Jump to content

Opinion polling for the 2021 Chilean presidential election

Edit links
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

After the previous 2017 Chilean general election in November and December, different polling companies published surveys that tracked voting intention for the 2021 Chilean general election, especially the presidential election. Outgoing president Sebastián Piñera was not eligible for reelection.

Official primaries were held on 18 July where two coalitions, left-wing Apruebo Dignidad and right-wing Chile Vamos, chose their respective presidential candidates Gabriel Boric and Sebastián Sichel.[1] Centre-left coalition New Social Pact held their own primary on 21 August 2021 where they selected Yasna Provoste as their official candidate.[2][3] Other candidates were José Antonio Kast of the Christian Social Front coalition, Franco Parisi of the Party of the People, Marco Enríquez-Ominami of the Progressive Party, and Eduardo Artés of the Patriotic Union.[4]

The first round of the election took place on 21 November 2021. Since no candidate alone received more than 50% of the votes, a runoff took place on 19 December 2021 between Gabriel Boric and José Antonio Kast.[5][6] Boric won the runoff with 55.87% of the vote and will assume office on 11 March 2022.[7][8]

First round

[edit]

After official registration of candidates

[edit]
Results considering only official candidates (excluding "Other", "Don't know", "Do not vote", etc.) and general voters, excluding polls showing likely voters or non-national samples.
Fieldwork dates Polling firm Type of poll Others/
None
Artés
UPa 		Boric
AD 		M. E-O
PRO 		Provoste
NPS 		Parisi
PDG 		Sichel
ChP+ 		Kast
FSC
20 Nov 2021 Cadem Base 100. Online panel.[a] 2 27 5 11 13 14 29 —
16–19 Nov 2021 Cadem Base 100[a] 1 27 9 11 12 13 27 —
5–6 Nov 2021 AtlasIntel 2.8 21.9 6.2 9.2 11.4 11.7 27.2 9.7
2–5 Nov 2021 Activa 1.9 17.7 3.9 10.9 7.3 8.2 21.7 28.4
Likely voter (51.6%) 1.9 23.7 4.5 13.5 9.9 11.3 27.3 7.9
2–4 Nov 2021 Cadem 2 19 5 9 10 8 25 22
2–3 Nov 2021 UDD 2 22 5 10 10 9 25 17
1–2 Nov 2021 AtlasIntel 2.5 21.4 4.2 12.2 10.1 9.2 31.0 9.4
29 Oct–2 Nov 2021 Criteria 2 24 6 9 8 8 23 19
Likely voter (51%) 2 34 4 12 8 8 28 4
Likely voter (41%) 2 35 4 11 10 6 29 3
29 Oct–2 Nov 2021 Feedback Likely voter (48%) 1 30 2 9 4 11 36 7
26–31 Oct 2021 Studio Público 1.9 27.6 4.7 11.4 5.9 10.5 37.9 —
29 Oct 2021 Tú Influyes 2 32 4 13 8 9 27 5
27–29 Oct 2021 Cadem 1 19 4 11 7 8 24 26
25–29 Oct 2021 Activa Likely voter (50.8%) 2.6 25 5.1 12.1 10.6 9.1 26.5 9
1.6 17.4 4.8 9.5 7.3 6.9 22.2 30.3
20–26 Oct 2021 La Cosa Nostra 2 36 4 14 5 11 30 —
20–22 Oct 2021 Cadem 1 20 5 12 6 7 23 26
18–22 Oct 2021 Criteria Likely voter 2.0 30.8 3.5 10.9 7.7 8.1 27.7 9.3
12–15 Oct 2021 Activa Likely voter (50.9%) 2.4 31.3 3.7 16.5 6.9 8.9 20.2 10.1
1.6 21.3 3.4 13.1 5.0 7.5 16.3 31.8
13–14 Oct 2021 Cadem 3 20 4 12 6 7 21 27
6–8 Oct 2021 Cadem 1 21 4 13 6 10 18 27
5–7 Oct 2021 UDD 2 24 4 10 6 14 19 21
1–5 Oct 2021 Criteria Open-ended 1 26 3 11 5 15 17 20
1–4 Oct 2021 Tú Influyes 3.1 25.7 3.7 11.5 4.9 12.1 16.1 22.9
29 Sept–1 Oct 2021 Cadem 1 22 5 12 5 12 15 28
27 Sept–1 Oct 2021 Activa Likely voter (48.4%) 1.8 29.7 3.1 11.2 7.6 15.3 17.2 14.1
1.4 19.8 2.7 8.6 5.7 12.5 14.0 35.3
23–24 Sept 2021 Cadem 2 23 4 10 5 17 13 26
20–21 Sept 2021 Black & White 1 29 — 14 7 24 16 9
15–16 Sept 2021 Feedback Likely voter (56%) 2 34 1 7 4 27 16 9
2 27 2 9 7 23 19 11
14–16 Sept 2021 Cadem 1 25 5 9 6 17 10 27
6–14 Sept 2021 La Cosa Nostra 3 36 3 15 5 27 12 —
7–13 Sept 2021 Activa Likely voter (54.3%) 2.5 28.0 — 11.9 10.9 17.5 14.0 15.2
1.7 19.9 — 9.9 7.0 11.8 8.7 41.0
8–10 Sept 2021 Cadem 0 22 3 10 8 19 9 29
3–6 Sept 2021 Tú Influyes 1.5 26.5 2.6 11.3 5.5 17.8 10.9 24.0
1–3 Sept 2021 Cadem 0 23 2 12 7 19 12 25
27–31 Aug 2021 Criteria Open-ended 1 25 1 12 6 19 8 28
26–27 Aug 2021 Cadem 1 20 3 13 7 20 10 26
24–27 Aug 2021 Activa Likely voter (51.9%)[b] 1.2 23.4 3.6 12.3 8.8 14.0 8.9 27.9
0.7 16.4 3.6 11.3 6.1 11.5 6.3 44.1
24–25 Aug 2021 Black & White [c] 1 22 3 12 8 26 15 13
24–25 Aug 2021 UDD [d] 1.4 21.8 4.1 12.9 7.7 20.0 10.7 21.4

Regional polls

[edit]
Fieldwork dates Polling firm Region Others/
None
Artés
UPa 		Boric
AD 		M. E-O
PRO 		Provoste
NPS 		Parisi
PDG 		Sichel
ChP+ 		Kast
FSC
1 Oct-4 Nov 2021 IPP UCN Antofagasta 0 11 5 12 10 1 9 52
24-28 Oct 2021 Go People Santiago 1.7 19.1 8.8 8.6 3.6 7.2 17.3 33.8
23-24 Sept 2021 UDD Santiago 3 26 4 9 4 16 12 26

Before official registration of candidates

[edit]
Graph includes results considering main candidates in polls of general voters (excluding regional polls or with only likely voters). "Other", "Don't know", "Do not vote" or similar options are not included. Average of polls every 14 days.

For this table, the candidates shown are those that have at least one poll with more than 5% of the votes or have been chosen as representative of an official party as their presidential candidate for primaries or the first round.

Date Polling firm Type of poll N/A Ap. Dignidad Constituent Unity Chile Vamos Non-affiliated
Others/None
Sánchez (Ind.-FA)
Guillier (Ind.-UC)
Sichel (Ind.-ChV)
Piñera (Ind.-ChV)
[e]
Farkas (Ind.)
Siches (Ind.)
Yasna Provoste wins the Constituent Unity unofficial primaries, defeating Paula Narváez and Carlos Maldonado
13 Aug 2021 Cadem — — 24.0 — — — — 2.0 — — 1.0 9.0 — 22.0 — — — — — — 9.0 — — — 33.0
13 Aug 2021 Activa Likely voter — — 16.1 — — — — 2.0 — — 0.6 9.0 — 25.6 — — — — — — 11.3 7.1 — — 28.3
— — 14.7 — — — — 1.8 — — 0.3 7.1 — 20.4 — — — — — — 10.2 4.6 — — 40.9
6 Aug 2021 Cadem — — 21.0 — — — — 2.0 — — 1.0 10.0 — 24.0 — — — — — — 10.0 — — — 32.0
3 Aug 2021 Criteria — 3.0 25.0 — — — — — — — — 11.0 — 25.0 — — — — 2.0 — 7.0 3.0 — — 24.0
2 Aug 2021 Data Influye — — 29.5 — — 3.7 — 4.6 — — 2.4 13.7 — 19.9 — — — — — — 8.9 — — — 17.3
31 Jul 2021 Activa Likely voter — — 28.3 — 0.9 — — 1.1 — — 1.3 15.8 — 19.6 — — — — — — 6.8 6.9 — — 19.3
— — 22.9 — 1.0 — — 0.8 — — 0.7 12.1 — 18.0 — — — — — — 6.8 5.1 — — 32.6
30 Jul 2021 Feedback — — 23.0 — 1.0 — — 1.0 — — — 5.0 — 22.0 — — — — — — 10.0 — — — 38.0
30 Jul 2021 Cadem — — 24.0 — — — — 3.0 — — 1.0 13.0 — 24.0 — — — — — — 7.0 — — — 28.0
23 Jul 2021 Cadem — — 30.0 — — — — 3.0 — — 1.0 12.0 — 25.0 — — — — — — 8.0 — — — 21.0
Constituent Unity announces they will hold unofficial primaries
Yasna Provoste announces her candidacy representing the Christian Democrat Party
Gabriel Boric and Sebastián Sichel win the primaries for Apruebo Dignidad and Chile Vamos respectively.
15 Jul 2021 Cadem 8.0 11.0 12.0 — — — — 2.0 — — 1.0 9.0 — 15.0 — 3.0 4.0 — 11.0 — 6.0 5.0 — — 13.0
9 Jul 2021 Cadem 7.0 15.0 7.0 — — — — 2.0 — — 1.0 10.0 — 10.0 — 4.0 4.0 — 9.0 — 7.0 4.0 — — 20.0
1 Jul 2021 Cadem 9.0 13.0 5.0 — — — — 1.0 — — 1.0 12.0 — 7.0 — 3.0 4.0 — 10.0 — 6.0 7.0 — — 22.0
29 Jun 2021 Criteria 3.0 18.0 6.0 — — — — 2.0 — — — 9.0 — 10.0 — 2.0 2.0 — 13.0 2.0 6.0 4.0 — — 23.0
29 Jun 2021 Activa Likely voter 2.9 18.5 6.8 — — — 0.1 — — — — 10.9 — 11.9 — 1.7 1.4 — 15.0 1.2 2.8 4.3 — — 22.5
5.9 12.6 4.5 — — — 1.6 — — — — 7.6 — 8.4 — 0.9 1.5 — 16.5 1.6 2.1 5.2 — — 31.6
28 Jun 2021 Data Influye 2.4 19.8 10.3 — — — — 1.8 — — — 10.8 — 10.3 — 1.8 3.3 — 13.9 — 4.5 1.7 — 1.0 18.4
24 Jun 2021 Cadem 6.0 14.0 6.0 — — — — 1.0 — — 1.0 9.0 2.0 9.0 — 2.0 2.0 — 13.0 — 6.0 4.0 — — 25.0
17 Jun 2021 Cadem 8.0 13.0 6.0 — — — — 3.0 — — 1.0 13.0 2.0 5.0 — 1.0 2.0 — 13.0 — 5.0 5.0 — — 23.0
11 Jun 2021 Cadem 7.0 13.0 3.0 — — — — 2.0 — — 1.0 14.0 2.0 6.0 — 2.0 2.0 — 14.0 — 7.0 6.0 — — 21.0
11 Jun 2021 Activa Likely voter 4.3 21.5 2.3 — 2.3 — 0.7 — — — — 8.2 — 5.7 — — 2.6 — 11.1 5.0 3.6 5.6 — — 27.1
5.0 16.0 1.4 — 1.5 — 1.9 — — — — 6.2 — 4.3 — — 1.8 — 16.0 3.6 2.7 4.0 — — 35.6
3 Jun 2021 Cadem 8.0 14.0 5.0 — — — — 2.0 — — — 13.0 2.0 8.0 — 2.0 2.0 — 14.0 — 7.0 6.0 — — 17.0
1 Jun 2021 Criteria 4.0 16.0 4.0 — — — — 2.0 — — — 9.0 — 8.0 — 1.0 2.0 — 14.0 5.0 6.0 2.0 — — 27.0
31 May 2021 Data Influye 5.2 19.7 5.6 — — — — 2.5 1.2 — — 8.6 — 9.6 — — 2.2 — 12.6 2.5 4.9 2.4 — 1.0 22.0
29 May 2021 Cosa Nostra 4.0 23.0 14.0 — — — — 5.0 4.0 — 1.0 — 4.0 9.0 — 5.0 4.0 — 11.0 9.0 7.0 — — — 0.0
28 May 2021 Cadem 10.0 17.0 5.0 — — — — 2.0 — — — 11.0 2.0 8.0 — 1.0 2.0 — 17.0 — 8.0 — — — 17.0
28 May 2021 Activa Likely voter 6.9 17.4 1.8 — — — 0.7 2.5 — — — 7.3 — 6.0 — — 2.7 — 13.1 2.9 5.2 5.0 — — 28.5
6.2 13.9 1.5 — 1.1 — 1.7 1.5 — — — 6.6 — 4.5 — — 2.3 — 12.9 3.6 3.8 3.8 — — 36.6
20 May 2021 Cadem 7.0 20.0 5.0 — — — — 2.0 2.0 — — 13.0 1.0 11.0 — 3.0 4.0 — 16.0 — 5.0 — — — 11.0
Primaries for Apruebo Dignidad and Chile Vamos are registered. Constituent Unity decides not to hold official primaries.
18 May 2021 Activa Likely voter 8.7 19.2 2.2 2.3 1.0 — — 1.3 0.3 — — 3.6 2.3 3.3 — — 0.6 — 13.5 7.7 5.0 — 0.2 — 28.8
10.2 13.3 1.7 1.8 0.8 — 1.2 0.7 — — — 2.1 1.3 3.4 — — 0.4 — 14.8 5.6 3.3 1.3 1.7 — 36.4
Matthei, Muñoz and Rincón desist of running for the Presidency
2021 municipal, gubernatorial and Constitutional Convention elections
3 May 2021 Criteria 15.0 13.0 2.0 — — — — 2.0 2.0 — — 3.0 — 5.0 — — 3.0 — 11.0 7.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 — 28.0
30 Apr 2021 Activa Likely voter 21.0 17.1 0.7 — 2.3 — 0.3 1.0 5.3 — — 0.7 0.5 3.5 — — 2.2 — 6.9 3.0 6.0 — — — 29.5
21.7 10.3 0.6 0.6 2.1 — 1.7 0.6 2.8 — — 0.6 — 4.2 — — 1.4 — 7.8 3.0 4.8 1.4 — — 36.4
30 Apr 2021 Cadem 18.0 11.0 3.0 — — — — 2.0 3.0 — — 4.0 3.0 5.0 — 3.0 4.0 — 10.0 7.0 6.0 — — — 21.0
26 Apr 2021 Data Influye 15.5 16.8 3.8 — 1.4 — — 3.4 3.4 — — — 1.7 4.0 — — 2.4 — 9.8 4.8 4.5 1.9 — — 26.6
16 Apr 2021 Activa Likely voter 17.5 18.6 1.9 — 2.8 — 0.5 2.3 0.8 — — 0.1 4.4 2.8 — 0.3 1.8 — 8.7 4.7 4.1 2.9 — — 25.8
18.4 11.5 1.2 0.5 1.7 — 2.3 1.4 — — — 0.1 2.4 2.5 — — 1.8 — 10.8 4.8 3.4 1.9 — — 35.3
7 Apr 2021 Cadem 1st mention 20.0 11.0 3.0 — — — — 3.0 4.0 — 0.0 — 4.0 6.0 — — 4.0 — 14.0 7.0 5.0 — — — 19.0
All mentions 30.0 18.0 8.0 — — — — 6.0 8.0 — 1.0 — 7.0 10.0 — — 8.0 — 24.0 19.0 9.0 — — — 21.0
30 Mar 2021 Criteria 9.0 11.0 1.0 2.0 — — — 1.0 2.0 — — — 2.0 6.0 — — 3.0 — 12.0 6.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 35.0
29 Mar 2021 Activa Likely voter 12.6 11.2 2.1 1.9 2.5 — 1.0 0.4 1.2 3.3 — — 1.0 5.6 — 0.7 2.1 — 14.0 6.8 3.9 1.3 2.7 — 25.7
13.0 7.5 1.9 1.3 1.6 — 1.8 0.2 — 1.7 — 0.0 0.5 5.0 — — 1.5 — 13.9 5.3 3.7 1.7 3.1 — 36.3
17 Mar 2021 CELAG Likely voter 18.8 21.1 — — — — — 5.7 — — — — — 7.2 — — 4.3 — 12.0 6.2 5.3 — — — 19.4
17.7 16.1 — — — — — 4.0 — — — — — 7.1 — — 3.4 — 13.4 7.9 5.3 — — — 25.1
12 Mar 2021 Activa Likely voter 7.4 15.4 0.2 2.5 1.7 — 0.2 1.3 2.0 0.7 — — 0.8 6.1 — 0.2 3.7 — 10.8 7.5 3.2 4.3 — — 32.0
10.7 10.1 0.1 1.4 2.0 — 1.4 1.0 1.1 0.5 — — 0.7 5.1 — — 2.6 — 9.7 5.3 3.3 4.3 1.1 — 39.6
5 Mar 2021 Cadem 2.0 6.0 — — — — 2.0 1.0 1.0 — — — — 3.0 — — 1.0 — 5.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 — — 71.0
2 Mar 2021 Criteria 6.0 14.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 — 2.0 2.0 1.0 — — — 2.0 5.0 — 0.0 2.0 — 12.0 8.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 — 30.0
28 Feb 2021 Data Influye 6.1 17.9 — 0.9 0.5 — 0.8 4.4 1.9 0.6 — — 1.3 5.4 — 0.0 1.9 — 8.4 5.7 4.4 2.1 0.7 — 37.0
26 Feb 2021 Activa Likely voter 11.6 14.8 0.1 2.1 0.4 — 1.8 1.9 0.6 1.5 — — 5.1 10.3 — 0.4 2.1 — 11.6 7.2 6.8 1.6 — — 20.1
9.9 7.9 0.0 1.2 0.6 — 1.8 1.0 — 0.8 — — 2.6 7.1 — 1.5 1.2 — 14.4 4.2 4.9 3.3 0.4 — 37.2
12 Feb 2021 Activa Likely voter 8.4 20.4 — 2.3 1.9 — 1.4 2.1 1.2 0.3 — — 1.0 6.4 — 0.6 1.0 — 13.7 5.3 5.3 2.9 — — 25.8
7.2 12.0 0.0 2.5 1.1 — 1.7 1.1 — 0.3 — — 0.7 4.4 — — 1.0 — 16.1 6.5 3.6 2.2 0.3 — 39.3
12 Feb 2021 Cadem 2.0 6.0 — — — — 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 — — 1.0 1.0 — 0.0 1.0 — 4.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 — — 72.0
5 Feb 2021 Cadem 3.0 6.0 — — — — 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 — — 1.0 4.0 — 0.0 1.0 — 4.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 — — 66.0
3 Feb 2021 Data Influye 7.5 16.7 — 1.0 1.2 — 1.2 4.6 2.0 1.5 — — 1.4 7.4 — 0.0 2.3 — 10.2 5.3 3.9 1.4 1.4 — 31.0
1 Feb 2021 Criteria 5.0 12.0 — 2.0 — — — 3.0 2.0 2.0 — — — 8.0 — 0.0 3.0 — 12.0 7.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 — 36.0
Heraldo Muñoz wins the internal primary of the PPD, defeating Francisco Vidal and Jorge Tarud.
29 Jan 2021 Activa Likely voter 10.8 17.0 — 3.4 1.2 — 2.1 1.2 2.1 0.9 — — 4.6 4.5 — 1.0 1.9 — 11.7 2.7 6.4 2.1 0.1 — 26.3
11.8 10.7 — 2.6 0.8 — 2.6 0.7 1.5 1.0 — — 3.0 4.0 — — 1.2 — 10.3 2.2 5.3 2.0 2.6 — 37.7
29 Jan 2021 Cadem 2.0 8.0 — — — — 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 — — — 4.0 — 0.0 1.0 — 6.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 — — 64.0
Paula Narváez is proclaimed as the presidential candidate of the Socialist Party.
Ximena Rincón wins the internal primary of the PDC, defeating Alberto Undurraga.
22 Jan 2021 Cadem 2.0 8.0 — — — — 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 — — — 4.0 — 0.0 1.0 — 6.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 — — 65.0
15 Jan 2021 Cadem 2.0 7.0 — — — — 1.0 — 1.0 1.0 — — — 4.0 — 0.0 1.0 — 7.0 4.0 3.0 — — — 69.0
15 Jan 2021 Activa Likely voter 5.4 14.6 — 4.3 2.2 — 2.1 0.8 0.3 1.1 — — 0.1 11.0 — — 1.9 — 16.6 6.7 3.7 4.7 0.4 — 24.1
8.5 8.9 — 2.3 1.8 — 4.8 0.4 — 0.7 — — 0.1 6.6 — — 1.2 — 13.5 6.8 3.3 2.9 1.6 — 36.6
5 Jan 2021 Criteria 7.0 12.0 — 2.0 2.0 — 2.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 — — — 7.0 — 0.0 3.0 — 11.0 9.0 6.0 2.0 2.0 — 31.0
4 Jan 2021 Data Influye 8.4 17.5 — 1.7 0.7 — 0.9 2.2 2.6 1.3 — — 0.5 5.9 — 0.0 2.8 — 8.0 6.8 5.0 2.1 1.2 — 32.4
31 Dec 2020 Cadem 2.0 7.0 — — — — 1.0 — 1.0 — — — — 5.0 1.0 — 1.0 — 5.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 — 1.0 68.0
Daniel Jadue is proclaimed as the presidential candidate of the Communist Party.
28 Dec 2020 Activa Likely voter 13.2 13.7 — 3.0 1.3 — 1.2 — 1.2 1.3 — — 0.2 5.7 — — 1.9 — 11.5 8.9 4.4 3.3 — — 29.2
11.9 9.1 — 2.6 0.7 — 2.3 — 0.8 0.8 — — 0.1 6.2 — — 1.3 — 12.7 7.2 3.4 2.4 1.1 — 37.4
14 Dec 2020 Activa Likely voter 15.8 12.6 — 1.8 1.8 — 1.9 — 2.3 1.9 — — 0.3 1.6 — — 1.0 — 9.6 3.8 3.5 3.9 4.4 — 33.8
13.8 7.8 — 1.9 2.5 — 3.9 — 1.4 1.3 — — 0.2 1.6 — — 1.1 — 11.9 5.2 2.9 2.9 3.5 — 38.1
10 Dec 2020 Cadem 4.0 7.0 — 1.0 — — 3.0 — 1.0 1.0 — — — 1.0 2.0 — — — 6.0 6.0 2.0 2.0 — — 64.0
9 Dec 2020 Criteria 9.0 15.0 — 3.0 1.0 — 1.0 — 2.0 3.0 — — — 3.0 — — 1.0 — 10.0 9.0 6.0 4.0 1.0 — 32.0
30 Nov 2020 Data Influye 11.3 17.9 — 1.5 0.9 0.8 0.6 — 2.3 1.5 — — 0.5 1.8 — — 1.5 — 11.4 6.7 5.2 2.8 1.0 3.3 29.0
28 Nov 2020 Activa Likely voter 13.4 14.5 — 3.5 1.6 — 1.3 — 2.6 0.8 — — 0.5 0.7 — — 0.5 — 11.4 7.0 2.2 1.8 1.2 — 37.0
12.7 9.9 — 2.5 1.3 — 2.7 — 4.4 0.1 — — 0.3 0.9 — 0.0 0.3 — 12.3 5.7 2.7 1.5 1.5 — 41.2
16 Nov 2020 Activa Likely voter 9.5 12.2 — 1.8 1.9 — 3.0 — 2.1 1.3 — — 0.2 0.9 — — 1.0 — 14.5 6.0 4.3 6.6 2.7 — 32.0
9.6 8.7 — 1.2 1.2 — 2.5 — 1.7 1.1 — 0.2 0.1 0.6 — — 0.7 — 13.3 7.0 3.3 5.3 2.2 — 41.3
13 Nov 2020 Cadem 4.0 7.0 — 4.0 — — 2.0 — 2.0 3.0 — — — 1.0 1.0 — — — 10.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 — 1.0 56.0
7 Nov 2020 Cadem 1.0 6.0 — 1.0 — — 2.0 — 1.0 1.0 — — — 1.0 — — — — 6.0 4.0 4.0 2.0 — 1.0 70.0
4 Nov 2020 Data Influye 7.1 17.8 — 3.0 0.9 0.6 0.9 — 2.7 1.7 — — 0.7 2.6 — — 1.9 — 12.1 6.6 5.2 2.9 1.4 2.3 29.6
3 Nov 2020 Criteria 7.0 14.0 — 5.0 1.0 — 2.0 — 2.0 2.0 — — — 1.0 — — 2.0 — 14.0 8.0 7.0 3.0 2.0 — 30.0
2 Nov 2020 Activa Likely voter 5.7 15.6 — 3.8 2.2 2.2 1.9 — 1.3 2.8 — — 1.0 1.4 — — 0.7 — 12.5 7.8 5.5 2.7 — — 32.9
5.2 10.8 — 3.3 2.7 1.5 2.5 — 3.8 2.4 — — 0.6 1.0 — 0.0 0.5 — 11.6 6.3 5.0 3.2 0.9 — 38.7
30 Oct 2020 Cadem 2.0 6.0 — 2.0 — — 2.0 — 1.0 2.0 — — — — 1.0 — — — 6.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 — — 69.0
2020 Chilean constitutional referendum.
17 Oct 2020 Activa 6.7 12.3 — 3.7 0.8 0.2 1.8 — 2.2 0.4 — — 0.2 0.6 — — — — 10.9 6.5 3.9 4.9 4.1 — 40.8
8 Oct 2020 Cadem 1.0 7.0 — 1.0 — — 1.0 — 1.0 — — — — — 1.0 — — — 7.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 — — 72.0
5 Oct 2020 Data Influye 6.4 16.1 — 2.6 1.5 1.2 1.6 — 1.6 0.9 — — — 1.9 0.6 — 0.6 — 12.6 9.2 5.1 2.9 1.4 1.8 32.0
2 Oct 2020 Cadem 1.0 8.0 — 1.0 — — 1.0 — — — — — — 1.0 1.0 — — — 8.0 7.0 3.0 2.0 — — 67.0
30 Sept 2020 Criteria 3.0 17.0 — 6.0 1.0 — 2.0 — 1.0 1.0 — — — 1.0 — — 1.0 — 18.0 8.0 6.0 3.0 1.0 — 31.0
28 Sept 2020 Activa 4.8 11.8 — 3.0 2.2 0.7 1.8 — 2.6 1.5 — — 0.1 1.0 — 0.0 — — 17.3 7.8 3.2 3.7 2.0 — 36.5
25 Sept 2020 Cadem 1.0 5.0 — 2.0 — — 2.0 — — — — — — 1.0 — — — — 7.0 6.0 2.0 2.0 — — 72.0
17 Sept 2020 Mori-Fiel — 16.0 — 8.0 3.0 — — — — — — — — — — — — — 14.0 11.0 7.0 — — — 41.0
17 Sept 2020 Cadem — 7.0 — 2.0 — — 1.0 — — — — — — 1.0 1.0 — — — 7.0 7.0 4.0 2.0 — — 68.0
12 Sept 2020 Activa 3.0 11.0 — 3.5 1.2 1.6 2.0 — 2.4 0.3 — — 0.1 1.1 — 0.1 — — 15.0 7.3 3.4 5.1 3.4 — 39.5
10 Sept 2020 Cadem — 8.0 — 2.0 — — 2.0 — — — — — — 1.0 — — — — 7.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 — 1.0 69.0
31 Aug 2020 Criteria 3.0 16.0 — 5.0 2.0 — 2.0 — 1.0 1.0 — — — 2.0 — — 1.0 — 15.0 8.0 7.0 4.0 1.0 — 32.0
29 Aug 2020 Activa 1.9 9.1 — 2.6 2.0 1.5 1.9 — 2.8 0.1 — — 0.2 1.1 — 0.0 — — 23.1 3.9 3.8 3.2 3.4 — 39.4
24 Aug 2020 Data Influye 3.3 15.7 — 3.1 1.9 1.9 1.5 — 1.7 — — — — 2.6 — — 1.3 — 13.3 1.8 5.3 3.4 1.6 2.7 38.9
15 Aug 2020 Activa 1.9 10.4 — 2.3 1.4 2.0 2.6 — 2.4 0.2 — — 0.5 1.5 — 0.0 — — 15.1 1.9 5.2 3.4 3.5 — 45.7
13 Aug 2020 Cadem — 7.0 — 2.0 — — 2.0 — 2.0 1.0 — — — 1.0 1.0 — — — 8.0 — 3.0 1.0 — 1.0 71.0
1 Aug 2020 Activa 1.6 11.3 — 2.3 1.9 1.6 3.3 — 0.7 0.6 — — 1.4 1.2 — — — — 17.5 0.5 2.8 5.7 1.8 — 45.8
31 Jul 2020 Criteria 2.0 12.0 — 6.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 — 1.0 — — — — 2.0 — — 2.0 — 13.0 2.0 6.0 5.0 2.0 — 40.0
26 Jul 2020 Data Influye 3.0 15.0 — 3.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 — 1.0 1.0 — — — 2.0 1.0 — — — 14.0 2.0 5.0 5.0 2.0 3.0 37.0
26 Jul 2020 Black&White — 19.0 — — — — — — — — — — — 13.0 — — — — 18.0 — 8.0 6.0 — 12.0 24.0
24 Jul 2020 Feedback — 9.2 — 0.6 — — — — 1.7 — — — — 1.8 4.7 1.1 1.2 — 7.0 2.2 5.2 3.4 — 2.4 59.5
11 Jul 2020 Activa 3.0 6.7 — 3.3 2.1 1.0 4.3 — 0.4 1.0 — — 0.1 2.3 — 0.1 — — 13.3 0.7 2.7 5.0 6.7 2.8 44.5
10 Jul 2020 Cadem — 6.0 — 1.0 — — 2.0 — — 1.0 — — — 1.0 1.0 — — — 7.0 — 2.0 2.0 — 1.0 76.0
30 Jun 2020 Criteria 2.0 12.0 — 7.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 — 1.0 1.0 — — — 3.0 — — 2.0 — 12.0 2.0 8.0 5.0 3.0 4.0 33.0
28 Jun 2020 Activa 0.4 9.2 — 5.2 1.3 3.3 4.1 — 0.4 0.3 — — 1.2 2.0 — 0.1 — — 12.6 1.4 3.8 5.6 5.5 1.9 41.7
21 Jun 2020 Data Influye 1.0 9.0 — 3.0 — 1.0 3.0 — 1.0 1.0 — — — 2.0 1.0 — — — 12.0 3.0 4.0 4.0 2.0 8.0 45.0
13 Jun 2020 Activa 0.3 5.4 — 3.7 1.2 1.7 5.0 — 0.6 0.6 — — 0.0 2.2 — 0.1 — — 16.3 1.6 4.1 3.8 1.4 2.8 49.2
12 Jun 2020 Cadem — 3.0 — 2.0 — — 2.0 — 1.0 1.0 — — — — 1.0 — — — 6.0 — 2.0 1.0 — 1.0 80.0
31 May 2020 Criteria 1.0 8.0 1.0 6.0 — — 2.0 — 1.0 2.0 — — — — 3.0 — 1.0 — 16.0 4.0 7.0 5.0 1.0 3.0 39.0
30 May 2020 Activa 0.8 3.3 — 4.2 1.9 2.1 5.3 — 0.1 1.2 — — — — 2.1 0.8 — — 17.3 2.2 3.4 5.5 1.9 0.6 47.3
24 May 2020 CELAG — 12.9 — 10.4 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 18.8 — 4.1 10.3 — — 43.5
Total lockdown imposed in Santiago Metropolitan Area and other large cities due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
14 May 2020 Cadem — 3.0 — 3.0 — — 2.0 — — 1.0 — — — — 1.0 — — — 7.0 — 2.0 2.0 — — 79.0
12 May 2020 Activa 0.4 4.5 — 3.5 2.2 1.7 5.0 — 1.0 0.4 — — — 0.4 0.5 0.0 — — 15.8 0.4 4.5 10.8 2.2 0.7 46.0
4 May 2020 Criteria 1.0 7.0 — 6.0 — — 2.0 — 2.0 2.0 — — — — 2.0 — 1.0 — 18.0 2.0 8.0 6.0 2.0 — 41.0
3 May 2020 Feedback — 6.9 — 2.7 — — 1.0 — 1.2 — — — — — 2.4 1.9 1.2 — 9.8 1.6 6.0 2.3 — 2.6 60.4
28 Apr 2020 Activa 1.3 5.9 — 3.7 1.1 1.2 3.0 — 0.3 0.3 — — 0.1 0.0 1.5 0.4 — — 19.8 1.7 2.4 5.4 3.1 0.1 48.7
9 Apr 2020 Cadem — 3.0 — 2.0 — — 3.0 — 1.0 1.0 — — — — 1.0 — — — 10.0 — 3.0 2.0 — — 74.0
9 Apr 2020 Activa 0.7 5.6 — 2.8 2.1 1.1 4.2 — 0.7 0.2 — — — 0.1 0.5 0.0 — — 18.9 0.5 3.3 6.2 2.6 0.1 50.4
30 Mar 2020 Criteria 2.0 9.0 — 8.0 — 3.0 2.0 — 1.0 1.0 — — — — 3.0 — — — 18.0 1.0 8.0 6.0 2.0 — 36.0
27 Mar 2020 Activa 1.3 4.5 — 4.4 1.1 1.7 3.7 — 0.7 0.5 — — 0.2 — 1.1 0.2 — — 11.5 0.4 5.7 8.2 2.1 0.2 52.5
26 Mar 2020 Feedback — 5.3 — — — — 1.0 — 1.2 — — — — — 1.5 1.8 1.1 — 10.9 — 6.6 3.1 — 2.1 65.4
16 Mar 2020 Data Influye 7.0 13.0 2.0 8.0 2.0 5.0 — — 3.0 5.0 — — — — 2.0 — 4.0 — 16.0 2.0 4.0 5.0 9.0 — 13.0
13 Mar 2020 Cadem — 4.0 — 2.0 — — 2.0 — 1.0 1.0 — — — — 1.0 — 1.0 — 7.0 — 3.0 3.0 — — 75.0
12 Mar 2020 Activa 0.6 3.1 — 6.3 0.6 1.6 3.8 — 0.5 0.5 — — 0.0 — 0.6 0.0 — — 13.8 0.9 4.7 7.9 7.4 — 47.7
First cases of COVID-19 are detected in the country.
29 Feb 2020 Criteria 2.0 6.0 — 6.0 — 3.0 5.0 — 2.0 2.0 — — — — 3.0 — 1.0 — 15.0 1.0 10.0 7.0 2.0 — 35.0
28 Feb 2020 Activa 0.3 3.9 — 5.7 0.9 1.6 4.0 — 0.5 1.0 — — — — 1.3 0.1 — — 13.6 0.9 2.3 8.2 2.9 — 52.8
14 Feb 2020 Data Influye 7.0 14.0 2.0 6.0 2.0 6.0 — — 4.0 8.0 — — — — 2.0 — 4.0 — 15.0 2.0 3.0 5.0 7.0 — 13.0
14 Feb 2020 Cadem — 3.0 — 2.0 — — 2.0 — 1.0 1.0 — — — — 2.0 — — — 4.0 — 4.0 4.0 — — 77.0
13 Feb 2020 Activa 0.5 2.3 — 4.6 1.6 1.8 5.8 — 0.5 0.3 — — — — 0.6 0.0 — — 16.1 0.4 4.5 6.4 3.1 — 51.5
30 Jan 2020 Activa 0.8 5.4 — 5.9 1.6 0.9 2.8 — 0.4 0.3 — — — — 1.7 0.3 — — 15.3 0.2 6.1 9.9 5.6 — 42.8
28 Jan 2020 Criteria 1.0 6.0 2.0 7.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 — 2.0 1.0 — — — — 3.0 — 1.0 — 14.0 1.0 8.0 8.0 2.0 — 38.0
17 Jan 2020 Cadem — 3.0 — 3.0 — — 2.0 — — 1.0 — — — — 2.0 — 0.0 — 4.0 — 3.0 3.0 — — 79.0
16 Jan 2020 Activa 1.1 4.8 — 5.2 — 5.1 4.2 — 1.1 0.2 — — — — 1.4 0.1 — — 8.9 0.6 3.9 11.6 2.1 — 44.9
30 Dec 2019 Criteria 0.0 6.0 — 8.0 — 2.0 4.0 — 1.0 2.0 — — 0.0 — 3.0 — 0.0 — 14.0 1.0 9.0 9.0 2.0 — 0.0
26 Dec 2019 Activa 0.6 6.3 — 5.2 2.1 0.3 2.7 — 2.8 0.3 — — 0.0 — 0.5 — 0.0 — 12.1 0.5 6.7 7.5 2.6 — 39.0
20 Dec 2019 Cadem 0.0 3.0 — 3.0 — — 1.0 — — 1.0 — — 0.0 — 2.0 — 1.0 — 5.0 — 5.0 5.0 1.0 — 49.8
29 Nov 2019 Cadem 0.0 2.0 — 4.0 — — 2.0 — 1.0 1.0 — — 0.0 — 2.0 — 0.0 — 6.0 — 2.0 5.0 1.0 — 73.0
26 Nov 2019 Activa 0.4 3.3 — 8.6 0.4 2.8 3.7 — 1.3 0.6 — — 0.0 — 0.4 — 0.0 — 7.8 0.4 7.0 9.9 3.1 — 74.0
26 Nov 2019 Criteria 0.0 7.0 — 8.0 — 2.0 2.0 — 2.0 1.0 — — 0.0 — 4.0 — 0.0 — 8.0 — 8.0 8.0 2.0 — 50.3
Agreement signed between different parties to held a referendum in 2020 to write a new Constitution.
30 Oct 2019 Cadem 0.0 3.0 — 5.0 — — 2.0 — 1.0 — — — 1.0 — 3.0 — 0.0 — 6.0 — 2.0 1.0 — — 48.0
30 Oct 2019 Activa 0.2 3.3 — 12.4 2.0 1.9 6.6 — 2.4 0.6 — — 0.0 — 1.8 — 0.0 1.9 10.0 0.7 5.8 0.7 3.9 — 76.0
29 Oct 2019 Criteria 0.0 5.0 — 10.0 — 2.0 — — 2.0 2.0 — — 0.0 — 3.0 — 0.0 — 14.0 2.0 9.0 — 2.0 — 45.8
El Estallido Social: mass protests and riots all over the country.
11 Oct 2019 Cadem 0.0 3.0 — 6.0 — — 5.0 — 1.0 1.0 — — 0.0 — 2.0 — 0.0 — 11.0 — 5.0 — — — 49.0
30 Sept 2019 Criteria 0.0 4.0 — 14.0 3.0 2.0 6.0 — — — — — 0.0 — 4.0 — 0.0 5.0 17.0 2.0 12.0 — — — 66.0
25 Sept 2019 Activa 0.1 4.9 — 13.5 1.3 1.9 7.2 — 0.2 0.0 — — 0.0 — 1.6 — 0.0 2.4 11.7 0.6 6.8 0.0 2.2 — 31.0
30 Aug 2019 Criteria 0.0 5.0 — 8.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 — — — — — 0.0 — 5.0 — 0.0 3.0 16.0 — 12.0 — — — 45.6
29 Aug 2019 Activa — 4.5 — 9.0 1.6 2.6 7.2 — 0.3 0.2 — — 0.0 — 4.9 — 0.0 2.8 16.9 1.3 7.0 0.7 3.2 — 44.0
29 Jul 2019 Criteria 0.0 6.0 — 11.0 2.0 2.0 5.0 — — — — — 0.0 — 4.0 — 0.0 5.0 16.0 2.0 10.0 — — — 37.8
25 Jul 2019 Activa — 3.0 — 10.3 2.4 2.1 7.0 — 0.3 — — — 0.0 — 3.4 — 0.0 2.7 17.8 1.3 5.1 1.0 1.8 — 37.0
12 Jul 2019 Cadem 0.0 3.0 — 8.0 — — 5.0 — 1.0 — — — 1.0 — 2.0 — 0.0 — 9.0 1.0 5.0 — — — 41.8
1 Jul 2019 Criteria 0.0 6.0 — 10.0 2.0 2.0 5.0 — — — — — 0.0 — 4.0 — 0.0 3.0 17.0 2.0 11.0 — — — 65.0
1 Jul 2019 Activa 0.0 5.0 — 14.3 3.0 2.0 7.9 — 0.8 — — — 0.0 — 3.7 — 0.0 2.5 11.4 1.1 7.6 0.9 0.8 — 38.0
3 Jun 2019 Criteria 0.0 6.0 — 13.0 2.0 3.0 5.0 — — — — — 0.0 — 5.0 — 0.0 4.0 11.0 2.0 9.0 — — — 39.0
31 May 2019 Activa 0.0 2.6 — 10.8 2.0 3.2 8.2 — 0.5 0.5 — — 0.0 — 2.7 — 0.0 5.4 10.6 3.2 8.1 0.4 3.0 — 40.0
2 May 2019 Activa 0.3 2.2 — 11.1 4.0 3.0 8.5 — 1.2 0.5 — — 0.0 — 3.9 — 0.0 3.9 7.5 0.7 11.2 0.5 3.1 — 38.8
28 Apr 2019 Criteria 0.0 5.0 — 12.0 3.0 3.0 5.0 — — — — — 0.0 — 5.0 — 0.0 5.0 10.0 2.0 10.0 — — — 38.4
31 Mar 2019 Criteria 0.0 3.0 — 12.0 — — 6.0 — — — — — 0.0 — 5.0 — 0.0 8.0 9.0 2.0 10.0 — — — 40.0
31 Mar 2019 Activa 0.1 2.1 — 13.0 2.9 2.4 7.9 — 0.6 0.2 — — 0.0 — 3.3 — 0.0 4.4 8.3 1.3 5.8 0.2 1.7 — 45.0
1 Mar 2019 Activa 0.0 2.6 — 14.6 5.6 1.8 6.9 — 0.7 0.1 — — 0.0 — 2.6 — 0.0 3.6 6.8 2.3 9.1 0.4 3.0 — 45.8
28 Feb 2019 Criteria 0.0 3.0 — 12.0 2.0 4.0 4.0 — — — — — 0.0 — 6.0 — 0.0 5.0 9.0 3.0 11.0 — — — 39.9
31 Jan 2019 Criteria 0.0 3.0 — 12.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 — — — — — 0.0 — 4.0 — 0.0 5.0 8.0 2.0 10.0 — — — 41.0
31 Jan 2019 Activa 0.5 1.0 — 12.1 2.2 2.4 9.9 — 0.6 0.3 — — 0.0 — 1.8 — 0.0 5.7 7.9 1.3 6.4 0.9 2.5 — 48.0
11 Jan 2019 Cadem 0.0 3.0 — 11.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 — 1.0 — — — 0.0 — 3.0 — 0.0 — 6.0 1.0 7.0 — — — 44.5
28 Dec 2018 Criteria — 4.0 — 10.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 — — — — — — — 5.0 — — 4.0 6.0 3.0 12.0 — — — 0.0
30 Nov 2018 Criteria — 4.0 — 12.0 3.0 5.0 3.0 — — — — — — — 4.0 — — 3.0 5.0 2.0 8.0 — — — 45.0
3 Nov 2018 Criteria — 2.0 — 11.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 — 2.0 — — — — — 5.0 — — 2.0 3.0 4.0 8.0 — — — 49.0
2 Oct 2018 Criteria — 3.0 — 10.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 — — — — — — — 6.0 — — 5.0 4.0 2.0 9.0 — — — 51.0
31 Aug 2018 Criteria — — — 14.0 3.0 4.0 3.0 — — — — — — — 5.0 — — 4.0 5.0 3.0 7.0 — — — 51.0
30 Jul 2018 Criteria — — — 20.0 4.0 6.0 7.0 — — — — — — — 5.0 — — 5.0 6.0 5.0 7.0 — — — 50.0
28 Jun 2018 Criteria — — — 16.0 6.0 6.0 4.0 — — — — — — — 8.0 — — 7.0 2.0 2.0 10.0 — — — 31.0
23 May 2018 Criteria — — — 16.0 3.0 5.0 — — — — — — — — 5.0 — — 5.0 2.0 — 14.0 — — — 35.0
12 Apr 2018 Criteria — — — 22.0 4.0 4.0 — — — — — — — — 6.0 — — 5.0 3.0 — 10.0 — — — 48.0

Second round

[edit]
Results considering only official candidates (excluding "Other", "Don't know", "Do not vote", etc.) and general voters, excluding polls only with likely voters. Average of polls every 3 days.
Date Polling firm Type of poll Boric (CS) J.A. Kast (PLR) Not voting Not sure
15-16 Dec 2021 Cadem Base 100 55 45
1-4 Dec 2021 AtlasIntel 41.0 38.7 20.3
30 Nov-4 Dec 2021 Activa[9] 42.2 28.3 13.5 16.0
30 Nov-2 Dec 2021 Feedback 45 39 14 2
30 Nov-2 Dec 2021 Cadem 40 35 25
26–29 Nov 2021 Studio Público 45.0 45.3 9.7
25–29 Nov 2021 Data Influye 47 34 12 7
25–29 Nov 2021 Criteria Base 100 54 46 —
26-27 Nov 2021 Black & White[10] 44 41 4 10
24-26 Nov 2021 Cadem 39 33 28
23-26 Nov 2021 Activa Likely voter (55.8%) 53.9 31.2 5.1 9.8
40.4 24.5 12.8 22.5
20 Nov 2021 Cadem Online panel[a] 39 39 22
16-19 Nov 2021 Cadem [a] 37 33 30
9-12 Nov 2021 Activa [a] 35.9 35.0 21.9 7.2
5–6 Nov 2021 AtlasIntel 36.3 40.7 23.0
2–4 Nov 2021 Cadem 40 44 11 5
3 Nov 2021 UDD 33 33 34
1–2 Nov 2021 AtlasIntel 36.7 42.6 20.7
29 Oct–2 Nov 2021 Feedback Likely voter (48%) 41.2 48.7 10.1
26–31 Oct 2021 Studio Publico 46.8 53.2 —
25–29 Oct 2021 Activa Likely voter 42.9 36.8 4.2 16.1
32.9 32.8 12.5 12.1
20–26 Oct 2021 La Cosa Nostra 46 54 — —
12–15 Oct 2021 Activa Likely voter 52.6 30.2 11.2 6.0
39.5 28.1 22.7 9.7
13–14 Oct 2021 Cadem 43 35 16 6
5–7 Oct 2021 UDD 37 29 34
27 Sep–1 Oct 2021 Activa Likely voter 47.1 28.3 16.5 8.1
35.7 25.8 26.9 11.6
14–16 Sep 2021 Cadem 50 27 17 6
1–3 Sep 2021 Cadem 53 27 15 5

Discarded pairings

[edit]

Some polls evaluated a potential second round between candidates that participated in the first round of elections

Date Polling firm Type of poll Boric (CS) Sichel (I-ChV) Not voting Not sure
15 Oct 2021 Activa Likely voter 49.4 28.5 14.7 7.4
37.6 24.6 26.7 11.1
14 Oct 2021 Cadem 41 35 18 6
7 Oct 2021 UDD 37 26 37
1 Oct 2021 Activa Likely voter 43.9 31.2 16.3 8.6
33.4 28.0 27.0 11.6
16 Sept 2021 Feedback Likely voter 43 44 10 3
37 43 18 2
16 Sept 2021 Cadem 44 36 15 5
3 Sept 2021 Cadem 44 39 13 4
25 Aug 2021 UDD 31 30 30 9
30 Jul 2021 Feedback Likely voter 48 40 11 1
41 44 13 2
23 Jul 2021 Cadem 46 42 8 4
Date Polling firm Type of poll Boric (CS) Provoste (PDC) Not voting Not sure
15 Oct 2021 Activa Likely voter 38.6 30.8 23.0 7.6
31.3 25.8 11.4 31.4
14 Oct 2021 Cadem 39 35 21 5
1 Oct 2021 Activa Likely voter 39.6 26.1 25.7 8.6
30.9 22.7 33.7 12.7
16 Sept 2021 Feedback Likely voter 43 25 29 2
36 24 38 2
16 Sept 2021 Cadem 42 34 18 6
3 Sept 2021 Cadem 44 34 16 6
25 Aug 2021 UDD 31.2 24.0 37.9 6.9
30 Jul 2021 Feedback Likely voter 47 24 28 1
41 24 34 1
23 Jul 2021 Cadem 46 34 14 6
24 Jun 2021 Cadem 25 40 30 5
Date Polling firm Type of poll Provoste (PDC) Sichel (I-ChV) Not voting Not sure
14 Oct 2021 Cadem 40 35 20 5
16 Sept 2021 Feedback Likely voter 30 44 24 2
29 43 26 2
16 Sept 2021 Cadem 40 36 18 6
3 Sept 2021 Cadem 38 42 16 4
25 Aug 2021 UDD 27.1 32.8 33.1 7.0
30 Jul 2021 Feedback Likely voter 37 41 21 1
30 45 24 1
23 Jul 2021 Cadem 36 45 13 6
24 Jun 2021 Cadem 39 32 24 5
Date Polling firm Type of poll Provoste (PDC) J.A. Kast (PLR) Not voting Not sure
14 Oct 2021 Cadem 44 36 15 5
Date Polling firm Type of poll Sichel (I-ChV) J.A. Kast (PLR) Not voting Not sure
14 Oct 2021 Cadem 30 34 28 8

Some polls included candidates that eventually announced they would not run for office.

Date Polling firm Jadue (PC) F. Kast (EVO) Not voting Not sure
8 Jan 2021 Cadem 31 24 29 16
18 Nov 2020 Cadem 35 24 25 6
30 Oct 2020 Cadem 32 26 32 7
Date Polling firm Jiles (PH) F. Kast (EVO) Not voting Not sure
18 Nov 2020 Cadem 40 22 27 11
30 Oct 2020 Cadem 46 24 25 5
Date Polling firm Jadue (PC) J.A. Kast (PLR) Not voting Not sure
8 Jan 2021 Cadem 31 21 32 16
18 Nov 2020 Cadem 36 23 34 7
30 Oct 2020 Cadem 33 20 32 15
Date Polling firm Jiles (PH) J.A.Kast (PLR) Not voting Not sure
18 Nov 2020 Cadem 42 20 25 13
30 Oct 2020 Cadem 47 21 27 5
Date Polling firm Jadue (PC) Lavín (UDI) Not voting Not sure
24 Jun 2021 Cadem 32 39 23 6
20 May 2021 Cadem 35 37 25 3
8 Apr 2021 Cadem 30 46 19 5
18 Mar 2021 UDD 28.9 32.8 38.3
8 Jan 2021 Cadem 25 37 26 12
18 Nov 2020 Cadem 32 36 26 6
30 Oct 2020 Cadem 28 33 26 13
Date Polling firm Jiles (PH) Lavín (UDI) Not voting Not sure
18 Nov 2020 Cadem 35 35 22 8
30 Oct 2020 Cadem 36 36 23 5
Date Polling firm Muñoz (PPD) Lavín (UDI) Not voting Not sure
18 Nov 2020 Cadem 19 35 38 8
30 Oct 2020 Cadem 22 32 31 15
Date Polling firm Narváez (PS) Lavín (UDI) Not voting Not sure
18 Mar 2021 UDD 12.4 31.1 56.5
Date Polling firm Rincón (PDC) Lavín (UDI) Not voting Not sure
18 Nov 2020 Cadem 22 35 36 7
30 Oct 2020 Cadem 23 33 31 13
Date Polling firm Sánchez (I-FA) Lavín (UDI) Not voting Not sure
18 Nov 2020 Cadem 30 36 28 6
30 Oct 2020 Cadem 31 34 25 10
Date Polling firm Vidal (PPD) Lavín (UDI) Not voting Not sure
18 Nov 2020 Cadem 21 33 39 7
30 Oct 2020 Cadem 24 31 31 14
Date Polling firm Jadue (PC) Matthei (UDI) Not voting Not sure
18 Mar 2021 UDD 29.1 29.1 41.8
8 Jan 2021 Cadem 27 36 25 12
18 Nov 2020 Cadem 35 34 25 6
30 Oct 2020 Cadem 29 32 26 13
Date Polling firm Jiles (PH) Matthei (UDI) Not voting Not sure
18 Nov 2020 Cadem 38 33 20 9
30 Oct 2020 Cadem 44 32 23 5
Date Polling firm Narváez (PS) Matthei (UDI) Not voting Not sure
18 Mar 2021 UDD 12.7 27.5 59.8
Date Polling firm Jadue (PC) Sichel (I-ChV) Not voting Not sure
18 Mar 2021 UDD 29 24.9 46.1
8 Jan 2021 Cadem 25 30 27 17
18 Nov 2020 Cadem 31 35 27 7
30 Oct 2020 Cadem 29 20 33 18
Date Polling firm Jiles (PH) Sichel (I-ChV) Not voting Not sure
18 Nov 2020 Cadem 40 36 19 5
Date Polling firm Narváez (PS) Sichel (I-ChV) Not voting Not sure
18 Mar 2021 UDD 15.9 26.3 57.8

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b c d e Under Chilean law, polls can't be published two weeks before the election. However, some polling firms carried some surveys during the time and published the results internally or after the election.
  2. ^ The poll included the candidacies of Diego Ancalao and Gino Lorenzini, before being rejected by the Electoral Service. Ancalao obtained 1.5% of the preferences and Lorenzini 5.1%.
  3. ^ The poll included the candidacies of Diego Ancalao and Gino Lorenzini, before being rejected by the Electoral Service. Ancalao obtained 2% of the preferences and Lorenzini 7%.
  4. ^ The poll included the candidacies of Diego Ancalao and Gino Lorenzini, before being rejected by the Electoral Service. Ancalao obtained 1.1% of the preferences and Lorenzini 4.4%.
  5. ^ Incumbent president Sebastián Piñera is ineligible to run for reelection. However, he was mentioned in several occasions spontaneously, so his results are included in the table.

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "Gabriel Boric wins Chile presidential primary as protest generation takes centre stage". The Guardian. 2021-07-19. Retrieved 2021-07-27.
  2. ^ "Unidad Constituyente acuerda consulta ciudadana de manera presencial para el 21 de agosto". CNN Chile (in Spanish). Retrieved 2021-07-27.
  3. ^ Equipo de Política (21 August 2021). "Con escasa participación, Provoste (DC) se convierte en la abanderada de Unidad Constituyente". La Tercera (in Spanish). Archived from the original on 23 August 2021. Retrieved 23 August 2021.
  4. ^ "Culmina declaración de candidaturas para las Elecciones Generales de noviembre". Servicio Electoral de Chile (in Spanish). 23 August 2021. Archived from the original on 24 August 2021. Retrieved 14 August 2021.
  5. ^ "Conozca todas las fechas del ciclo electoral 2020-2022 – Servicio Electoral de Chile". Electoral Service of Chile (in Spanish). 3 July 2020. Retrieved 2021-03-23.
  6. ^ "Ex-protester, far-right lawmaker to meet in Chilean runoff". AP NEWS. 2021-11-22. Archived from the original on 8 December 2021. Retrieved 2021-12-08.
  7. ^ "Leftist Boric set to become new Chile president as Kast concedes defeat". Deutsche Welle. 2021-12-19. Archived from the original on 19 December 2021. Retrieved 2021-12-19.
  8. ^ "Leftist Gabriel Boric wins Chile presidential election". BBC News. 20 December 2021. Archived from the original on 20 December 2021. Retrieved 20 December 2021.
  9. ^ "Encuesta Pulso Ciudadano da ventaja de casi 14 puntos a Boric sobre Kast de cara a la segunda vuelta". 24 Horas. 2021-12-04. Retrieved 2021-12-05.
  10. ^ "Primeras encuestas de segunda vuelta dan ventaja a Boric frente a Kast (Lea aquí los estudios completos)". Ex-Ante. 2021-11-28. Retrieved 2021-12-05.

See also

[edit]
Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Opinion_polling_for_the_2021_Chilean_presidential_election&oldid=1234940209"