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Gampaha Polling Division

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Gampaha
Polling Division
Map
Coordinates: 7°04′30″N 79°59′29″E / 7.074904°N 79.991512°E / 7.074904; 79.991512
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceWestern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictGampaha Electoral District
Area
 • Total97.5 km2 (37.6 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total197,667
 • Density2,027/km2 (5,250/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-02H

The Gampaha Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Gampaha Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Gampaha has matched the final country result 5 out of 8 times. Hence, Gampaha is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Gampaha Gampaha Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 7.80% SLPP 14.86%
2015 UPFA NDF 4.38% NDF 6.01%
2010 UPFA UPFA 6.61% UPFA 9.89%
2005 UPFA UPFA 8.86% UPFA 13.12%
1999 PA PA 5.26% PA 10.29%
1994 PA PA 6.01% PA 8.23%
1988 SLFP SLFP 6.19% UNP 9.09%
1982 SLFP UNP 4.96% UNP 6.76%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/8 7/8 6.26% 8/8 9.78%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Gampaha[4] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 84,507 67.31% 855,870 59.28% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 31,984 25.48% 494,671 34.26% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 6,256 4.98% 61,760 4.28% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,800 2.23% 31,499 2.18% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 125,547 99.06% 1,443,800 98.92% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 1,191 0.94% 15,751 1.08% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 126,738 83.70% 1,459,551 83.31% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 151,418 1,751,892 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Gampaha[5] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 63,962 53.95% 664,347 49.49% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 53,922 45.48% 669,007 49.83% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 680 0.57% 9,142 0.68% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 118,564 98.98% 1,342,496 98.92% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 1,222 1.02% 14,647 1.08% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 119,786 81.33% 1,357,143 80.77% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 147,280 1,680,263 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Gampaha[6] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 71,811 68.44% 718,716 61.66% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 32,262 30.75% 434,506 37.28% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 854 0.81% 12,426 1.07% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 104,927 99.35% 1,165,648 99.24% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 682 0.65% 8,960 0.76% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 105,609 79.05% 1,174,608 78.03% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 133,606 1,505,363 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Gampaha[7] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 62,018 63.78% 596,698 54.78% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 34,376 35.35% 481,764 44.23% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 847 0.87% 10,815 0.99% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 97,241 99.04% 1,089,277 98.94% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 944 0.96% 11,724 1.06% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 98,185 78.73% 1,101,001 79.17% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 124,714 1,390,691 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Gampaha[8] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 51,606 61.67% 532,796 56.58% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 26,257 31.38% 353,969 37.59% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 4,433 5.30% 40,472 4.30% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,386 1.66% 14,382 1.53% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 83,682 97.92% 941,619 97.84% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,780 2.08% 20,768 2.16% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 85,462 76.43% 962,387 77.12% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 111,814 1,247,860 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Gampaha[9] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 51,197 70.81% 550,654 64.74% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 20,094 27.79% 288,608 33.93% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,011 1.40% 11,256 1.32% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 72,302 98.69% 850,518 98.48% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 958 1.31% 13,137 1.52% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 73,260 72.96% 863,655 74.16% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 100,416 1,164,625 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Gampaha[10] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 34,340 55.27% 355,553 48.83% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 25,948 41.77% 350,092 48.08% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 1,839 2.96% 22,467 3.09% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 62,127 98.85% 728,112 98.63% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 721 1.15% 10,108 1.37% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 62,848 73.57% 738,220 74.93% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 85,424 985,206 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Gampaha[11] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 28,532 48.53% 301,808 43.31% 2,546,348 39.05%
UNP 27,845 47.36% 365,847 52.50% 3,450,815 52.93%
JVP 1,942 3.30% 23,701 3.40% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 470 0.80% 5,491 0.79% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 58,789 99.13% 696,847 99.15% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 517 0.87% 5,992 0.85% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 59,306 81.95% 702,839 82.70% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 72,371 849,896 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Gampaha has matched the final country result 5 out of 7 times. Hence, Gampaha is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Gampaha Gampaha Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UNP 6.05% UNP 6.29%
2010 UPFA UPFA 6.08% UPFA 8.06%
2004 UPFA UPFA 7.38% UPFA 10.06%
2001 PA UNP 5.18% UNP 8.18%
2000 PA PA 5.06% PA 6.97%
1994 PA PA 6.01% PA 10.46%
1989 UNP UNP 4.03% UNP 4.71%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/7 7/7 5.68% 7/7 7.82%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Gampaha[14] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 53,901 50.38% 549,958 44.96% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 42,585 39.81% 577,004 47.17% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 9,754 9.12% 87,880 7.18% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 739 0.69% 8,332 0.68% 81,501 0.73%
Valid Votes 106,979 95.89% 1,223,174 95.51% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 4,457 3.99% 56,246 4.39% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 111,569 75.75% 1,280,647 78.21% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 147,280 1,637,537 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Gampaha[15] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 58,268 69.62% 589,476 63.40% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 17,976 21.48% 266,523 28.67% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 7,188 8.59% 69,747 7.50% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 266 0.32% 3,985 0.43% 19,003 0.24%
Valid Votes 83,698 95.44% 929,731 94.83% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 3,930 4.48% 50,234 5.12% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 87,698 65.64% 980,467 65.06% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 133,606 1,506,969 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Gampaha[16] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 51,944 58.64% 509,963 51.52% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 24,652 27.83% 367,572 37.14% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 11,357 12.82% 102,516 10.36% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 624 0.70% 9,691 0.98% 57,229 0.62%
Valid Votes 88,577 96.19% 989,742 95.96% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,485 3.78% 41,462 4.02% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 92,082 76.21% 1,031,464 77.72% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 120,833 1,327,145 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Gampaha[17] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 41,519 46.94% 428,780 43.08% 3,330,815 37.19%
UNP 32,479 36.72% 437,289 43.94% 4,086,026 45.62%
JVP 12,791 14.46% 113,990 11.45% 815,353 9.10%
SU 1,090 1.23% 8,105 0.81% 50,665 0.57%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 573 0.65% 7,066 0.71% 87,161 0.97%
Valid Votes 88,452 96.82% 995,230 96.30% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,909 3.18% 38,187 3.70% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 91,361 78.24% 1,033,417 80.36% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 116,768 1,285,973 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Gampaha[18] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 45,394 53.55% 470,018 48.87% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 27,794 32.79% 378,328 39.34% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 8,284 9.77% 73,110 7.60% 518,725 6.03%
SU 2,434 2.87% 20,297 2.11% 127,859 1.49%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 861 1.02% 19,956 2.08% 319,123 3.71%
Valid Votes 84,767 N/A 961,709 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Gampaha[19] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 47,822 62.68% 509,030 56.79% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 27,133 35.56% 375,631 41.91% 3,498,370 44.04%
SLPF 1,340 1.76% 11,627 1.30% 90,078 1.13%
Valid Votes 76,295 96.88% 896,288 96.39% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,456 3.12% 33,553 3.61% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 78,751 78.42% 929,841 79.65% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 100,416 1,167,469 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Gampaha[20] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 30,376 50.27% 385,733 54.14% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 27,765 45.95% 294,490 41.34% 1,785,369 31.90%
USA 1,426 2.36% 21,665 3.04% 141,983 2.54%
ELJP 859 1.42% 10,549 1.48% 67,723 1.21%
Valid Votes 60,426 96.34% 712,437 95.64% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,297 3.66% 32,497 4.36% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 62,723 75.85% 744,934 76.82% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 82,689 969,658 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Gampaha Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (98.8%) . In comparison, the Gampaha Electoral District (which contains the Gampaha Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (90.5%) [1]

Ethnicity in Gampaha[1]

  Sinhalese (98.8%)
  Other (1.2%)

Religion

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The Gampaha Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (87.6%) and a significant Roman Catholic population (10.7%) . In comparison, the Gampaha Electoral District (which contains the Gampaha Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (71.3%) and a significant Roman Catholic population (19.5%) [1]

Religion in Gampaha[1]

  Buddhist (87.6%)
  Roman Catholic (10.7%)
  Other Christian (1.1%)
  Other (0.7%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Gampaha and the Gampaha Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Gampaha and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Gampaha and the Gampaha Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Gampaha and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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