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Bristol North West (UK Parliament constituency)

Coordinates: 51°30′10″N 2°37′04″W / 51.50286°N 2.61783°W / 51.50286; -2.61783
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Bristol North West
Borough constituency
for the House of Commons
Map
Interactive map of boundaries from 2024
Map of constituency
Boundary of Bristol North West in South West England
CountyBristol
Population100,809 (2011 UK Census)[1]
Electorate76,783 (2023)[2]
Major settlementsAvonmouth, Sea Mills, Shirehampton
Current constituency
Created1950
Member of ParliamentDarren Jones (Labour)
SeatsOne
Created fromBristol West and Thornbury

Bristol North West is a constituency[a] represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament since 2017 by Darren Jones of the Labour Party.[b]

Constituency profile

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The seat covers northwest parts of Bristol, extending to the Severn Estuary.[3] It includes deprived areas such as Lawrence Weston and Southmead, as well as wealthier areas including Westbury-on-Trym and Stoke Bishop.[4]

History

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Bristol North West has traditionally been a Conservative–Labour swing seat. Party positions altered completely in 2010 with the Liberal Democrat candidate, Paul Harrod achieving second place with a slightly larger one party swing, of 11.4%, than winning candidate Charlotte Leslie and saw a fresh Labour Party candidate suffer a large decrease in percentage of the Labour vote of 20.8%.[c] This changed in 2015 with the Conservatives winning the seat with an increased majority of 9.5%, and Labour moving back into second place. In the snap 2017 general election, the seat was lost to the Labour Party on a swing of 9%.[5]

The 2017 win was a surprise to the successful Labour candidate Darren Jones. He attributed his win to three factors: Jeremy Corbyn and a well-received Labour manifesto, the youth vote, and Europe (the constituency had voted 61% remain in the Brexit referendum).[6] Jones was re-elected as MP for the constituency in 2019 with an increased majority.

Boundaries

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The constituency boundary extends into the Severn Estuary.[7]

1950–1955: The County Borough of Bristol wards of Avon, Durdham, Horfield, and Westbury-on-Trym.

1955–1983: The County Borough of Bristol wards of Avon, Henbury, Horfield, Southmead, and Westbury-on-Trym.

1983–1997: The City of Bristol wards of Avonmouth, Henbury, Horfield, Kingsweston, Lockleaze, Southmead, and Westbury-on-Trym, and the District of Northavon wards of Filton Charborough, Filton Conygre, Filton Northville, Stoke Gifford North, and Stoke Gifford South.

1997–2010: The City of Bristol wards of Avonmouth, Henbury, Horfield, Kingsweston, Lockleaze, and Southmead, and the South Gloucestershire wards of Filton Charborough, Filton Conygre, Filton Northville, Patchway Callicroft, Patchway Coniston, Patchway Stoke Lodge, Stoke Gifford North, and Stoke Gifford South.

2010–2024: The City of Bristol wards of Avonmouth, Henbury, Henleaze, Horfield, Kingsweston, Lockleaze, Southmead, Stoke Bishop, and Westbury-on-Trym.

Following the review by the Boundary Commission for England into parliamentary representation in the former county of Avon Somerset and Gloucestershire the constituency had boundary changes at the 2010 general election.[8] In particular, the constituency is now wholly contained within the City of Bristol: the areas of Filton, Patchway, Stoke Gifford, Bradley Stoke and Aztec West which are in the South Gloucestershire district were transferred to a new Filton and Bradley Stoke constituency. At the same time, the areas of Stoke Bishop, Henleaze and Westbury-on-Trym were gained from Bristol West.

2024–present: The City of Bristol wards of: Avonmouth & Lawrence Weston; Bishopston & Ashley Down; Henbury & Brentry; Horfield; Southmead; Stoke Bishop; and Westbury-on-Trym & Henleaze.[9]

Moderate boundary changes involving the gain of Bishopston and Ashley Down from Bristol West,[10] offset by the loss of Lockleaze moved into the re-established Bristol North East constituency.[11]

Members of Parliament

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Election Member[12] Party
1950 Gurney Braithwaite Conservative
1955 Christopher Boyd Labour
1959 Martin McLaren Conservative
1966 John Ellis Labour
1970 Martin McLaren Conservative
Oct 1974 Ronald Thomas Labour
1979 Michael Colvin Conservative
1983 Michael Stern Conservative
1997 Doug Naysmith Labour
2010 Charlotte Leslie Conservative
2017 Darren Jones Labour

Elections

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Elections in the 2020s

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General election 2024: Bristol North West[13][14]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Darren Jones 24,058 49.6 +0.7
Green Mary Page 8,389 17.3 +10.9
Conservative Laura Saunders[d] 6,773 14.0 −22.5
Reform UK Scarlett O'Connor 4,863 10.0 +9.9
Liberal Democrats Caroline Gooch 4,159 8.6 +0.5
SDP Ben Smith 222 0.5 N/A
Majority 15,669 32.3 +19.9
Turnout 48,464 64.7 −11.4
Registered electors 74,869
Labour hold Swing Decrease5.1

Elections in the 2010s

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2019 notional result[16]
Party Vote %
Labour 28,547 48.9
Conservative 21,312 36.5
Liberal Democrats 4,735 8.1
Green 3,728 6.4
Brexit Party 83 0.1
Turnout 58,405 76.1
Electorate 76,783
General election 2019: Bristol North West[17]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Darren Jones 27,330 48.9 −1.8
Conservative Mark Weston 21,638 38.7 −3.1
Liberal Democrats Chris Coleman 4,940 8.8 +3.6
Green Heather Mack 1,977 3.5 +1.2
Majority 5,692 10.2 +1.3
Turnout 55,885 73.3 +1.6
Labour hold Swing +0.7
General election 2017: Bristol North West [18][19][20][21]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Darren Jones 27,400 50.7 +16.3
Conservative Charlotte Leslie 22,639 41.8 −2.1
Liberal Democrats Celia Downie 2,814 5.2 −1.0
Green Sharmila Bousa (withdrawn) 1,243 2.3 −3.4
Majority 4,761 8.9 N/A
Turnout 54,096 71.7 +4.1
Labour gain from Conservative Swing +9.2
See also: Opinion polling in United Kingdom constituencies, 2010–15 § Bristol North West
General election 2015: Bristol North West[22]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Charlotte Leslie 22,767 43.9 +5.9
Labour Darren Jones 17,823 34.4 +8.5
UKIP Michael Frost 4,889 9.4 +7.1
Liberal Democrats Clare Campion-Smith 3,214 6.2 −25.3
Green Justin Quinnell 2,952 5.7 +4.7
TUSC Anne Lemon 160 0.3 N/A
Majority 4,944 9.5 +3.0
Turnout 51,805 67.6 −0.9
Conservative hold Swing -1.3
General election 2010: Bristol North West[23]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Charlotte Leslie 19,115 38.0 +5.5
Liberal Democrats Paul Harrod 15,841 31.5 +6.6
Labour Sam Townend 13,059 25.9 −12.2
UKIP Robert Upton 1,175 2.3 +0.7
English Democrat Ray Carr 635 1.3 −0.4
Green Alex Dunn 511 1.0 N/A
Majority 3,274 6.5 N/A
Turnout 50,336 68.5 −0.3
Conservative gain from Labour Swing +15.45[e]

Elections in the 2000s

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General election 2005: Bristol North West[24]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Co-op Doug Naysmith 22,192 46.7 −5.4
Conservative Alastair Watson 13,230 27.9 −0.8
Liberal Democrats Bob Hoyle 9,545 20.1 +4.2
UKIP Christopher Lees 1,132 2.4 −0.1
English Democrat Michael Blundell 828 1.7 N/A
Socialist Alternative Graeme Jones 565 1.2 N/A
Majority 8,962 18.8 −4.6
Turnout 47,492 61.1 +0.7
Labour Co-op hold Swing −2.3
General election 2001: Bristol North West[25]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Co-op Doug Naysmith 24,236 52.1 +2.2
Conservative Charles Hansard 13,349 28.7 −0.6
Liberal Democrats Peter Tyzack 7,387 15.9 +2.7
UKIP Diane Carr 1,140 2.5 N/A
Socialist Labour Vince Horrigan 371 0.8 −0.1
Majority 10,887 23.4 +2.8
Turnout 46,483 60.4 −13.3
Labour Co-op hold Swing +1.4

Elections in the 1990s

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General election 1997: Bristol North West[26]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Co-op Doug Naysmith 27,575 49.9 +7.6
Conservative Michael Stern 16,193 29.3 −13.0
Liberal Democrats Ian Parry 7,263 13.2 −1.0
Independent Labour Charles Horton 1,718 3.1 N/A
Referendum John Quintanillia 1,609 2.9 N/A
Socialist Labour Giles Shorter 482 0.9 N/A
BNP Stephen Parnell 265 0.5 N/A
Natural Law Thomas Leighton 140 0.3 N/A
Majority 11,382 20.6 N/A
Turnout 55,245 73.7 −8.6
Labour Co-op gain from Conservative Swing +10.3
General election 1992: Bristol North West[27][28]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Michael Stern 25,354 42.3 −4.3
Labour Co-op Doug Naysmith 25,309 42.3 +7.7
Liberal Democrats John D. Taylor 8,498 14.2 −4.6
Independent Ind SD Hilary S. Long 729 1.2 N/A
Majority 45 0.1 −12.0
Turnout 59,890 82.3 +2.9
Conservative hold Swing −6.0

Elections in the 1980s

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General election 1987: Bristol North West[29]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Michael Stern 26,953 46.6 +2.7
Labour Terence Walker 20,001 34.6 +2.0
SDP John Kirkaldy 10,885 18.8 −4.8
Majority 6,952 12.0 +0.7
Turnout 57,839 79.4 +2.5
Conservative hold Swing +2.7[f]
General election 1983: Bristol North West[30]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Michael Stern 24,617 43.9
Labour Co-op Sarah R. Palmer 18,290 32.6
SDP Hilary S. Long 13,228 23.6 N/A
Majority 6,327 11.3
Turnout 56,135 76.9
Conservative hold Swing -8.65[g]

Elections in the 1970s

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General election 1979: Bristol North West
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Michael Colvin 25,915 48.6 +7.7
Labour Ronald Thomas 21,238 39.8 −2.3
Liberal G.A. Davis 5,857 11.0 −6.0
National Front P.M. Kingston 264 0.5 N/A
More Prosperous Britain T.L. Keen 73 0.1 N/A
Majority 4,677 8.8 N/A
Turnout 53,347 81.3 +2.0
Conservative gain from Labour Swing +5.0
General election October 1974: Bristol North West
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Ronald Thomas 22,156 42.1 +3.5
Conservative Martin McLaren 21,523 40.9 +1.1
Liberal E. David 8,914 17.0 −3.9
Majority 633 1.2 N/A
Turnout 52,593 79.3 −3.2
Labour gain from Conservative Swing +1.2
General election February 1974: Bristol North West
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Martin McLaren 21,569 39.8 −7.8
Labour Ronald Thomas 20,919 38.6 −6.9
Liberal E. David 11,312 20.9 +14.4
Independent T.E. Wetherall 440 0.8 N/A
Majority 650 1.2 −0.9
Turnout 54,240 82.5 +4.5
Conservative hold Swing -0.5
General election 1970: Bristol North West
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Martin McLaren 24,124 47.6 −1.1
Labour John Ellis 23,075 45.5 −4.6
Liberal H.J. Stevens 3,299 6.5 N/A
Communist W.E. Williams 227 0.5 −0.7
Majority 1,049 2.1 N/A
Turnout 50,725 78.0 −4.0
Conservative gain from Labour Swing +1.75

Elections in the 1960s

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General election 1966: Bristol North West
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour John Ellis 24,195 50.1 +7.2
Conservative Martin McLaren 23,526 48.7 +3.6
Communist B. Underwood 595 1.2 N/A
Majority 669 1.4 N/A
Turnout 48,316 82.0 −1.1
Labour gain from Conservative Swing +1.8[h]
General election 1964: Bristol North West
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Martin McLaren 22,129 45.1 −6.9
Labour David Watkins 21,030 42.9 −5.1
Liberal T.G. Douglas 5,883 12.0 N/A
Majority 1,099 2.2 −1.8
Turnout 49,042 83.1 +0.2
Conservative hold Swing -0.9

Elections in the 1950s

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General election 1959: Bristol North West
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Martin McLaren 24,938 52.0 +3.9
Labour Christopher Boyd 23,019 48.0 −3.9
Majority 1,919 4.0 N/A
Turnout 47,957 82.9 +3.8
Conservative gain from Labour Swing +3.9
General election 1955: Bristol North West
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Christopher Boyd 22,950 51.9 +5.5
Conservative Gurney Braithwaite 21,295 48.1 −5.5
Majority 1,655 3.8 N/A
Turnout 44,245 79.1 −7.0
Labour gain from Conservative Swing +5.5
General election 1951: Bristol North West[31]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Gurney Braithwaite 28,394 53.6 +5.9
Labour Claud Morris 24,553 46.4 +3.7
Majority 3,841 7.2 +2.2
Turnout 52,947 86.1 +1.0
Conservative hold Swing +2.2[i]
General election 1950: Bristol North West[32]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Gurney Braithwaite 23,884 47.7
Labour Claud Morris 21,394 42.7
Liberal Frances Mary Pugh 4,784 9.6
Majority 2,490 5.0
Turnout 50,062 85.1
Conservative win (new seat)

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ A borough constituency (for the purposes of election expenses and type of returning officer)
  2. ^ As with all constituencies, the constituency elects one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first past the post system of election at least every five years.
  3. ^ This was one of the largest negative one-party swings for a Labour candidate nationally in 2010.
  4. ^ After nominations for the 2024 general election closed, the Conservative Party withdrew support for Laura Saunders on 25 June due to alleged placing of bets on the date of the election.[15]
  5. ^ Labour to Conservative: for Others to Conservative the swing was 10.1%
  6. ^ Others to Conservative; Labour to Conservative swing was 0.7%
  7. ^ Conservative to Liberal/SDP. Labour to Conservative: 2.5%
  8. ^ 4.6% swing Others to Labour
  9. ^ Others to Conservative swing: 5.9%

References

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  1. ^ "Bristol North West: Usual Resident Population, 2011". Neighbourhood Statistics. Office for National Statistics. Archived from the original on 4 March 2016. Retrieved 3 February 2015.
  2. ^ "The 2023 Review of Parliamentary Constituency Boundaries in England – Volume two: Constituency names, designations and composition – South West". Boundary Commission for England. Retrieved 27 June 2024.
  3. ^ Mapit https://mapit.mysociety.org/area/66009.html
  4. ^ Bristol Cable https://thebristolcable.org/2019/11/bristol-north-west-what-you-need-to-know-for-the-election/
  5. ^ "Bristol North West – 2017 Result". BBC News. Retrieved 12 June 2017.
  6. ^ Topping, Alexandra (30 June 2017). "Bristol North West: the bellwether seat where 'the Tories didn't turn up'". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077.
  7. ^ "Election Maps – Ordnance Survey". www.ordnancesurvey.co.uk/election-maps/gb/. Retrieved 26 March 2019.
  8. ^ "Parliamentary Constituencies in Bath and North East Somerset, Bristol, and South Gloucestershire" (PDF). Boundary Commission for England. 20 June 2001. Archived from the original (PDF) on 21 February 2010. Retrieved 1 October 2010.
  9. ^ "The Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023". Schedule 1 Part 7 South West region.
  10. ^ "New Seat Details – Bristol North West". www.electoralcalculus.co.uk. Retrieved 21 February 2024.
  11. ^ "South West | Boundary Commission for England". boundarycommissionforengland.independent.gov.uk. Retrieved 20 June 2023.
  12. ^ "Bristol North West 1950–". Parliamentary Debates (Hansard). Retrieved 2 February 2015.
  13. ^ "Statement of Persons Nominated and Notice of Poll". Bristol City Council. 7 June 2024. Retrieved 8 June 2024.
  14. ^ "Bristol North West – General election results 2024". BBC News. Retrieved 5 July 2024.
  15. ^ Mitchell, Archie (25 June 2024). "Rishi Sunak suspends candidates linked to election betting scandal". The Independent. Retrieved 25 June 2024.
  16. ^ "Notional results for a UK general election on 12 December 2019". Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News. UK Parliament. Retrieved 11 July 2024.
  17. ^ "Bristol North West Parliamentary election: BBC News".
  18. ^ Ashcroft, Esme (18 April 2017). "Bristol's four MPs will all be defending their seats in the general election". Bristol Post.
  19. ^ "Green MEP to stand for Bristol West in general election".
  20. ^ "General Election candidates revealed – News – Bristol 24/7". 11 May 2017.
  21. ^ "BBC Election Results". 9 June 2017. Retrieved 9 June 2017.
  22. ^ "Election Data 2015". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 17 October 2015. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
  23. ^ "Election Data 2010". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 26 July 2013. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
  24. ^ "Election Data 2005". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  25. ^ "Election Data 2001". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  26. ^ "Election Data 1997". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  27. ^ "Election Data 1992". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  28. ^ "Politics Resources". Election 1992. Politics Resources. 9 April 1992. Archived from the original on 24 July 2011. Retrieved 6 December 2010.
  29. ^ "Election Data 1987". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  30. ^ "Election Data 1983". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  31. ^ The Times' Guide to the House of Commons. 1951.
  32. ^ The Times' Guide to the House of Commons. 1950.
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51°30′10″N 2°37′04″W / 51.50286°N 2.61783°W / 51.50286; -2.61783

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