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2009 Galician regional election

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2009 Galician regional election
← 2005 1 March 2009 2012 →
All 75 seats in the Parliament of Galicia
38 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered2,648,276 Green arrow up1.2%
Turnout1,706,198 (64.4%)
Green arrow up0.2 pp
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Alberto Núñez Feijóo Emilio Pérez Touriño Anxo Quintana
Party PP PSdeG–PSOE BNG
Leader since 15 January 2006 10 October 1998 23 November 2003
Leader's seat Pontevedra Pontevedra Ourense
Last election 37 seats, 45.2% 25 seats, 33.2% 13 seats, 18.7%
Seats won 38 25 12
Seat change Green arrow up1 Blue arrow right0 Red arrow down1
Popular vote 789,427 524,488 270,712
Percentage 46.7% 31.0% 16.0%
Swing Green arrow up1.5 pp Red arrow down2.2 pp Red arrow down2.7 pp
Constituency results map for the Parliament of Galicia
President before election

Emilio Pérez Touriño
PSdeG–PSOE

Elected President

Alberto Núñez Feijóo
PP

The 2009 Galician regional election was held on Sunday, 1 March 2009, to elect the 8th Parliament of the autonomous community of Galicia. All 75 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with a regional election in the Basque Country.

The election saw the People's Party (PP) retake control of the parliament from the coalition of the Socialists' Party of Galicia (PSdeG–PSOE) and the Galician Nationalist Bloc (BNG), with a majority of 1 seat. As a result, Alberto Núñez Feijoo became the new President of Galicia.

Overview

[edit]

Electoral system

[edit]

The Parliament of Galicia was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Galicia, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Galician Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1] Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Galicia and in full enjoyment of their political rights.

The 75 members of the Parliament of Galicia were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of A Coruña, Lugo, Ourense and Pontevedra, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 10 seats and the remaining 35 being distributed in proportion to their populations.[1][2]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Parliament constituency was entitled the following seats:

Seats Constituencies
24 A Coruña
22 Pontevedra
15 Lugo
14 Ourense

In smaller constituencies, the use of the electoral method resulted in an effective threshold based on the district magnitude and the distribution of votes among candidacies.[3]

Election date

[edit]

The term of the Parliament of Galicia expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Journal of Galicia (DOG), with election day taking place between the fifty-fourth and the sixtieth day from publication. The previous election was held on 19 June 2005, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 19 June 2009. The election decree was required to be published in the DOG no later than 26 May 2009, with the election taking place up to the sixtieth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Saturday, 25 July 2009.[1][2]

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Galicia and call a snap election, provided that it did not occur before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[4]

Parties and candidates

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The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[2][5]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

Candidacy Parties and
alliances 		Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Ref.
Votes (%) Seats
PP
List
 Alberto Núñez Feijóo Conservatism
Christian democracy 		45.23% 37 ☒N
PSdeG–
PSOE
List
 Emilio Pérez Touriño Social democracy 33.22% 25 checkY
BNG
List
 Anxo Quintana Galician nationalism
Left-wing nationalism
Socialism 		18.65% 13 checkY

Opinion polls

[edit]

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

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The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 38 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Galicia.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls   Exit poll

Voting preferences

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The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Victory preferences

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The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Victory likelihood

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The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Preferred President

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The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Regional Government of Galicia.

Predicted President

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The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become president of the Regional Government of Galicia.

Results

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Overall

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← Summary of the 1 March 2009 Parliament of Galicia election results →
Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Total +/−
People's Party (PP) 789,427 46.68 +1.45 38 +1
Socialists' Party of Galicia (PSdeG–PSOE) 524,488 31.02 –2.20 25 ±0
Galician Nationalist Bloc (BNG) 270,712 16.01 –2.64 12 –1
Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) 23,796 1.41 New 0 ±0
Galician Land (TeGa) 18,726 1.11 New 0 ±0
United Left (EU–IU) 16,441 0.97 +0.23 0 ±0
The Greens–Green Group (OV–GV) 5,911 0.35 New 0 ±0
For a Fairer World (PUM+J) 3,507 0.21 New 0 ±0
Galician People's Front (FPG) 2,903 0.17 –0.01 0 ±0
We–People's Unity (Nós–UP) 1,510 0.09 –0.01 0 ±0
Humanist Party (PH) 1,227 0.07 –0.02 0 ±0
Ourensan Democracy (DO) 1,066 0.06 +0.02 0 ±0
More Galicia (+G) 923 0.05 New 0 ±0
Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE–JONS) 675 0.04 –0.02 0 ±0
Internationalist Solidarity and Self-Management (SAIn) 420 0.02 New 0 ±0
United Galicia (GU) 369 0.02 New 0 ±0
Liberal Centrist Union (UCL) 311 0.02 New 0 ±0
Social Democratic Party of Law (SDD) 262 0.02 +0.01 0 ±0
Electronic Voting Assembly (AVE) 230 0.01 New 0 ±0
Blank ballots 28,071 1.66 +0.41
Total 1,690,975 75 ±0
Valid votes 1,690,975 99.11 –0.43
Invalid votes 15,223 0.89 +0.43
Votes cast / turnout 1,706,198 64.43 +0.22
Abstentions 942,078 35.57 –0.22
Registered voters 2,648,276
Sources[7][8]
Popular vote
PP
 
 46.68%
PSdeG–PSOE
 
 31.02%
BNG
 
 16.01%
UPyD
 
 1.41%
TeGa
 
 1.11%
Others
 
 2.11%
Blank ballots
 
 1.66%
Seats
PP
 
 50.67%
PSdeG–PSOE
 
 33.33%
BNG
 
 16.00%

Distribution by constituency

[edit]
Constituency PP PSdeG BNG
% S % S % S
A Coruña 45.5 12 30.6 8 15.7 4
Lugo 47.8 8 32.7 5 14.6 2
Ourense 48.5 7 31.9 5 16.0 2
Pontevedra 46.9 11 30.5 7 16.9 4
Total 46.7 38 31.0 25 16.0 12
Sources[7][8]

Aftermath

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Investiture
Alberto Núñez Feijóo (PP)
Ballot → 16 April 2009
Required majority → 38 out of 75 checkY
Yes
  • • PP (38)
38 / 75
No
36 / 75
Abstentions
0 / 75
Absentees
1 / 75
Sources[7]

References

[edit]
Opinion poll sources
  1. ^ "Avance: Programa especial elecciones gallegas y vascas - 01/03/2009". YouTube (in Spanish). 1 March 2009.
  2. ^ "Los primeros sondeos: el PP consigue 36-38 escaños, el PSOE 25-27 y el BNG 11-13". 20minutos (in Spanish). 1 March 2009.
  3. ^ "Ibarretxe seguirá siendo lehendakari y Touriño mantendrá Galicia, según el sondeo de Ipsos". Público (in Spanish). 1 March 2009.
  4. ^ "La encuesta de IPSOS para TVG no garantiza la mayoría absoluta al Partido Popular". La Razón (in Spanish). 1 March 2009.
  5. ^ "En busca del nuevo Touriño: Manuel Vázquez lidera las apuestas". Diariocrítico (in Spanish). 1 March 2009.
  6. ^ "Se repiten los resultados del 2005, según la encuesta de Sondaxe". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 1 March 2009.
  7. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o "Instituto Sondaxe. Tracking electoral. Elecciones al Parlamento de Galicia 1 de Marzo 2009" (PDF). Sondaxe (in Spanish). 1 March 2009. Archived from the original (PDF) on 23 August 2016. Retrieved 28 August 2016.
  8. ^ "PSOE y BNG podrían repetir gobierno aunque el PP muestra tendencia al avance" (PDF). El Progreso (in Spanish). 22 February 2009. Archived from the original on 5 February 2012.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  9. ^ "El PSOE y el BNG tienen a Feijóo pisándole los talones en la recta final". Xornal de Galicia (in Spanish). 22 February 2009.[permanent dead link]
  10. ^ "El bipartito repetirá en la Xunta pero no abre una gran brecha con el PP". Faro de Vigo (in Spanish). 22 February 2009.
  11. ^ "La intención de voto se estabiliza" (PDF). La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 23 February 2009. Archived from the original (PDF) on 12 September 2017. Retrieved 12 September 2017.
  12. ^ "La campaña no mueve a los indecisos". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 22 February 2009.
  13. ^ "El PP se acerca al cambio en Galicia". La Razón (in Spanish). 22 February 2009. Archived from the original on 26 February 2009.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  14. ^ "Máximo equilibrio en la carrera final hacia el 1-M". La Región (in Spanish). 22 February 2009. Archived from the original on 30 June 2012.
  15. ^ a b c d "Elecciones a la Xunta de Galicia. Datos del 20 de Febrero de 2009" (PDF). Infortécnica (in Spanish). 20 February 2009.
  16. ^ "Los escándalos de Touriño sitúan a los populares al borde de la mayoría absoluta". ABC (in Spanish). 22 February 2009.
  17. ^ "Encuesta Radiografía de Galicia". El Mundo (in Spanish). 22 February 2009.
  18. ^ a b c "El PP, a un escaño de volver al poder en Galicia". Público (in Spanish). 21 February 2009. Archived from the original on 24 February 2009.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  19. ^ "El PP ganaría las elecciones gallegas aunque sin mayoría absoluta". Antena 3 (in Spanish). 19 February 2009.[permanent dead link]
  20. ^ "El último sondeo de Antena 3 no deja lugar a dudas en torno al 1-M". El Semanal Digital (in Spanish). 19 February 2009. Archived from the original on 13 September 2017. Retrieved 12 September 2017.
  21. ^ "El bipartito consolida su mayoría aunque el PP conserva un amplio apoyo de los electores". El Correo Gallego (in Spanish). 22 February 2009. Archived from the original on 25 February 2009.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  22. ^ a b c d "El bipartito gallego resiste" (PDF). El País (in Spanish). 22 February 2009. Archived from the original on 10 December 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  23. ^ a b c "La resistencia del PP pone en peligro la hegemonía del PSdeG y el Bloque". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 22 February 2009.
  24. ^ "Barómetro ASCA: El PP estable en los 39 escaños". Galicia Diario (in Spanish). 15 February 2009.
  25. ^ "El PP recupera un escaño". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 15 February 2009.
  26. ^ "Los indecisos y el voto oculto mantienen el empate entre el PP y la coalición PSOE-BNG". La Región (in Spanish). 15 February 2009. Archived from the original on 21 September 2011.
  27. ^ "Dos sondeos prevén reeditar el bipartito tras el 1-M y uno más mantiene la posibilidad de mayoría para el PP". Europa Press (in Spanish). 15 February 2009.
  28. ^ a b c d "Elecciones a la Xunta de Galicia. Datos del 13 de Febrero de 2009" (PDF). Infortécnica (in Spanish). 13 February 2009.
  29. ^ "PSOE y BNG seguirán en la Xunta pese a la mayoría del PP". La Razón (in Spanish). 16 February 2009. Archived from the original on 17 December 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  30. ^ "El pulsómetro: Los socialistas y Bloque podrían renovar". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 12 February 2009.
  31. ^ a b c d e "Encuesta en la Comunidad Autónoma de Galicia". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 12 February 2009. Archived from the original on 21 March 2009. Retrieved 10 April 2019.
  32. ^ "Intención de voto decidido" (PDF). Instituto Opina (in Spanish). 12 February 2009. Archived from the original (PDF) on 23 September 2015. Retrieved 22 June 2015.
  33. ^ "Lugo y Ourense, escenarios principales de la batalla electoral por la Xunta". El Progreso (in Spanish). 9 February 2009.
  34. ^ "El PP sigue aún lejos de la mayoría, el paro castiga al PSOE y el BNG avanza". Xornal de Galicia (in Spanish). 8 February 2009.[permanent dead link]
  35. ^ a b "El PP sigue aún lejos de la mayoría, el paro castiga al PSOE y el BNG avanza". Xornal de Galicia (in Spanish). 8 February 2009.
  36. ^ a b c "El bipartito revalida su mayoría en Galicia". Público (in Spanish). 2 February 2009. Archived from the original on 3 February 2009.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  37. ^ a b c d e "Preelectoral de Galicia. Elecciones autonómicas, 2009 (Estudio nº 2783. Enero-Febrero 2009)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 12 February 2009.
  38. ^ "Soso arranque electoral en Euskadi y Galicia". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 13 February 2009.
  39. ^ "El electorado mantiene la incógnita entre la mayoría absoluta del PP y un nuevo bipartito". La Región (in Spanish). 1 February 2009. Archived from the original on 30 June 2012.
  40. ^ "Más de la cuarta parte de los electores aún no han decidido a quién votarán el 1-M". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 25 January 2009. Archived from the original on 30 January 2009.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  41. ^ "El PP volvería a ser el partido más votado en las elecciones gallegas". Antena 3 (in Spanish). 22 January 2009.[permanent dead link]
  42. ^ "Encuesta elecciones gallegas hecha por TNS Demoscopia para Antena 3 y Onda Cero". Foro Libertad Digital (in Spanish). 22 January 2009. Archived from the original on 12 September 2017. Retrieved 12 September 2017.
  43. ^ "Tendencia repetida en los sondeos". Libertad Popular (in Spanish). 23 January 2009.
  44. ^ "El PP no consigue la mayoría para recuperar la Xunta de Galicia". La Razón (in Spanish). 18 January 2009. Archived from the original on 11 December 2009.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  45. ^ a b "Una encuesta estima una subida de tres escaños para el BNG, en detrimento del PP". La Opinión A Coruña (in Spanish). 18 January 2009.
  46. ^ "Xornal de Galicia revela que el PPdeG baja en la primera encuesta del 1-M". Xornal de Galicia (in Spanish). 18 January 2009. Archived from the original on 14 September 2013. Retrieved 22 June 2015.
  47. ^ "El PP está a tres diputados de la mayoría absoluta, a seis meses de las autonómicas". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 14 September 2008. Archived from the original on 18 September 2008.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  48. ^ "El PP está a tres diputados de la mayoría absoluta, a seis meses de las autonómicas". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 14 September 2008. Archived from the original on 18 September 2008.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  49. ^ "Gráfico: Barómetro galego 2006". El Correo Gallego (in Spanish). 30 December 2006. Archived from the original on 22 June 2015.
  50. ^ "Barómetro galego. Do 23 de novembro ao 7 de decembro de 2006. Política e economía en Galicia e España". USC (in Galician). 30 December 2006. hdl:10347/8310.
  51. ^ Varela, Fernando (30 December 2006). "El Barómetro Galego asegura que el PSdeG ya aventaja al PP". El País (in Spanish).
  52. ^ "La mayoría de los gallegos quiere un nuevo Estatuto que reconozca su carácter nacional". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 3 July 2006.
  53. ^ "Pulsómetro 03/07/2006". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 3 July 2006. Archived from the original on 4 July 2006. Retrieved 10 April 2019.
  54. ^ "El PSdeG obtiene un 24,4% en intención directa de voto, 12 puntos más que BNG y 3,5 que PP, según un estudio de la Xunta". Europa Press (in Spanish). 12 December 2008.
  55. ^ Precedo, José (13 December 2008). "La crisis desgasta a los tres líderes, según el barómetro de la Xunta". El País (in Spanish).
  56. ^ "El PSOE baja en voto declarado y el nacionalismo se mantiene". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 14 September 2008. Archived from the original on 2015-06-22.
  57. ^ "Barómetro Clima Social de Galicia: las formaciones políticas del bipartito (PSdeG-BNG) pierden puntos en intención de voto. También baja la valoración de sus líderes mientras el PPdeG se mantiene". Galicia Digital (in Spanish). 29 July 2008.
  58. ^ Flotats, Anna (30 July 2008). "Cae la confianza ciudadana en la economía y en el Gobierno autónomo". El País (in Spanish).
  59. ^ "O barómetro da Xunta suspende a Feijoo e mantén a vantaxe do bipartito". Vieiros (in Galician). 17 October 2007.
  60. ^ "El PSdeG gana 3,3 puntos de intención directa de voto en tres meses y aventaja en 8,8 al PP". El Correo Gallego (in Spanish). 28 July 2007.
  61. ^ "Gráfico: Clima social en Galicia". El Correo Gallego (in Spanish). 28 July 2007.
  62. ^ Rodríguez-Medel, Marta Jar (29 July 2007). "El 59,1% de los gallegos aprueban la gestión política y económica del Gobierno". El País (in Spanish).
  63. ^ "El PSOE gallego se desploma y Touriño pierde en cinco meses el 10% de su intención de voto". ABC (in Spanish). 5 April 2007.
  64. ^ "El PSOE gallego se desploma y Pérez Touriño pierde más de dos puntos, según una encuesta de la Xunta". ABC (in Spanish). 5 April 2007.
  65. ^ "Un sondeo de la Xunta da al PSOE un 25% en intención directa de voto, por un 18 al PP y un 13 al BNG". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 18 July 2006.
  66. ^ "El PSOE supera por primera vez al PP en Galicia". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 8 February 2006.
  67. ^ "El PSdeG aventaja al PPdeG en más de cuatro puntos en intención directa de voto, según el barómetro de la USC". Europa Press (in Spanish). 9 February 2006.
Other
  1. ^ a b c Ley Orgánica 1/1981, de 6 de abril, de Estatuto de Autonomía para Galicia (Organic Law 1) (in Spanish). 6 April 1981. Retrieved 8 August 2017.
  2. ^ a b c Ley 8/1985, de 13 de agosto, de elecciones al Parlamento de Galicia (Law 2) (in Spanish). 13 August 1985. Retrieved 8 August 2017.
  3. ^ Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Archived from the original on 30 July 2017. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
  4. ^ Ley 1/1983, de 22 de febrero, de normas reguladoras de la Xunta y su Presidencia (Law 1) (in Spanish). 22 February 1983. Retrieved 8 August 2017.
  5. ^ Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 28 December 2016.
  6. ^ a b "El PSOE celebra que Galicia confíe en Touriño, y el PP, que la mayoría esté a tiro" (PDF). La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 15 September 2008. Archived from the original (PDF) on 13 September 2017.
  7. ^ a b c "Elecciones al Parlamento de Galicia (1981 - 2020)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 25 September 2017.
  8. ^ a b "Parliament of Galicia election results, 1 March 2009" (PDF). www.juntaelectoralcentral.es (in Spanish). Central Electoral Commission. 27 March 2009. Retrieved 25 September 2017.
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