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Climate change and food security in Africa

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African food security: A Ugandan man tends to his garden in Arokwo Village, Kapchorwa, Uganda in 2009 (Kate Holt/AusAID)

Climate change in Africa is reducing its food security.[1] Climate change at the global, continental, and sub-continental levels has been observed to include an increase in air and ocean temperatures, sea-level rise, a decrease in snow and ice extent, an increase and decrease in precipitation, changes in terrestrial and marine biological systems, and ocean acidification.[2] The agricultural industry is responsible for more than 60% of full time employment in Africa. Millions of people in Africa depend on the agricultural industry for their economic well-being and means of subsistence.[3] A variety of climate change-related factors such as worsening pests and diseases that damage agriculture and livestock, altered rainfall patterns, rising temperatures, droughts, and floods are having a negative impact on the agricultural industry in Africa.[4] Many African populations access to food is being impacted by these climate change effects on the agricultural industry, which result in a trend of decreasing crop yields, animal losses, and rising food prices.[5][6][7]

Effects of climate change on African food security

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Since 1961 in Africa, anthropogenic climate change has been attributed to a 34% loss in agricultural total factor productivity, which measures agricultural production as well as livestock.[7] The reduction in crop yields brought on by altered precipitation patterns and increased temperatures is one of the most significant effects because it causes variable periods of drought and flooding.[8]

A mass grave for children fleeing drought and famine in Somalia in 2011. They perished from malnutrition on the way to or shortly after arriving to the refugee camp, 'Dadaab', in Kenya.

In 2010-2011, Somalia, a country on the Horn of Africa, experienced the East African Drought, which led to mass livestock fatality, and poor crop harvests.[9] During the famine (October 2010- April 2012), the FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization) estimated that Somalia experienced around 258,000 deaths attributable to the emergency, 52% of which were estimated to be children.[9] Somalia experienced drought again starting in 2020 and continuing through 2023, resulting in millions of livestock deaths, and poor/ failed harvests from 5 consecutive missed rainy seasons.[10][11] The WHO (World Health Organization) estimated that in 2022, 43,000 people died in Somalia because of the drought.[12]

The El Niño weather effect can severely alter climate in Africa, having the strongest effect on precipitation, it caused by the shifting of warm water in the Pacific Ocean, and was responsible for widespread drought, crop loss, and food insecurity in Southern Africa between 2015 and 2017.[13][14] In a statement in 2016, the SADC (Southern African Development Community), comprising 16 member states in Southern Africa, estimated that around 40 million people within Southern Africa were experiencing or at risk of experiencing food insecurity because of the El Niño event, they also estimated that 9.3 million tonnes of cereal crops were lost.[15]

As a result of climate change, droughts have become more common, rainfall patterns have become more erratic, and other extreme weather events have occurred. These events have disrupted agricultural cycles and decreased crop yields. According to recent research, agricultural productivity in Sub-Saharan Africa is strongly impacted by climate change. The results of a study conducted in 2022 and looking at thirty countries in the region revealed that increasing malnutrition rates correlate with increased levels of greenhouse gas emissions, which indicates a loss in food security. The research underscores the necessity of formulating adaptive strategies to mitigate the adverse effects of these elements.[16]

A Desert Locust (Schistocerca Gregaria) swarm photographed in Sudan. A relatively small swarm of Desert Locust, around the size of a square kilometer, can eat as much vegetation as 35,000 people.[17]

Climate change has also boosted the prevalence of pests and illnesses, endangering agricultural output and livestock production.[17] In 2020 and 2021 East Africa experienced a Desert Locust crisis, the worst of which Kenya and Uganda had seen for 70 years, that was caused by extreme weather events in the form of two tropical cyclones and increased precipitation in the region that provided circumstances apt for breeding.[4][17] Desert Locust swarms consume crop land at an alarming rate, a study conducted by the FAO in 2020 surveyed 7800 households in Uganda, and found that 15% of all households reported over 75% of their crop had been damaged due to the swarms.[18] Between 2003 and 2005 the Sahel region of Africa experienced a Desert Locust upsurge, which the FAO estimated to be responsible for a 80-100% loss in cereal crops, and a 85-90% loss in leguminous crops, in the countries Mauritania, Burkina Faso, and Mali.[19] The FAO estimated that 8,380,000 people from the countries Burkina Faso, Mali, Mauritania, Niger, Senegal, and Chad were affected in some capacity from the upsurge.[19]

Similar to agriculture, for many people in Africa, livestock is a vital source of food, income, and labor, which increases these communities vulnerability too, and exacerbates the food security situation.[20] In Nigeria and Kenya, drought and desertification are destroying grazing land at an increasing rate, leading to competition and violent conflict between livestock owners over grazeland.[21][22] Many Africans now find it difficult to afford food due to rising food prices brought on by these losses, as of 2020, 77% of the population of Sub-Saharan Africa cannot afford to eat a healthy diet.[6] Additionally, because of the nutrition needs of adolescent women compared to men, more expensive foods are required to meet the nutrition baseline. Because of the increasing lack of these foods, in some places in Africa like Ghana, the cost for a nutrition adequate diet for women is three times that of a similar aged man.[6] Climate change poses a serious challenge to food security in Africa, where agricultural yields have been gradually dropping, and where population growth and increased demand for food, water, and forage increase the possibility of hunger and under-nutrition.

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The main sources of Africa's 3.6% share of the world's Carbon dioxide emissions are gas flaring in the Niger Delta and coal-fired power plants in South Africa.[23] But, the continent's forests are rapidly disappearing because of desertification and deforestation, which has negative consequences for both Africa and the climate at large.[24] Despite having very low carbon dioxide emissions in comparison to other places, Africa is more vulnerable than other continents to the damaging effects of climate change because of its unique vulnerabilities and reliance on climate sensitive resources.[25]

Rain-fed agriculture in the Sahelian country of Niger. Captured near the cities of Maradi and Zinder, in southern Niger.

In West Africa's arid and semi-arid regions, dry terrain or desert makes up three-quarters of the continent's surface. The Sahel is a region that stretches from East Africa to West Africa, and is a transition zone between the dry Sahara Desert in North Africa to wetter areas in the south. Economic activity in the Sahel is largely dependent on climate-sensitive industries, such as rain-fed agriculture and Forestry, which are responsible for over 60% of employment as well as 40% of the regions GDP.[24] A study in 2014 on local communities near the Kahuzi-Biega National Park near Bukavu in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, found that 94% percent of respondents relied on rain-fed agriculture for income.[25] Agriculture contributes around 70% of employment, 30% of GDP, and 50% of exports in a rain-fed economy.

All countries combined, Africa relies on imports to meet around 85% of the food requirements of its countries citizens.[4] Therefore, Africa is highly vulnerable to food price shocks, and especially crop price seasonality, which climate change is expected to further worsen.[6] A study measured the percentage of seasonal gap in food prices in 13 different foods, in 7 African countries (Burkina Faso, Ethiopia, Ghana, Malawi, Niger, Tanzania, and Uganda) between 2000 and 2012. The study found that maize experienced a 33.1% seasonal price gap and sorghum and millet to have 22% and 20.1% seasonal gaps, however, the largest seasonal price gaps could be found in fruit and vegetables, such as tomatoes (60.8%).[26] The agriculture industry serves as a safety net for rural poor people. People are increasingly susceptible since drought and flooding are more frequent and intense in many areas, including the nations surrounding the Rift Valley, the plains of Mozambique, Senegal, and The Gambia.

African food security and climate change adaptation strategies

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Numerous adaptation measures are being implemented in Africa to mitigate the impact of climate change on food security. Among the most crucial strategies is the development and adoption of climate-resilient agricultural techniques. This involves utilizing crops that are resistant to drought, enhancing soil and water conservation, and utilizing integrated pest management. Additionally, diversifying sources of income is another adaptive technique that can be employed. Many African communities rely heavily on a single food or livestock source, making them particularly vulnerable to climate change impacts. By diversifying income sources, such as through off-farm revenue-generating activities, a buffer against climate shocks can be created. Furthermore, enhancing food distribution and storage methods may contribute to reduced food waste and increased food availability. Farmers may invest in climate-resilient practices and technologies by having better access to credit and financial services. [27]

The following adaptation strategies are being developed by individuals, groups, and institutions to mitigate climate change risks:

  • Climate-smart agriculture production
  • Diversification of sources of income and alternative livelihoods
  • Decentralization of local resource control
  • Alternative eco-friendly energy sources
  • Infrastructure development
  • Information on the climate
  • Early warning systems[28]
  • Insurance program

References

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  1. ^ "How Africa Can Escape Chronic Food Insecurity Amid Climate Change". IMF. 14 September 2022. Retrieved 2023-03-19.
  2. ^ Ofori, Samuel Appiah; Cobbina, Samuel Jerry; Obiri, Samuel (2021). "Climate Change, Land, Water, and Food Security: Perspectives From Sub-Saharan Africa". Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems. 5. doi:10.3389/fsufs.2021.680924. ISSN 2571-581X.
  3. ^ Beltran-Peña, A., & D’Odorico, P. (2022). Future food security in Africa under climate change. Earth's Future, 10, e2022EF002651. https://doi. org/10.1029/2022EF002651
  4. ^ a b c Welsh, Caitlin (2021). "The Effects of Climate Change in Africa." (Report). Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS).
  5. ^ FAO Regional Office for Africa (2009). Climate change in Africa: The threat to agriculture. Gamel Abdul Nasser Road, Accra: FAO Regional Office for Africa.
  6. ^ a b c d The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2020. FAO, IFAD, UNICEF, WFP and WHO. 2020. doi:10.4060/ca9692en. ISBN 978-92-5-132901-6.
  7. ^ a b Ortiz-Bobea, Ariel; Ault, Toby R.; Carrillo, Carlos M.; Chambers, Robert G.; Lobell, David B. (2021-04-01). "Anthropogenic climate change has slowed global agricultural productivity growth". Nature Climate Change. 11 (4): 306–312. arXiv:2007.10415. Bibcode:2021NatCC..11..306O. doi:10.1038/s41558-021-01000-1. ISSN 1758-6798.
  8. ^ Gray, Ellen. "Global Climate Change Impact on Crops Expected Within 10 Years, NASA Study Finds". Climate Change: Vital Signs of the Planet. Retrieved 2023-03-20.
  9. ^ a b "Mortality among populations of southern and central Somalia affected by severe food insecurity and famine during 2010-2012 - Somalia | ReliefWeb". reliefweb.int. 2013-05-02. Retrieved 2024-04-24.
  10. ^ "Somalia faces increased Risk of Famine as acute food insecurity, malnutrition and mortality worsen - Somalia | ReliefWeb". reliefweb.int. 2022-06-04. Retrieved 2024-04-24.
  11. ^ "Horn of Africa hunger crisis pushes millions to the brink | World Food Programme". www.wfp.org. 2023-05-24. Retrieved 2024-04-24.
  12. ^ "Somalia: Health Cluster Bulletin, March 2023 - Somalia | ReliefWeb". reliefweb.int. 2023-04-20. Retrieved 2024-04-24.
  13. ^ Stephens, Rhiannon (2022-12-31). Poverty and Wealth in East Africa: A Conceptual History. Duke University Press. doi:10.1515/9781478024514. hdl:20.500.12657/87703. ISBN 978-1-4780-2451-4.
  14. ^ European Commission. Joint Research Centre. (2016). Impact of El Niño on agriculture in Southern Africa for the 2015/2016 main season. LU: Publications Office. doi:10.2788/900042. ISBN 978-92-79-58210-3.
  15. ^ "Press Release - Ministers of Agriculture and Food Security - Swaziland 26 July 2016 | SADC". www.sadc.int. Retrieved 2024-04-27.
  16. ^ Adesete, Ahmed Adefemi; Olanubi, Oluwanbepelumi Esther; Dauda, Risikat Oladoyin (2023-12-01). "Climate change and food security in selected Sub-Saharan African Countries". Environment, Development and Sustainability. 25 (12): 14623–14641. Bibcode:2023EDSus..2514623A. doi:10.1007/s10668-022-02681-0. ISSN 1573-2975. PMC 9510474. PMID 36186913.
  17. ^ a b c The impact of disasters and crises on agriculture and food security: 2021. FAO. 2021-03-17. doi:10.4060/cb3673en. ISBN 978-92-5-134071-4.
  18. ^ "Food security and livelihoods in areas affected by desert locusts September 2020 - Uganda | ReliefWeb". reliefweb.int. 2021-09-15. Retrieved 2024-04-26.
  19. ^ a b "Towards a More Effective Response to Desert Locusts and their Impacts on Food Security, Livelihoods and Poverty: Multilateral Evaluation of the 2003-05 Desert Locust Campaign | ReliefWeb Mobile". m.reliefweb.int. 31 July 2006. Retrieved 2024-04-26.
  20. ^ "Climate change in Africa: What will it mean for agriculture and food security?". www.ilri.org. 2022-02-28. Retrieved 2023-03-19.
  21. ^ Pereira, Laura (2017-03-29), "Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture across Africa", Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Environmental Science, doi:10.1093/acrefore/9780199389414.013.292, ISBN 978-0-19-938941-4, retrieved 2024-04-23
  22. ^ Gleick, Peter; Iceland, Charles; Trivedi, Ayushi (2020-02-09). "Ending Conflicts Over Water". World Resources Institute. doi:10.46830/wrirpt.19.00081.
  23. ^ Giwa, Solomon (2014). Emission Inventory for Gas flaring in Nigeria (PDF). LAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing.
  24. ^ a b Maisharou, A.; Chirwa, P.W.; Larwanou, M.; Babalola, F.; Ofoegbu, C. (2015). "Sustainable land management practices in the Sahel: review of practices, techniques and technologies for land restoration and strategy for up-scaling". International Forestry Review. 17 (3): 1–19. doi:10.1505/146554815816006974. ISSN 1465-5489. JSTOR 26431603.
  25. ^ a b Bele, Mekou Y.; Sonwa, Denis J.; Tiani, Anne M. (2014). "Local Communities Vulnerability to Climate Change and Adaptation Strategies in Bukavu in DR Congo". The Journal of Environment & Development. 23 (3): 331–357. doi:10.1177/1070496514536395. ISSN 1070-4965. JSTOR 26197934.
  26. ^ Gilbert, Christopher L.; Christiaensen, Luc; Kaminski, Jonathan (21 March 2021). "Food price seasonality in Africa: Measurement and extent". Food Policy. 67: 119–132. doi:10.1016/j.foodpol.2016.09.016. ISSN 0306-9192. PMC 5384441. PMID 28413251.
  27. ^ Aich, Amitava; Dey, Dipayan; Roy, Arindam (2022-07-28). "Climate change resilient agricultural practices: A learning experience from indigenous communities over India". PLOS Sustainability and Transformation. 1 (7): e0000022. doi:10.1371/journal.pstr.0000022. ISSN 2767-3197.
  28. ^ "Integrated surveillance and climate-informed health early warning systems". www.who.int. Retrieved 2023-03-21.
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