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Description Predicting the overall orbit and position of Asbolus beyond a few thousand years is difficult because of errors in the known trajectory, error amplification by perturbations due to all of the gas giants, and the possibility of perturbation as a result of cometary outgassing/fragmentation. This plot shows the variation of the semi-major axis of the unstable Centaur 8405 Asbolus during the next 5500 years, computed using the current Astorb elements (black trace) and AstDys elements (red). The "jumps" correspond to relatively close approaches to Jupiter or Saturn, that you can check using the "spatial approaches" function of Solex, setting the limit distance to 450000 (3AU). The first large decrease corresponds to two successive approaches to Jupiter and Saturn (April 2377 and May 2379, respectively) adding up coherently their effects. Compared to centaur Nessus, the orbit of Asbolus is currently much more chaotic: you can see that after the Jupiter encounter of year 4713 (27 Cy in the future) the two orbits become substantially divergent.
Date
Source Aldo Vitagliano's Solex 10 website
Author Aldo Vitagliano
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Original upload log

Date/Time Dimensions User Comment
2 May 2009, 04:23:58 1342 × 940 (25948 bytes) Kheider (talk · contribs) {{Information |Description = Predicting the overall orbit and position of [[:en:8405 Asbolus|Asbolus]] beyond a few thousands is difficult because of errors in the known [[:en:trajectory|trajectory]], error amplification by [[:en:Perturbation (astronomy)|

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8405 Asbolus

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1 May 2009

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Date/TimeThumbnailDimensionsUserComment
current19:29, 9 October 2018Thumbnail for version as of 19:29, 9 October 20181,200 × 900 (17 KB)User-duckCropped closer using CropTool with precise mode.
12:44, 18 August 2014Thumbnail for version as of 12:44, 18 August 20141,342 × 940 (15 KB)GifTaggerBot: Converting file to superior PNG file. (Source: AsbolA.GIF). This GIF was problematic due to non-greyscale color table.

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