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Panadura Polling Division

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Panadura
Polling Division
Location of Panadura
Coordinates: 6°42′23″N 79°55′28″E / 6.706438°N 79.924384°E / 6.706438; 79.924384
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceWestern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictKalutara Electoral District
Area
 • Total
48.85 km2 (18.86 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
182,285
 • Density3,732/km2 (9,670/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-03A

The Panadura Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kalutara Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Panadura has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Panadura is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Panadura Kalutara Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 1.28% SLPP 5.50%
2015 NDF UPFA 3.54% NDF 1.34%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.99% UPFA 2.89%
2005 UPFA UPFA 2.03% UPFA 7.15%
1999 PA PA 3.93% PA 5.64%
1994 PA PA 5.69% PA 4.74%
1988 SLFP SLFP 3.70% UNP 7.70%
1982 UNP UNP 0.80% UNP 4.09%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 6/8 2.87% 8/8 4.88%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Panadura[4] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 57,447 58.01% 482,920 59.49% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 35,761 36.11% 284,213 35.01% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 3,904 3.94% 27,681 3.41% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,916 1.93% 16,949 2.09% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 99,028 99.17% 811,763 99.16% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 827 0.83% 6,847 0.84% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 99,855 84.11% 818,610 85.71% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 118,719 955,080 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Panadura[5] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 46,820 50.15% 349,404 46.46% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 45,908 49.18% 395,890 52.65% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 627 0.67% 6,690 0.89% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 93,355 98.78% 751,984 98.90% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 1,152 1.22% 8,381 1.10% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 94,507 82.30% 760,365 82.08% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 114,828 926,346 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Panadura[6] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 50,772 61.21% 412,562 63.06% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 31,319 37.76% 231,807 35.43% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 856 1.03% 9,880 1.51% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 82,947 99.34% 654,249 99.31% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 553 0.66% 4,541 0.69% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 83,500 79.10% 658,790 79.05% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 105,569 833,360 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Panadura[7] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 46,097 57.68% 341,693 55.48% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 33,034 41.33% 266,043 43.20% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 790 0.99% 8,124 1.32% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 79,921 99.06% 615,860 98.95% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 762 0.94% 6,517 1.05% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 80,683 79.63% 622,377 79.67% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 101,328 781,175 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Panadura[8] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 39,081 56.58% 281,217 52.88% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 24,976 36.16% 217,423 40.88% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 3,647 5.28% 23,770 4.47% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,369 1.98% 9,399 1.77% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 69,073 97.17% 531,809 97.83% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 2,014 2.83% 11,796 2.17% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 71,087 77.46% 543,605 78.23% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 91,768 694,860 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Panadura[9] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 42,951 67.27% 295,686 61.47% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 20,032 31.37% 178,466 37.10% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 865 1.35% 6,867 1.43% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 63,848 98.58% 481,019 98.50% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 922 1.42% 7,309 1.50% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 64,770 72.33% 488,328 73.97% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 89,554 660,191 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Panadura[10] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 28,366 51.94% 179,761 49.57% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 22,701 41.57% 169,510 46.74% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 3,548 6.50% 13,375 3.69% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 54,615 98.56% 362,646 98.23% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 799 1.44% 6,537 1.77% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 55,414 70.74% 369,183 64.20% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 78,330 575,008 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Panadura[11] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 26,648 48.88% 211,592 50.15% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 23,861 43.77% 185,874 44.06% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 2,011 3.69% 14,499 3.44% 273,428 4.19%
LSSP 1,776 3.26% 8,613 2.04% 58,531 0.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 216 0.40% 1,314 0.31% 190,929 2.93%
Valid Votes 54,512 98.77% 421,892 98.76% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 677 1.23% 5,290 1.24% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 55,189 81.70% 427,182 83.97% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 67,549 508,744 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Panadura has matched the final country result 5 out of 7 times. Hence, Panadura is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Panadura Kalutara Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UPFA 1.17% UNP 2.33%
2010 UPFA UPFA 2.94% UPFA 1.06%
2004 UPFA UPFA 4.90% UPFA 3.89%
2001 UNP UNP 1.49% UNP 2.25%
2000 PA PA 3.52% PA 2.89%
1994 PA PA 4.97% PA 7.25%
1989 SLFP UNP 7.26% UNP 10.15%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/7 6/7 3.75% 7/7 4.26%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Panadura[14] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 40,809 46.63% 338,801 48.58% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 39,190 44.78% 310,234 44.48% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 6,253 7.14% 38,475 5.52% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,271 1.45% 9,951 1.43% 85,579 0.77%
Valid Votes 87,523 97.49% 697,461 97.00% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,232 2.49% 21,366 2.97% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 89,773 78.18% 719,001 80.13% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 114,828 897,349 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Panadura[15] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 37,818 59.64% 313,836 63.74% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 18,022 28.42% 139,596 28.35% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 7,340 11.57% 36,722 7.46% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 234 0.37% 2,246 0.46% 34,923 0.44%
Valid Votes 63,414 91.48% 492,400 90.41% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 5,851 8.44% 51,751 9.50% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 69,320 65.66% 544,606 65.21% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 105,569 835,186 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Panadura[16] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 35,687 48.03% 291,208 51.72% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 24,020 32.32% 212,721 37.78% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 14,274 19.21% 56,615 10.06% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 328 0.44% 2,475 0.44% 49,030 0.53%
Valid Votes 74,309 95.82% 563,019 94.82% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,240 4.18% 30,741 5.18% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 77,549 77.75% 593,760 79.58% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 99,741 746,138 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Panadura[17] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 32,013 43.88% 254,339 45.94% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 29,288 40.14% 226,468 40.91% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 9,435 12.93% 60,451 10.92% 815,353 9.10%
SU 1,367 1.87% 5,103 0.92% 50,665 0.57%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 857 1.17% 7,258 1.31% 86,426 0.97%
Valid Votes 72,960 95.23% 553,619 94.44% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,655 4.77% 32,617 5.56% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 76,615 79.40% 586,236 81.68% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 96,487 717,764 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Panadura[18] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 30,848 43.08% 255,175 46.86% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 25,994 36.30% 217,215 39.89% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 7,047 9.84% 38,373 7.05% 518,725 6.03%
SU 4,035 5.63% 15,619 2.87% 127,859 1.49%
NUA 2,857 3.99% 11,943 2.19% 185,593 2.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 832 1.16% 6,193 1.14% 136,137 1.58%
Valid Votes 71,613 N/A 544,518 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Panadura[19] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 39,309 58.52% 271,754 53.77% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 25,692 38.25% 221,115 43.75% 3,498,370 44.04%
MEP 1,163 1.73% 5,914 1.17% 68,538 0.86%
SLPF 970 1.44% 6,238 1.23% 90,078 1.13%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 41 0.06% 339 0.07% 813 0.01%
Valid Votes 67,175 96.22% 505,360 95.21% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,642 3.78% 25,397 4.79% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 69,817 77.96% 530,757 80.20% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 89,554 661,793 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Panadura[20] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 23,778 47.08% 131,510 40.94% 1,785,369 31.90%
UNP 20,473 40.53% 160,069 49.84% 2,838,005 50.71%
USA 3,025 5.99% 12,342 3.84% 141,983 2.54%
SLMC 2,428 4.81% 12,971 4.04% 202,016 3.61%
MEP 641 1.27% 2,690 0.84% 90,480 1.62%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 165 0.33% 1,611 0.50% 67,723 1.21%
Valid Votes 50,510 95.90% 321,193 94.10% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,162 4.10% 20,139 5.90% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 52,672 68.55% 341,332 59.86% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 76,836 570,193 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Panadura Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (84.6%) and a significant Moor population (14.1%) . In comparison, the Kalutara Electoral District (which contains the Panadura Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (86.8%) [1]

Ethnicity in Panadura[1]

  Sinhalese (84.6%)
  Moor (14.1%)
  Other (1.3%)

Religion

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The Panadura Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (78.6%) and a significant Muslim population (14.4%) . In comparison, the Kalutara Electoral District (which contains the Panadura Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (83.4%) [1]

Religion in Panadura[1]

  Buddhist (78.6%)
  Muslim (14.4%)
  Roman Catholic (5.1%)
  Other Christian (1.3%)
  Other (0.6%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Panadura and the Kalutara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Panadura and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Panadura and the Kalutara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Panadura and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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