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Draft:The Odds of It Being Now

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“The Odds Of it Being Now”, or the statistical probability of the universe being in a particular moment and us living through & being conscious of it, is a philosophical concept, that appears to prove reincarnation and eternal life or existence.

The philosophical concept was created by Adam Tedder, and initially shared in a YouTube video entitled “The Odds Of it Being Now – proof of reincarnation & eternal life?”[1]on the 16th September 2024.

Unlike the Rare Earth hypothesis that suggests that life is unlikely beyond the earth[2][3][4], the Fine-tuned universe theory that suggests the laws of physics are precisely calibrated to allow life[5][6][7] and the overall odds of us being alive[8][9][10], which all challenge Atheism, "The Odds Of it Being Now" also challenges Nihilism, by suggesting that, not only is it rare that we exist, but that we have always, and always will, exist.

The foundation of “The Odds of It Being Now”, is that between the beginning of the universe and time itself, i.e. 13.7 billion years ago[11][12][13][14], and the 100 trillion years in the future when the universe and time will end[15][16][17], the statistical probability of the universe being in a particular moment, and us living through & being conscious of it, is an extreme improbability i.e. almost zero probability. The extreme probability, i.e. of almost 1, is the opposite, i.e. that the universe is passing through a moment when we don’t exist. Therefore, the fact that we are living through & conscious of the moment the universe is passing through, suggests that either all moments exist at once, or we have always existed and always will exist.

An excerpt from the video reads; “... with all the moments that have ever been, and the many more moments to come, what’s the odds of it being now? This moment. The moment we’re all living through & are conscious of? The odds are infinitesimally small. And yet, here we all are, living through this now. This moment, together. There has to be a now, but what are the odds of it being this one? Of us being alive in the moment the universe is going through now? The odds of us being alive now & conscious now as opposed to all the other moments that have been or are yet to come?

Why isn’t the moment we’re living through, any of the other countless number of moments in the past or in the future? Why are we not living through a moment 100 years in the past, or 100 years in the future, or indeed 100 million years in the past or 100 billion years in the future, or any other moment that has been or will be? Instead, we’re living through, and are conscious of, this moment, this now. And the odds of that are, as I’ve said, infinitesimally small. The unfathomably greater likelihood, is that the moment that’s passing is a moment we’re NOT conscious of; a moment where we don’t exist, where we’re not an existing conscious entity, where we’ve either never been created or born, or we’ve been born or died at a different time. Surely that is endlessly more likely, & yet, here we all are, living through this moment. This leads me to conclude, either all moments that have ever been and will ever be, all exist at once, and consciousness is equally spread across them all, or our consciousness is eternal, renewed and reincarnated as we are born, die and are born again”.

  1. ^ The Odds of It Being Now - proof of reincarnation & eternal life? (youtube.com)
  2. ^ Rare Earth hypothesis: Why we might really be alone in the universe (astronomy.com)
  3. ^ “Rare Earth” Solves the Fermi Paradox + Earth is Likely the Only Civilization in the Observable Universe by Jobe Soffa Clarke :: SSRN
  4. ^ Beyond "Fermi's Paradox" IV: What is the Rare Earth Hypothesis? - Universe Today
  5. ^ Fine-Tuning (Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy)
  6. ^ The Fine-Tuned Universe: 4 Fine-Tuning Examples (magiscenter.com)
  7. ^ Fine-tuned Universe | Encyclopedia MDPI
  8. ^ What are the odds of being alive? — The Mortal Atheist
  9. ^ What Is The Likelihood That You Exist? : ScienceAlert
  10. ^ Are You a Miracle? On the Probability of Your Being Born | HuffPost Life
  11. ^ Imagine the Universe! (nasa.gov)
  12. ^ What is the Big Bang Theory? | Space
  13. ^ The origins of the universe facts and information (nationalgeographic.com)
  14. ^ The early universe | CERN (home.cern)
  15. ^ Will The Universe Ever End? - WorldAtlas
  16. ^ Timeline for life until the end of the Universe (jatan.space)
  17. ^ The Big Freeze: How the universe will die (astronomy.com)