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Summary

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English: This graph shows projections of global mean sea level rise (SLR) by Parris et al. (2012)[1] In 2100, global mean sea level is projected to rise by 0.2-2.0 m (0.7-6.6 ft), relative to mean sea level in 1992:

Scenario / SLR by 2100 (m) / SLR by 2100 (ft)
Highest / 2.0 / 6.6
Intermediate-high / 1.2 / 3.9
Intermediate-low / 0.5 / 1.6
Lowest / 0.2 / 0.7

Note: projections are relative to mean sea level in 1992.

SLR increases smoothly over the 21st century, with a slight acceleration over time. In 2050, SLR projections approximately range between 0.1-0.62 m (0.3-2.0 ft).

Parris et al. (2012)[2] do not assign probabilities to these scenarios. Therefore, none of these scenarios should be interpreted as a best-estimate of future SLR.

Notes

  1. ↑ Figure 10, in: 4. Global Mean Sea Level Rise Scenarios, in: Main Report, in Parris & others 2012, p. 12
  2. ↑ Executive Summary, in Parris & others 2012, p. 1

References

  • Parris, A., et al. (2012-12-06) Global Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the US National Climate Assessment. NOAA Tech Memo OAR CPO-1[1], NOAA Climate Program Office, archived from the original on 2013-02-23
Date
Source Figure 10, in: "4. Global Mean Sea Level Rise Scenarios," in: "Main Report," in: Global Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the US National Climate Assessment. NOAA Tech Memo OAR CPO-1[2], National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate Program Office, 6 December 2012, archived from the original on 2013-02-23, p.12.
Author Parris, A., P. Bromirski, V. Burkett, D. Cayan, M. Culver, J. Hall, R. Horton, K. Knuuti, R. Moss, J. Obeysekera, A. Sallenger, and J. Weiss

Licensing

Public domain
This image is in the public domain because it contains materials that originally came from the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, taken or made as part of an employee's official duties.

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current12:03, 17 August 2013Thumbnail for version as of 12:03, 17 August 20131,355 × 761 (34 KB)Enescot{{Information |Description ={{en|1=This graph shows projections of global mean sea level rise (SLR) by Parris ''et al.'' (2012)<ref> Figure 10, in: 4. Global Mean Sea Level Rise Scenarios, in: Main Report, in {{harvnb|...

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