English: Graphs of estimated population size, N for number of samples, k and largest sample serial number, m using frequentist (dotted lines) and Bayesian analysis (solid line shows mean and shading shows range from minimum possible value to mean plus 1 standard deviation) by CMG Lee. The example shows if 4 tanks are observed and the highest serial number is 60, frequentist analysis predicts N = 74 whereas Bayesian analysis predicts a mean of 88.5 and standard deviation of 138.72 - 88.5 = 50.22, and a minimum of 60 tanks. In the SVG file, hover over a graph to highlight it.
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Short title
German tank problem graphs
Image title
Graphs of estimated population size, N for number of samples, k and largest sample serial number, m using frequentist (dotted lines) and Bayesian analysis (solid line shows mean and shading shows range from minimum possible value to mean plus 1 standard deviation) by CMG Lee. The example shows if 4 tanks are observed and the highest serial number is 60, frequentist analysis predicts N = 74 whereas Bayesian analysis predicts a mean of 88.5 and standard deviation of 138.72 - 88.5 = 50.22, and a minimum of 60 tanks. Hover over a graph to highlight it.