2023 Gibraltar general election
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All 17 seats in the Gibraltar Parliament 9 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Turnout | 76.40% ( 5.56pp) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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General elections were held in Gibraltar on 12 October 2023 to elect all 17 members of the fifth Gibraltar Parliament.[2] This was the first election in Gibraltar's history to use an electronic voting count system. The GSLP–Liberal Alliance secured a fourth term in office, though it saw its majority reduced to one seat, whilst the GSD became the sole opposition party, gaining two seats (one by unseating the Alliance's Minister of Business and Tourism Vijay Daryanani and taking one from the non-contesting party, Together Gibraltar, which had been held by Marlene Hassan-Nahon).
Background
[edit]On 24 August 2020 it was announced that Government MP and Minister, Gilbert Licudi, would resign as Minister but remain as MP backbencher. Later, on 17 July 2023, he announced he would step down for re-election.
On 14 June 2023 it was announced that Together Gibraltar founder and leader and her party's sole MP, Marlene Hassan-Nahon (daughter of Gibraltar's first Mayor and Chief Minister, Sir Joshua Hassan), would not stand for the elections and would leave politics by then.[3]
On 5 September 2023, ongoing negotiations between Together Gibraltar and the GSD to form an electoral pact were finally abandoned.[4]
On 13 September 2023, it was announced that GSD MP, Elliott Phillips, would not stand for re-election and that Robert Vazquez will return as an independent MP candidate. On 15 September 2023, it was announced that Paul Balban, Albert Isola and Samantha Sacramento, GSLP/Libs Government MPs and Ministers, would not stand for re-election.
On 16 September, it was announced that GSD MP, Daniel Feetham, would not stand for re-election.
On 17 September, the GSLP have announced their new four candidates for the elections: Hassans' Legal Partner and Head of Financial Services, Nigel Feetham KC (brother of outgoing GSD MP, Daniel Feetham and son of former GSLP MP and Minister from 1988 to 1996, Michael Feetham); former teacher and Miss Gibraltar 1974, Patricia Orfila; Director of the Gibraltar Academy of Music and Performing Arts (GAMPA) and former Mayor of Gibraltar, Christian Santos and Hassans' Legal Partner and Solicitor, Gemma Arias-Vasquez.
On 18 September, it was announced that Together Gibraltar would not contest the election. Interim Leader, Nicky Calamaro, said it was because of lack of support from the voters since Marlene's departure, resulting on TG to restart itself as a pressure group to regain trust of the people, but he didn't rule out the possibility of being an independent candidate. [5]
On that same night, the GSD announced their 6 new candidates with 3x women (TSN's Senior Law Associate and Barrister and GSD's executive member and 2019 election candidate Joelle Ladislaus; RGP's ((Royal Gibraltar Police)) Senior Compliance Officer, Head of Special Needs Action Group ((SNAG)) and GSD executive, Atrish Sanchez and inaugural former Vice-Chancellor and CEO of University of Gibraltar, Daniella Tilbury); 1x Moroccan born-Gibraltarian Muslim male and GSD executive and Future member (Youseff El Hana); GSD executive (Formerly Together Gibraltar executive member) and candidate of TG in 2019 (Craig Sacarello) and chairman of GSD Future and Isolas' Law Associate, Giovanni Origo. On 19 September, it was announced that Liberal Party of Gibraltar MP and Minister, Steven Linares, would not stand for re-election, after 23 years of being an MP, and would be replaced by GHA's (Gibraltar Health Authority) Emergency Medical Technician, Leslie Bruzon of the same party.
On 14 September both businessman Allan Asquez and retired teacher Patricia Orfila put their names forward for GSLP executives to consider them as candidates. Allan said he had been motivated by issues including social housing and secure employment, especially for people with learning difficulties. However, on 17 September, shortly before the candidate selection process, he announced that he had withdrawn his application and left the party. Speaking on the 'Gibraltar Today' section on GBC's Radio Gibraltar, he alleged that he did what he did because the party's leader and Chief Minister, Fabian Picardo, had allegedly conveyed to him that he did not want Allan to be selected and told the executive members not to vote for him, arguing that it broke the democratic process selection. He also alleged that if the executive members voted for him, Fabian Picardo would step down as party leader and/or Chief Minister. He also allegedly stated that he was threatened by Picardo that he would seek him as a backbencher rather than a minister if elected into Government.
On 21 September GSD candidate Youssef El Hana apologised, on GBC's Viewpoint, to Gibraltar's Jewish community for 'offensive language' used on social media from 2018, regarding national and religious conflicts between Palestine and Israel. Reacting to his apology, the Chair of the Charity, Learning from Auschwitz Gibraltar, Naomi Hassan-Weisfogel, said that he marched in the UK calling for the destruction of Israel in support of Palestine and that he had made these offensive posts for months, for which the march, Youseff denies.[6]
On 5 November 2024, Paul Balban revealed to GBC's City Pulse that he originally suggested to himself that he should contest the elections as an Independent candidate, in order to gauge his environmental policies, which had faced public backlash at the time he served his last term as Transport Minister.
Timing and procedure
[edit]Under section 38(2) of the Gibraltar Constitution Order 2006, the Parliament must be dissolved four years after its first meeting following the last election (unless the Chief Minister advises the Governor of Gibraltar to dissolve parliament sooner). Under section 37 of the Constitution, writs for a general election must be issued within thirty days of the dissolution and the general election must then be held no later than three months after the issuing of a writ.[7]
On 12 September 2023 Chief Minister Fabian Picardo formally asked Governor Sir David Steel to dissolve parliament and an election to take place on 12 October 2023.[8]
Opinion polls
[edit]Note: This was Panaroma's last opinion polling article before they dissolved in April 2024.
| Release date | Publisher(s) | Sample size | GSLP/Libs | GSD | TG | Ind. | Split vote |
Blank/ not used |
Don't know/ undecided |
Lead | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 October 2023 | GBC Exit Poll | 1,403 | 48.8%
8 |
49.6%
9 |
– | 1.6% | – | – | – | 0.8% | [9] |
| 10 October 2023[a] | Panorama | – | 49.2% 9 |
48.7% 8 |
– | 2.1% | – | – | – | 0.5% | [10] |
| 9 October 2023[b] | GBC/Chronicle | 600 | 49.9% 8 |
48.3% 9 |
– | 1.8% | – | 9% | – | 1.6% | [11] |
| 5 October 2023[a] | GBC/Chronicle | 600 | 48.65 8 |
49.18% 9 |
– | 2.17% | – | 18%[a] | – | 0.53% | [12] |
| 17 September 2023[c] | GBC | 1,100 | 21.64% | 23.72% | 2.98% | – | 12.26% | 8.03% | 31.38% | 2.08% | [13] |
- ^ a b c No exact number of votes or sample size were mentioned in this particular poll or respective article. In this poll, the following candidates would not be elected (in the following order from higher to lower rankings): Giovanni Origo (GSD), Youssef El Hana (GSD), Vijay Daryanani (GSLP/Liberals), & Robert Vasquez (Independent)
- ^ In these polls published by the joint GBC/Chronicle, the following candidates would not be elected: Joe Bossano (GSLP/Liberals), Vijay Daryanani (GSLP/Liberals), Youssef El Hana (GSD), & Robert Vasquez (Independent).
- ^ Poll published prior to the official declaration of competing candidates
In the initial opinion poll by GBC (released on 17 September 2023), the issues likely to influence votes are reported as the following:[13]
- Cost of Living (47.79%),
- Health Care (45%),
- EU Treaty (33.63%),
- Economy (32.91%),
- Housing (31.2%),
- Cleanliness (24.17%),
- Public Services (19.3%),
- Family Life (17.58%),
- Climate Change (17.13%),
- Crime (15.06%),
- Foreign Policy (14.79%),
- Transport (12.62%),
- McGrail Inquiry (12.26%),
- Development (10.64%),
- Diversity & Inclusion (4.24%)
Incumbent members (from 2019)
[edit]| Candidate | Party | Parliamentary Role(s) | Seeking re-election? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabian Picardo | GSLP | Chief Minister (since 2011) | Yes | |
| Joseph Garcia | LPG | Deputy Chief Minister (since 2011) | Yes | |
| John Cortes | GSLP | Minister for the Environment, Sustainability and Climate Change | Yes | |
| Albert Isola | GSLP | Minister for Digital and Financial Services | No | |
| Joseph Bossano | GSLP | Minister for Economic Development, Enterprise, Telecommunications and the Gibraltar Savings Bank | Yes | |
| Gilbert Licudi | GSLP | Minister for Education, Employment, Utilities and the Port Backbencher |
No | |
| Steven Linares | LPG | Minister for Housing, Youth and Sport | No | |
| Paul Balban | GSLP | Minister for Health and Care | No | |
| Samantha Sacramento | GSLP | Minister for Justice, Multiculturalism, Equality and Community Affairs | No | |
| Vijay Daryanani | LPG | Minister for Business, Tourism and Transport | Yes | |
| Marlene Hassan-Nahon | TG | Opposition MP for Together Gibraltar | No | |
| Damon Bossino | GSD | Shadow Minister | Yes | |
| Daniel Feetham | GSD | Shadow Minister | No | |
| Keith Azopardi | GSD | Leader of the Opposition | Yes | |
| Roy Clinton | GSD | Deputy Leader of the Opposition & Shadow Minister | Yes | |
| Elliott Phillips | GSD | Shadow Minister | No | |
| Edwin Reyes | GSD | Shadow Minister | Yes | |
| Source: Parliament of Gibraltar | ||||
Parties and candidates
[edit]| Party or alliance | Ideology | Current Seats | Slogan | Election Logo | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GSLP/Libs Alliance | Social Democracy, Social Liberalism | 10 | "Keep Gibraltar Safe" | 
| |
| GSD | Liberal Conservatism, British Unionism | 6 | "Make The Change For A Bright Future" | 
| |
| Robert Vasquez | Social Democracy | N/A | "Vote Vasquez Get FACTS (Fairness, Accountability, Community, Transparency, Stability)" | 
| |
Results
[edit]| Party or alliance | Votes | % | Seats | +/– | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alliance | Gibraltar Socialist Labour Party | 63,700 | 35.44 | 7 | 0 | ||
| Liberal Party of Gibraltar | 26,241 | 14.60 | 2 | –1 | |||
| Total | 89,941 | 50.04 | 9 | –1 | |||
| Gibraltar Social Democrats | 86,537 | 48.15 | 8 | +2 | |||
| Ind. Robert Vasquez | 3,262 | 1.81 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Total | 179,740 | 100.00 | 17 | 0 | |||
| Valid votes | 18,784 | 97.55 | |||||
| Invalid/blank votes | 472 | 2.45 | |||||
| Total votes | 19,256 | 100.00 | |||||
| Registered voters/turnout | 25,200 | 76.41 | |||||
| Source: Parliament, Chronicle | |||||||
By candidate
[edit]| Candidate | Party | Alliance | Votes | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Garcia | LPG | GSLP–Liberal Alliance | 9,852 | Elected | |
| Fabian Picardo | GSLP | GSLP–Liberal Alliance | 9,844 | Elected | |
| Keith Azopardi | GSD | - | 9,607 | Elected | |
| Damon Bossino | GSD | - | 9,602 | Elected | |
| Nigel Feetham | GSLP | GSLP–Liberal Alliance | 9,298 | Elected | |
| Gemma Arias-Vasquez | GSLP | GSLP–Liberal Alliance | 9,280 | Elected | |
| John Cortes | GSLP | GSLP–Liberal Alliance | 9,256 | Elected | |
| Roy Clinton | GSD | - | 9,250 | Elected | |
| Craig Sacarello | GSD | - | 9,068 | Elected | |
| Christian Santos | GSLP | GSLP–Liberal Alliance | 8,947 | Elected | |
| Patricia Orfila | GSLP | GSLP–Liberal Alliance | 8,729 | Elected | |
| Edwin Reyes | GSD | - | 8,680 | Elected | |
| Joelle Ladislaus | GSD | - | 8,601 | Elected | |
| Leslie Bruzon | LPG | GSLP–Liberal Alliance | 8,457 | Elected | |
| Joseph Bossano | GSLP | GSLP–Liberal Alliance | 8,346 | Elected | |
| Giovanni Origo | GSD | - | 8,314 | Elected | |
| Atrish Sanchez | GSD | - | 8,258 | Elected | |
| Daniella Tilbury | GSD | - | 8,074 | ||
| Vijay Daryanani | LPG | GSLP–Liberal Alliance | 7,932 | Unseated | |
| Youseff El Hana | GSD | - | 7,083 | ||
| Robert Vasquez | Independent | - | 3,262 | ||
| Source: Parliament, Chronicle | |||||
References
[edit]- ^ a b "2019 election results" (PDF). Gibraltar Parliament. 17 October 2019. Retrieved 18 October 2019.
- ^ "General Election called for 12th October". GBC. 12 September 2023.
- ^ "Marlene Hassan Nahon will not contest the next general election". www.gbc.gi. 14 June 2023. Retrieved 12 October 2023.
- ^ Reyes, Brian (5 September 2023). "TG to present slate at election after GSD rules out alliance". The Gibraltar Chronicle. Retrieved 12 October 2023.
- ^ GBC News. Together Gibraltar will not contest general election. Retrieved 18 September 2023.
- ^ GSD election candidate Youssef El Hana apologises to Gibraltar’s Jewish community for 'offensive language' - Learning from Auschwitz Chair calls his position dangerous & extreme, Gibraltar Broadcasting Corporation, 21 September 2023
- ^ "Official text of the Gibraltar Constitution Order 2006" (PDF). gibraltarlaws.gov.gi. 14 December 2006. Archived from the original (PDF) on 15 November 2012. Retrieved 18 December 2015.
- ^ Peralta, Gabriella (12 September 2023). "Picardo puts Brexit centre stage as Gibraltar heads to polls on October 12 after 'toughest four years'". Gibraltar Chronicle. Retrieved 20 September 2023.
- ^ Peralta, Gabriella (12 October 2023). "GBC exit poll tips thin 0.8% lead for GSD". The Gibraltar Chronicle. Retrieved 12 October 2023.
- ^ "Las elecciones están demasiado reñidas para una predicción exacta: el sondeo da una ajustada victoria a los GSLP/Liberales – A056" (in Spanish). 10 October 2023. Retrieved 10 October 2023.
- ^ "Latest poll: GSLP-Liberals to win on votes but fail to make it to government". Retrieved 10 October 2023.
- ^ "Latest poll: GSD to win election with knife-edge margin of 0.5% and would govern with nine MPs not 10". Retrieved 10 October 2023.
- ^ a b GBC News. GBC Election Poll: Narrow lead for GSD but huge undecided vote holds balance of power. Retrieved 10 October 2023.
