Left: The mean normalized P300 area-under-the-curve (AUC) of each subject is plotted as a function of the running probability (RP) of the opposite tone. The RP on each trial is defined as p=n/N, where n is the number of occurrences of the opposite tone (with respect to the current tone) in the preceding N tones in the sequence (N is fitted individually for each subject). R^2=0.498, 409 data points, error DOF = 407, F-statistic vs. constant model: 404, p-value=7.28x10^-63. Right: The mean responses across all subjects as a function of the RP, calculated using the data presented on the left panel. The error bars indicate the SEM.
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