Opinion polling for the 2008 Italian general election
(Redirected from Opinion polling for the Italian general election, 2008)
In the years running up to the 2008 Italian general election, various organisations carried out opinion polls to gauge voting intention in Italy. Results of such polls are given in this article. Poll results are reported at the dates when the fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication; if such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. Under the Italian par condicio (equal conditions) law, publication of opinion polls is forbidden in the last two weeks of an electoral campaign.[1][2]
Party vote
[edit]Graphical summary
[edit]
2008
[edit]| Date | Polling firm | PD | PdL | UDC | SA | LN | IdV | LD | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13–14 April | Election results | 33.2 | 37.4 | 5.6 | 3.1 | 8.3 | 4.4 | 2.4 | 5.6 | 4.2 |
| 26–27 Mar | Crespi | 32.9 | 37.2 | 5.5 | 6.3 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 5.1 | 4.3 |
| 25–26 Mar | Demos&Pi | 34.8 | 39.8 | 5.8 | 6.0 | 5.9 | 4.3 | — | 3.4 | 5.0 |
| 21–25 Mar | Lorien | 32.5 | 39.1 | 7.1 | 7.2 | 5.4 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 3.5 | 6.6 |
| 21–22 Mar | ISPO | 35.0 | 39.5 | 5.5 | 7.0 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
| 17–21 Mar | Quaeris | 32.5 | 37.2 | 6.0 | 6.5 | 6.0 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 4.3 | 4.7 |
| 17–21 Mar | Euromedia | 32.2 | 38.3 | 5.1 | 7.8 | 5.5 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 4.8 | 6.1 |
| 13–17 Mar | Demoskopea | 34.5 | 40.5 | 6.0 | 7.5 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 6.0 |
| 15–16 Mar | Digis | 34.5 | 40.4 | 6.9 | 6.7 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 5.9 |
| 14 Mar | ClandestinoWeb | 32.0 | 35.0 | 7.4 | 7.2 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 3.0 |
| 11–13 Mar | Lorien | 32.9 | 39.2 | 7.3 | 7.3 | 4.8 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 3.6 | 6.3 |
| 10–13 Mar | Demopolis | 33.5 | 38.0 | 6.5 | 7.5 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| 5–13 Mar | Quaeris | 32.0 | 37.0 | 7.0 | 6.5 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 5.0 |
| 11 Mar | ISPO | 33.5 | 39.0 | 5.5 | 9.5 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 5.5 |
| 7–11 Mar | Dinamiche | 33.2 | 37.9 | 6.1 | 7.7 | 5.6 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 4.7 |
| 10 Mar | Crespi | 31.8 | 34.8 | 7.4 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 4.2 | 6.0 | 3.0 |
| 5–10 Mar | Demos&Pi | 34.0 | 39.3 | 6.0 | 6.2 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 5.3 |
| 8–9 Mar | Digis | 33.4 | 41.1 | 7.0 | 7.1 | 4.6 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 7.7 |
| 6–7 Mar | IPR | 32.0 | 38.0 | 7.0 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 6.0 |
| 3–6 Mar | Lorien | 33.7 | 37.0 | 7.4 | 7.9 | 6.0 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 3.3 |
| 20 Feb–4 Mar | ISPO | 35.0 | 39.5 | 5.5 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
| 3 Mar | Crespi | 30.8 | 37.9 | 6.9 | 6.5 | 5.0 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 4.3 | 6.9 |
| 28 Feb–3 Mar | Demoskopea | 33.5 | 40.5 | 7.5 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 |
| 29 Feb–1 Mar | Euromedia | 32.4 | 40.0 | 5.7 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 7.6 |
| 28–29 Feb | IPR | 32.0 | 38.0 | 7.0 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 4.2 | 6.0 |
| 25–28 Feb | Demopolis | 33.5 | 39.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 3.5 | — | 6.0 | 5.5 |
| 25 Feb | Crespi | 32.5 | 37.0 | 6.5 | 7.0 | 5.3 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 5.1 | 4.5 |
| 21–25 Feb | Demoskopea | 34.5 | 39.5 | 6.0 | 8.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 |
| 22–23 Feb | Euromedia | 32.9 | 40.6 | 3.8 | 7.9 | 5.6 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 4.3 | 7.7 |
| 18 Feb | Crespi | 31.0 | 37.5 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 5.5 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 4.5 | 6.5 |
| 14–18 Feb | Demoskopea | 32.5 | 40.0 | 7.0 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 7.5 |
| 11–12 Feb | Crespi | 32.0 | 37.0 | 6.5 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 5.0 |
| 10–12 Feb | Ferrari Nasi | 32.0 | 41.0 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 7.0 | 6.5 | 2.7 | 3.8 | 9.0 |
| 11 Feb | Ipsos | 34.8 | 40.2 | 5.3 | 7.1 | 5.9 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5.4 |
| 4–11 Feb | Piepoli | 29.0 | 40.5 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 11.5 |
| 25–31 Jan | Demopolis | 29.0 | 40.5 | 6.5 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 11.5 |
| 21–22 Jan | Ekma | 26.4 | 38.0 | 7.2 | 9.2 | 7.0 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 6.3 | 11.6 |
| 9–10 Jan | Ekma | 27.0 | 40.0 | 3.5 | 7.8 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 5.7 | 13.0 |
2007
[edit]| Date | Polling firm | Ulivo/ PD |
FI | AN | UDC | PRC | LN | PdCI | IdV | FdV | LD | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13–14 Dec | Ekma | 31.0 | 33.0 | 9.0 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 6.2 | 2.0 |
| 3–7 Dec | Dinamiche | 25.7 | 27.1 | 12.5 | 6.3 | 5.3 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 7.9 | 1.4 |
| 19 Nov | Ekma | 30.0 | 33.2 | 9.0 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 8.2 | 3.2 |
| 9–11 Nov | Ekma | 29.2 | 28.5 | 11.0 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 8.2 | 0.7 |
| 19 Nov | Ekma | 26.0 | 26.5 | 14.0 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | — | 8.5 | 0.5 |
| 27–30 Sep | ISPO | 26.6 | 28.2 | 14.2 | 5.0 | 5.3 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 3.5 | 2.1 | — | 6.3 | 1.6 |
| 11–13 Sep | Eurisko | 26.2 | 27.0 | 14.2 | 6.8 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 2.7 | — | 8.1 | 0.8 |
| 7–10 Sep | Ekma | 28.0 | 30.0 | 9.0 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 5.7 | 1.0 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 8.3 | 2.0 |
| 2–3 Jul | Ekma | 27.5 | 29.9 | 10.8 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 1.2 | 3.9 | 3.0 | — | 8.7 | 2.4 |
| 4–5 Jul | Ekma | 27.5 | 30.0 | 8.2 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 1.2 | 3.9 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 8.0 | 2.5 |
| 25–27 Jun | Eurisko | 24.3 | 26.3 | 13.7 | 6.6 | 6.6 | 5.7 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 2.3 | — | 9.6 | 2.0 |
| 8–9 Jun | Euromedia | 25.4 | 32.0 | 11.4 | 5.4 | 5.3 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.0 | — | 8.3 | 6.6 |
| 1 Jun | Ekma | 25.0 | 30.0 | 11.0 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 5.9 | 1.4 | 4.1 | 3.0 | — | 10.1 | 5.0 |
| 2 May | Ekma | 26.0 | 30.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 5.9 | 2.0 | 4.3 | 3.3 | — | 7.5 | 4.0 |
| 2–3 Apr | Ekma | 23.0 | 29.5 | 11.0 | 7.5 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 4.7 | 3.5 | — | 8.8 | 6.5 |
| 29–31 Mar | IPR | 25.0 | 27.0 | 13.0 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | — | 12.0 | 2.0 |
| 1–2 Mar | Ekma | 24.0 | 28.5 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 3.0 | — | 9.0 | 4.5 |
| 8 Jan–2 Mar | Euromedia | 26.8 | 33.0 | 11.3 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 2.0 | — | 7.4 | 6.2 |
| 21 Feb | Unicab | 25.9 | 29.3 | 13.6 | 7.2 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 2.0 | — | 8.9 | 3.4 |
| 1–2 Feb | Ekma | 26.0 | 28.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 2.5 | — | 10.0 | 2.0 |
| 8–9 Jan | Ekma | 26.0 | 30.0 | 11.5 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 2.2 | — | 8.1 | 4.0 |
| 8 Jan | Euromedia | 26.0 | 32.6 | 11.8 | 4.1 | 5.8 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 1.9 | — | 8.0 | 6.6 |
2006
[edit]| Date | Polling firm | Ulivo | FI | AN | UDC | PRC | LN | PdCI | IdV | FdV | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec | Euromedia | 28.1 | 31.5 | 12.2 | 3.9 | 5.7 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 7.4 | 3.4 |
| 30 Nov–1 Dec | Ekma | 26.0 | 30.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 8.5 | 4.0 |
| 17 Nov | Unicab | 26.4 | 28.1 | 14.0 | 7.6 | 4.9 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 8.4 | 1.7 |
| 9–10 Nov | Ekma | 27.0 | 28.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 |
| 19 Oct | Euromedia | 28.3 | 29.4 | 12.0 | 4.7 | 5.0 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 7.9 | 1.1 |
| 13 Oct | Euromedia | 29.0 | 29.0 | 11.4 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 4.7 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 9.1 | 0.0 |
| 26 Sep–3 Oct | Eurisko | 30.0 | 23.2 | 13.2 | 6.4 | 6.2 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 8.6 | 6.8 |
| 28–29 Sep | Eurisko | 30.0 | 27.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 9.5 | 3.0 |
| 12 Jul–15 Sep | Ekma | 30.0 | 28.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 |
| 17–18 Jul | IPR | 30.0 | 20.5 | 11.5 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 10.5 | 9.5 |
| 12–13 Jul | Ekma | 30.0 | 28.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 |
| 9–10 April | Election results | 31.3 | 23.7 | 12.3 | 6.8 | 5.8 | 4.6 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 8.8 | 7.6 |
References
[edit]- ^ "Diffusione dei sondaggi" (in Italian). AGCOM. Archived from the original on 20 February 2018. Retrieved 3 November 2022.
- ^ Crespi, Luigi (20 February 2018). "Il blocco dei sondaggi è il trionfo dell'ipocrisia". HuffPost (in Italian). Archived from the original on 20 February 2018. Retrieved 3 November 2022.
