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2010 Latvian parliamentary election

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2010 Latvian parliamentary election
Latvia
← 2006 2 October 2010 2011 →
Party Leader Vote % Seats +/–
Unity Valdis Dombrovskis 31.90 33 +15
Harmony Centre Jānis Urbanovičs 26.61 29 +12
ZZS Aivars Lembergs 20.11 22 +4
NA Roberts Zile 7.84 8 0
For a Good Latvia Ainārs Šlesers 7.82 8 −25
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
Results by electoral district
Prime Minister before Prime Minister after
Valdis Dombrovskis
New Era		 Valdis Dombrovskis
Unity
Politics of Latvia
Constitution
Government
Saeima
Elections
Political parties
Administrative divisions
Foreign relations

Parliamentary elections were held in Latvia on 2 October 2010.[1][2] It was the first parliamentary election to be held in Latvia since the beginning of the economic crisis during which Latvia had experienced one of the deepest recessions in the world.[3]

A total of 1,239 candidates representing 13 parties or alliances stood in five electoral constituencies equivalent to the four regions of Latvia and Riga city. With 1012 of 1013 polling stations counted, results showed an increase in support for the incumbent coalition government of Valdis Dombrovskis, with 58% of the vote and 63 of the 100 seats.[4]

Background

[edit]

It appeared that early elections would be held in early 2009, when the government was faced with violent protests over the effects of the 2007–2008 financial crisis on Latvia and some politicians saw early elections as the only way to confront the people's anger.[5] The elections were to be averted if the Saeima passed constitutional reform laws, including a law to allow referendums on dissolving parliament, by 31 March 2009;[6] if this had not happened, the President of Latvia, Valdis Zatlers, would have dissolved parliament.[7]

After surviving a vote of no confidence in early February, PM Ivars Godmanis resigned on 20 February 2009 after the two largest parties (People's Party and the Union of Greens and Farmers) called for his dismissal.[citation needed] A new government was formed, headed by Valdis Dombrovskis.[8] There were also discussions that President Zatlers might use the parliamentary dissolution power of Latvian President to call a referendum on holding early elections.[9] Zatlers stated on 23 February 2009 that early elections might be necessary, and that he was willing to extend the deadline for reforms from 31 March for one week to 7 April 2009 due to the collapse of the government.[10]

The tasks given to parliament were: pass constitutional amendments to allow the people to dissolve parliament, passing electoral reforms and setting up an economic supervisory council for the recovery plan and international loans. The tasks given to the government were: coming up with a recovery plan and implementing it, appointing a new head for the Corruption Prevention Board, and reorganising the government and public administration.[11] Zatlers stated he would hold talks with politicians from all parties on 31 March 2009 and announce his assessment of the situation on the same day.[12]

On 31 March 2009, Zatlers announced he would not dissolve parliament. The Saeima was to consider constitutional amendments as early as 9 April 2009.[13][14]

Changes to the electoral law

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Several changes to the election law took effect for this election.[15] The so-called "locomotive law" (Latvian: lokomotīvju likuma) meant that candidates were restricted to standing in one constituency.[15] In addition to completing registration forms in paper format, for the first time, parties also had to register electronically.[15] Voting hours were shortened, with polling stations closing two hours earlier at 8 pm instead of 10 pm.[15] Finally laws relating to election spending were tightened, in particular, laws against third party advertising on behalf of political parties were strengthened.[15]

Contesting parties

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There are thirteen parties and electoral alliances running:[16]

New electoral alliances established

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In the run-up to the election, three right-wing parties (New Era Party, Civic Union and Society for Other Politics) established an alliance called Unity on 6 March 2010. Furthermore, most of the parties constituting the Harmony Centre alliance (National Harmony Party, New Centre and Social Democratic Party – but not the Socialist Party of Latvia and the Daugavpils City Party) had merged into the Social Democratic Party "Harmony" on 10 February 2010.[18] On 22 April 2010, the People's Party and the Latvia's First Party/Latvian Way formed an electoral alliance (including the newly founded businessmen's movement For a Good Latvia) called For a Good Latvia.[19][20]

Unity on 28 May 2010 declined to include For Fatherland and Freedom/LNNK and the far-right All For Latvia! in their alliance;[21] these two parties then decided to form an electoral alliance.[22]

Pre-election debates

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Numerous televised debates took place prior to the election. These involved either the party leaders or other senior party figures. In all, seven debates took place on the LNT Channel, five of these were held on a regional basis and all involved parties which were polling 2% or above in opinion polls.[23] A total of eleven debates took place on the LTV Channel, five of which were held on a regional basis, with one debate between the Prime Ministerial candidates and a further five held on the basis of five themes: Finance, Prosperity, Health, Economy and Development, and Education and Culture. Like the LNT debates, these involved parties which opinion polls indicated would poll 2% or more. A twelfth debate was held on LTV between the remaining seven parties or electoral lists which were not expected to poll 2%. The two debates held on the PBK Channel involved the four parties which the opinion polls indicated would poll 5% or more. However outgoing Prime Minister Valdis Dombrovskis refused to take part in the debate, following controversy over previous remarks made by the debate's moderator Aleksandr Gordon. Unity decided not to send a replacement and were absent from the debate.[24]

Opinion polls

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Pre-election polls had indicated that the outgoing government could be re-elected however they had also pointed to the possibility of one of the main opposition parties, Harmony Centre, making gains and becoming the largest party in the Saeima.[25]

According to a poll[26] conducted in June by Latvijas fakti, Harmony Centre would get 18.5% of the vote; Unity, 16.2%; Union of Greens and Farmers, 11.3%; For a Good Latvia, 5.3% and National Alliance, 4.4%.

A later Latvijas Fakti poll conducted between 25 and 27 September 2010 showed 21.2% support for Harmony Centre, 19.2% for Unity, 9.9% for Greens and Farmers and For Fatherland and Freedom on 5.2%. For a Good Latvia, led by members of the previous government, was at 7.8%. About 19 percent of the 1,004 respondents were undecided. The margin of error was 3.2 percent.[27]

Conduct

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OSCE/ODIHR Limited Election Observation Mission provided, among others, the following recommendations:

  • allowing independent candidates to stand in elections;
  • giving consideration to granting “non-citizens” of Latvia the right to vote in municipal elections;
  • issuing voter education materials in minority languages, enabling use of minority languages when dealing with election authorities;
  • stronger sanctions for campaign violations;
  • reviewing candidacy restrictions based on lustration provisions with a view to bringing them to an early end.[28]

Results

[edit]
PartyVotes%Seats+/–
Unity301,42931.9033+15
Harmony Centre251,40026.6129+12
Union of Greens and Farmers190,02520.1122+4
National Alliance74,0297.8480
For a Good Latvia73,8817.828–25
For Human Rights in United Latvia13,8471.470–6
Made in Latvia9,3800.990New
Last Party8,4580.900New
For a Presidential Republic7,1020.750New
Responsibility – Social Democratic Alliance of Political Parties6,1390.650New
People's Control4,0020.420New
Christian Democratic Union 3,4880.370New
Daugava – For Latvia1,6610.180New
Total944,841100.001000
Valid votes944,84197.86
Invalid/blank votes20,6972.14
Total votes965,538100.00
Registered voters/turnout1,532,31963.01
Source: CVL, CVK, CVK

Aftermath

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Though the result made a variety of coalition options possible,[29] including a coalition government formed by Harmony Centre and The Union of Greens and Farmers,[29] Dombrovskis said that Unity and the Greens and Farmers had agreed to continue working together and form a government, to be approved by parliament on 2 November.[30] For Fatherland and Freedom was also expected to be part of the government.[30] However Dombrovskis also said that he was seeking a cooperation deal with Harmony Centre in a bid to win additional support for further budget cuts. "We offer an opportunity to sign a cooperation agreement with Harmony Center, to agree on cooperation in parliament, maybe, also delegating a minister."[31]

References

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  1. ^ "Latvian PM fails to build majority government [World Bulletin – Turkey News, World News ]". Worldbulletin.net. 12 April 2010. Archived from the original on 18 September 2012. Retrieved 4 October 2010.
  2. ^ "IFES Election Guide – Country Profile: Latvia". Electionguide.org. Retrieved 4 October 2010.
  3. ^ "Latvians Vote in Election After Economic Crisis", Business Week, 2 October 2010 Archived 30 October 2010 at the Wayback Machine
  4. ^ "Latvia PM wins election, to hold coalition talks" Reuters, 3 October 2010
  5. ^ [1][dead link]
  6. ^ The Earthtimes (4 February 2009). "Latvian prime minister wins crucial confidence vote | Earth Times News". Earthtimes.org. Archived from the original on 25 August 2012. Retrieved 4 October 2010.
  7. ^ "If Saeima does not amend Constitution by March 31, Zatlers will propose dissolving parliament". The Baltic Course. 14 January 2009. Retrieved 4 October 2010.
  8. ^ Dombrovskis chosen as Latvian PM, BBC News, 26 February 2009
  9. ^ "Social, economic woes, political pressure behind Latvian prime minister's resignation – People's Daily Online". English.people.com.cn. 21 February 2009. Retrieved 4 October 2010.
  10. ^ "Latvia's president says snap election possible". Pr-inside.com. Archived from the original on 29 February 2012. Retrieved 4 October 2010.
  11. ^ "President of Latvia hopes that his tasks will be accomplished". The Baltic Course. 20 September 2010. Retrieved 4 October 2010.
  12. ^ "Zatlers waiting for accomplishment evaluations from the Government till March 31". The Baltic Course. 27 March 2009. Retrieved 4 October 2010.
  13. ^ Kate McIntosh (1 April 2009). "Zatlers not to dissolve parliament". The Baltic Times. Retrieved 4 October 2010.
  14. ^ "International – News sur Easy Bourse". Easybourse.com. 30 September 2010. Archived from the original on 6 April 2009. Retrieved 4 October 2010.
  15. ^ a b c d e ""Vēlēšanu lokomotīves noņemtas no trases", Kas Jauns, 2 July 2010". Archived from the original on 6 March 2012. Retrieved 11 April 2019.
  16. ^ "The 10th Saeima elections". Web.cvk.lv. 30 September 2010. Archived from the original on 19 October 2010. Retrieved 4 October 2010.
  17. ^ "Lembergs brings 'experience' to Green Party ticket". The Baltic Times. 7 July 2010. Retrieved 4 October 2010.
  18. ^ "Google Translate". Retrieved 4 October 2010.
  19. ^ Greenhalgh, Nathan (22 April 2010). "People's Party, LPP/LC join". balticreports.com. Archived from the original on 9 October 2011. Retrieved 4 October 2010.
  20. ^ "Google Translate". Retrieved 4 October 2010.
  21. ^ Greenhalgh, Nathan (31 May 2010). "Unity forgoes merging with far-right". balticreports.com. Archived from the original on 9 October 2011. Retrieved 4 October 2010.
  22. ^ "Google Translate". Retrieved 4 October 2010.
  23. ^ "Arī LNT sola vērienīgi atspoguļot Saeimas vēlēšanas", delfi.lv, 16 August 2010. Retrieved 2 October 2010.
  24. ^ Diena, 29 September 2010
  25. ^ Financial Times, 2 October 2010
  26. ^ "Populārākās partijas: "Saskaņas centrs", "Vienotība" un ZZS" (in Latvian). Archived from the original on 8 September 2010. Retrieved 30 August 2010.
  27. ^ "Latvian Election May Keep Dombrovskis in Power as Russians Gain", Business Week, 30 September 2010 Archived 16 April 2011 at the Wayback Machine
  28. ^ Republic of Latvia parliamentary elections 2 October 2010. OSCE/ODIHR Limited Election Observation Mission Final Report, 2007 — p. 18-19
  29. ^ a b Diena, p4-5, 4 October 2010
  30. ^ a b Latvian PM, coalition partner agree to stay in govt, Reuters, 3 October 2010
  31. ^ Latvia PM woos opposition, budget fight seen ahead, Reuters, 4 October 2010
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