPF 543 1.29% 3,383 0.85% 90,078 1.13%
Valid Votes 41,938 96.27% 398,010 95.89% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 1,624 3.73% 17,043 4.11% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 43,562 79.30% 415,053 80.78% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 54,933 513,825 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kegalle[20] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 16,984 56.98% 174,334 61.12% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 11,304 37.93% 80,668 28.28% 1,785,369 31.90%
USA 685 2.30% 15,168 5.32% 141,983 2.54%
ELJP 680 2.28% 14,056 4.93% 67,723 1.21%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 153 0.51% 1,028 0.36% 90,480 1.62%
Valid Votes 29,806 94.64% 285,254 93.95% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,689 5.36% 18,362 6.05% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 31,495 67.26% 303,616 69.46% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 46,828 437,131 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Kegalle Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (95.8%) . In comparison, the Kegalle Electoral District (which contains the Kegalle Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (85.5%) [1]

Ethnicity in Kegalle[1]

  Sinhalese (95.8%)
  Indian Tamil (1.9%)
  Moor (1.2%)
  Other (1.0%)

Religion

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The Kegalle Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (94.0%) . In comparison, the Kegalle Electoral District (which contains the Kegalle Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (84.4%) [1]

Religion in Kegalle[1]

  Buddhist (94.0%)
  Hindu (2.2%)
  Roman Catholic (1.7%)
  Muslim (1.4%)
  Other (0.7%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kegalle and the Kegalle Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kegalle and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kegalle and the Kegalle Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kegalle and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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