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2021 Virginia lieutenant gubernatorial election

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2021 Virginia lieutenant gubernatorial election
← 2017 November 2, 2021 2025 →
 
Nominee Winsome Sears Hala Ayala
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 1,658,332 1,608,030
Percentage 50.71% 49.17%
Sears:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Ayala:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%      No data
Lieutenant Governor before election

Justin Fairfax
Democratic

Elected Lieutenant Governor

Winsome Sears
Republican

Elections in Virginia
Federal government
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U.S. Senate
U.S. House
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Governor
Lieutenant Governor
Attorney General
Senate
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State elections
Ballot measures
Statewide
Fairfax County
2016
Alexandria
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(List)
Henrico County
Commonwealth's Attorney
Norfolk
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City Council

The 2021 Virginia lieutenant gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2021, to elect the next lieutenant governor of Virginia. Incumbent Democratic Lieutenant Governor Justin Fairfax was eligible to run for a second term, but instead unsuccessfully ran for the Democratic gubernatorial nomination.[1] On November 3, Hala Ayala conceded the race,[2] making Republican Winsome Sears the first black woman to be elected to the lieutenant governorship of Virginia or any statewide office, as well as the first woman elected lieutenant governor in Virginia's history. Sears was also the first Jamaican-American to become a lieutenant governor.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Hala Ayala
Governor

State delegates

Organizations

Mark Levine

Organizations

Newspapers

Andria McClellan

Federal officials

State senators

Individuals

Organizations

Sean Perryman
State delegates

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Sam Rasoul

Federal officials

State delegates

State senators

Individuals

Organizations

Newspapers

Xavier Warren
Organizations
Elizabeth Guzman (withdrawn)
State delegates

Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Hala Ayala Elizabeth Guzman Mark Levine Andria McClellan Sean Perryman Sam Rasoul Xavier Warren Other Undecided
Roanoke College[43] May 24 – June 1, 2021 637 (LV) ± 3.9% 16% 3% 7% 7% 3% 11% 2% – 45%
Christopher Newport University[44] April 11–20, 2021 806 (LV) ± 3.9% 2% 4% 2% 2% 1% 12% 2% 1% 64%

Results

[edit]
Results by county and independent city:
  Ayala
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Rasoul
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Levine
  •   30–40%
  Warren
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
Democratic primary results[45]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Hala Ayala 181,168 37.64%
Democratic Sam Rasoul 116,816 24.27%
Democratic Mark Levine 53,735 11.16%
Democratic Andria McClellan 51,015 10.60%
Democratic Sean Perryman 38,925 8.09%
Democratic Xavier Warren 19,909 4.13%
Democratic Elizabeth Guzmán (withdrawn) 19,803 4.11%
Total votes 481,365 100.00%

Republican convention

[edit]

After months of uncertainty, the Republican Party of Virginia State Central Committee decided to hold an "unassembled convention" to select their nominees for governor, lieutenant governor, and attorney general, as opposed to holding a state run primary. The convention was held May 8 using ranked choice voting.[46]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominated at convention

[edit]

Defeated at convention

[edit]
  • Puneet Ahluwalia, business consultant[48]
  • Lance Allen, security company executive[3]
  • Glenn Davis, member of the Virginia House of Delegates and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2017[3]
  • Tim Hugo, former member of the Virginia House of Delegates (2003–2020)[3]
  • Maeve Rigler, business executive[49]

Endorsements

[edit]
Tim Hugo

State delegates

Results

[edit]
Round-by-round result visualization of the ranked choice voting election
Virginia GOP Convention, Lieutenant Governor nominee[51]
Candidate Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4 Round 5
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Winsome Sears 4,075.68 32.5% 4,300.11 34.3% 4,626.70 36.9% 5,425.91 43.2% 6,827.89 54.4%
Tim Hugo 2,824.17 22.5% 2,987.20 23.8% 3,184.76 25.4% 3,816.11 30.4% 5,726.11 45.6%
Glenn Davis 2,536.77 20.2% 2,675.44 21.3% 2,838.05 22.6% 3,311.97 26.4% Eliminated
Lance Allen 1,538.80 12.3% 1701.82 13.6% 1,904.50 15.2% Eliminated
Puneet Ahluwalia 818.95 6.5% 889.43 7.1% Eliminated
Maeve Rigler 759.62 6.1% Eliminated

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Hala Ayala (D)

Federal officials

State officials

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

State legislators

Individuals

Organizations

Winsome Sears (R)

Federal officials

State officials

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

State legislators

Individuals

Organizations

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Hala
Ayala (D) 		Winsome
Sears (R) 		Other Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)[80] October 29–31, 2021 1,081 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 50% 1% 2%
Echelon Insights (R)[81] October 27–29, 2021 611 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 48% – 6%
Roanoke College[82] October 14–28, 2021 571 (LV) ± 4.7% 46% 44% 0% 10%
Washington Post/Schar School[83] October 20–26, 2021 1,107 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 44% 3%[b] 3%
918 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 46% 1%[c] 3%
Christopher Newport University[84] October 17–25, 2021 944 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 48% – 3%
Suffolk University[85] October 21–24, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 44% – 10%
co/efficient (R)[86][A] October 20–21, 2021 785 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 47% – 7%
Cygnal (R)[87] October 19–21, 2021 816 (LV) ± 3.4% 47% 47% – 6%
Virginia Commonwealth University[88] October 9–21, 2021 722 (LV) ± 6.4% 36% 35% 16% 13%
Data for Progress (D)[89] October 4–15, 2021 1,589 (LV) ± 2.0% 47% 42% 3% 8%
Christopher Newport University[90] September 27 – October 6, 2021 802 (LV) ± 4.2% 48% 44% – 8%
Roanoke College[91] September 12–26, 2021 603 (LV) ± 4.6% 45% 40% 1% 14%
KAConsulting LLC (R)[92][B] September 17–19, 2021 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 34% 24% 3% 40%
Virginia Commonwealth University[93] September 7–15, 2021 731 (LV) ± 6.9% 33% 30% 20% 16%
University of Mary Washington[94] September 7–13, 2021 1,000 (A) ± 3.1% 38% 38% 6%[d] 18%
528 (LV) ± 4.1% 41% 47% 2%[e] 10%
Monmouth University[95] August 24–29, 2021 802 (RV) ± 3.5% 43% 42% 2% 14%
Christopher Newport University[96] August 15–23, 2021 800 (LV) ± 3.6% 52% 42% 1% 6%
Roanoke College[97] August 3–17, 2021 558 (LV) ± 4.2% 42% 36% 2% 20%
Virginia Commonwealth University[98] August 4–15, 2021 770 (RV) ± 5.4% 38% 31% 19% 12%
~747 (LV) ± 5.5% 39% 31% 17% 12%
JMC Analytics and Polling (R)[99] June 9–12, 2021 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 42% 36% – 22%

Results

[edit]
Virginia lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2021[100]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Winsome Sears 1,658,332 50.71% +3.53%
Democratic Hala Ayala 1,608,030 49.17% −3.54%
Write-in 3,807 0.12% +0.03%
Total votes 3,270,169 100.00% N/A
Turnout
Registered electors 5,951,368
Republican gain from Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

Sears won 6 of 11 congressional districts, including two that were represented by Democrats.[101]

District Ayala Sears Representative
1st 41% 59% Rob Wittman
2nd 46% 54% Elaine Luria
3rd 62% 38% Bobby Scott
4th 57% 43% Donald McEachin
5th 40% 60% Bob Good
6th 34% 66% Ben Cline
7th 45% 55% Abigail Spanberger
8th 73% 27% Don Beyer
9th 26% 74% Morgan Griffith
10th 52% 47% Jennifer Wexton
11th 67% 33% Gerry Connolly

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Neither with 2%, Would not vote with 1%, Other with 0%
  3. ^ Neither with 1%, Other and Would not vote with 0%
  4. ^ None/Would not vote with 4%, other candidate with 2%
  5. ^ None/Would not vote and other candidate with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by Sears's campaign.
  2. ^ This poll was sponsored by the Presidential Coalition.

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Regardless of who won the election, it would have been the first time in Virginia history that a female became Lieutenant Governor. "Constitution of Virginia – Article V. Executive". law.lis.virginia.gov. Archived from the original on April 23, 2019. Retrieved April 23, 2019.
  2. ^ Ayala, Hala [@HalaAyala] (November 3, 2021). "Virginia, from the bottom of my heart, thank you. The results are in, and while they may not be what we had hoped for, this is just the beginning. (1/8)" (Tweet). Archived from the original on November 3, 2021. Retrieved November 9, 2021 – via Twitter.
  3. ^ a b c d e Olivo, Antonio; Vozzella, Laura (October 5, 2020). "Crowded field in 2021 Va. lieutenant governor's race". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on January 1, 2021. Retrieved December 28, 2020.
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  5. ^ Vozzella, Laura (December 21, 2020). "Del. Mark Levine joins the crowded race for Virginia lieutenant governor". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on December 22, 2020. Retrieved December 28, 2020.
  6. ^ Vozzella, Laura. "Norfolk City Council member Andria McClellan to run for Virginia lieutenant governor". Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Archived from the original on December 1, 2020. Retrieved December 1, 2020.
  7. ^ CAIN, ANDREW (October 13, 2020). "Fairfax NAACP leader Sean Perryman announces Democratic bid for LG". Richmond Times-Dispatch. Archived from the original on October 16, 2020. Retrieved October 14, 2020.
  8. ^ Domingo, Ida (October 20, 2020). "Delegate Sam Rasoul announces candidacy for Virginia Lt. Governor". WSET. Archived from the original on November 1, 2020. Retrieved October 20, 2020.
  9. ^ Baylor, Kaicey (September 22, 2020). "Pittsylvania County native announces candidacy for Virginia Lt. Governor". WSET. Archived from the original on October 7, 2021. Retrieved October 5, 2020.
  10. ^ Friedenberger, Amy (April 2021). "Paul Goldman drops out of lieutenant governor race". Roanoke Times. Archived from the original on April 19, 2021. Retrieved April 19, 2021.
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  17. ^ a b "STATE AND LOCAL CANDIDATES". Archived from the original on April 21, 2021. Retrieved April 30, 2021.
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  19. ^ "Here are the 30 candidates endorsed by the LGBTQ Victory Fund in 2021". Metro Weekly. February 24, 2021. Archived from the original on March 10, 2021. Retrieved February 24, 2021.
  20. ^ "Endorsing Incumbents (Including McAuliffe)". Falls Church News-Press. May 7, 2021. Archived from the original on May 7, 2021. Retrieved May 10, 2021. Our endorsement for governor in the June 8 Democratic primary, then, is McAuliffe.
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  22. ^ "Lynwood Lewis backing Andria McClellan in Democratic lieutenant governor race". The Augusta Free Press. January 13, 2021. Archived from the original on January 13, 2021. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
  23. ^ "Marsden endorses Andria McClellan for Democratic Party lieutenant governor nomination". The Augusta Free Press. February 12, 2021. Archived from the original on February 12, 2021. Retrieved February 12, 2021.
  24. ^ "Technology, innovation leaders endorse Andria McClellan for lieutenant governor". The Augusta Free Press. February 15, 2021. Archived from the original on February 17, 2021. Retrieved February 15, 2021.
  25. ^ "Nye endorses Andria McClellan in Democratic Party lieutenant governor race". Augusta Free Press. January 17, 2021. Archived from the original on January 17, 2021. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  26. ^ O’Connell, Michael (October 14, 2020). "Perryman Officially Enters VA Lieutenant Governor's Race". Reston, VA Patch. Archived from the original on October 17, 2020. Retrieved December 29, 2020.
  27. ^ a b c d e f g Creed, Wayne (May 16, 2021). "Perryman continues to gather momentum in bid for Lt. Governor". CAPE CHARLES MIRROR. Archived from the original on May 16, 2021. Retrieved May 16, 2021.
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  29. ^ "Lt. Governor Candidate Perryman Tours Downtown Leesburg". Loudon Now. April 15, 2021. Archived from the original on April 15, 2021. Retrieved April 15, 2021.
  30. ^ Our Black Party [@OurBlackParty] (June 4, 2021). "Our Black Party is proud to endorse @SeanPerrymanVA for LT. Gov. in the VA Primary on Tuesday, 6/8. Sean has consistently fought for Black communities as the President of the Fairfax NAACP and delivered results on criminal justice reform, and supporting Black-owned businesses. https://t.co/Js41YlGODY" (Tweet). Archived from the original on July 1, 2021. Retrieved November 9, 2021 – via Twitter.
  31. ^ Marans, Daniel (May 5, 2021). "Elizabeth Warren Endorses Sam Rasoul For Lt. Governor Of Virginia". HuffPost. Archived from the original on May 5, 2021. Retrieved May 5, 2021.
  32. ^ a b c d e f g h i j "Del. Cia Price endorses Del. Sam Rasoul for lieutenant governor". Augusta Free Press. April 19, 2021. Archived from the original on April 19, 2021. Retrieved May 1, 2021.
  33. ^ a b "Del. Sally Hudson endorses Del. Sam Rasoul for lieutenant governor". Augusta Free Press. May 4, 2021. Archived from the original on May 4, 2021. Retrieved May 4, 2021.
  34. ^ "Del. Kathy Tran endorses Del. Sam Rasoul for lieutenant governor". Augusta Free Press. May 7, 2021. Archived from the original on May 7, 2021. Retrieved May 7, 2021.
  35. ^ "Events – Virtual Fundraiser for Sam Rasoul for Virginia Lt. Governor". The Arab Daily News. December 13, 2020. Archived from the original on January 17, 2021. Retrieved December 29, 2020.
  36. ^ "Former Attorney General Mary Sue Terry endorses Sam Rasoul for lieutenant governor". Augusta Free Press. April 28, 2021. Archived from the original on April 28, 2021. Retrieved May 1, 2021.
  37. ^ a b "CASA in Action endorses Sam Rasoul for lieutenant governor". Augusta Free Press. April 29, 2021. Archived from the original on April 30, 2021. Retrieved May 1, 2021.
  38. ^ "Sunrise Virginia endorses Sam Rasoul in Democratic Party lieutenant governor race". Augusta Free Press. March 2, 2021. Archived from the original on October 7, 2021. Retrieved April 15, 2021.
  39. ^ Janfaza, Rachel (March 22, 2021). "Sunrise Movement endorses Jennifer Carroll Foy for Virginia governor". CNN. Archived from the original on March 22, 2021. Retrieved March 22, 2021.
  40. ^ The Washington Post Editorial Board (March 2, 2021). "Opinion: The Post's endorsements in Virginia's Democratic primary". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on October 7, 2021. Retrieved May 26, 2021.
  41. ^ a b c Cheslow, Daniella (October 5, 2020). "GOP's Tim Hugo And Del. Elizabeth Guzman File To Run For Virginia Lt. Gov". DCist. Archived from the original on December 21, 2020. Retrieved December 29, 2020.
  42. ^ "CASA in Action Endorses Elizabeth Guzman for Lieutenant Governor". casainaction.org. December 30, 2020. Archived from the original on March 10, 2021. Retrieved February 14, 2021.
  43. ^ Roanoke College
  44. ^ Christopher Newport University
  45. ^ "Virginia Primary Election Results". Archived from the original on June 9, 2021. Retrieved June 9, 2021.
  46. ^ "Unorthodox Republican contest for Virginia governor breeds confusion, suspicion". Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Archived from the original on April 9, 2021. Retrieved July 1, 2021.
  47. ^ Ley, Ana (January 21, 2021). "Winsome E. Sears, once a local Republican on the rise, announces bid for lieutenant governor". The Virginian Pilot. Archived from the original on January 23, 2021. Retrieved January 21, 2021.
  48. ^ Cain, Andrew (September 28, 2020). "Northern Virginia business consultant Puneet Ahluwalia announces GOP run for LG". The Richmond Times-Dispatch. Archived from the original on January 30, 2021. Retrieved December 28, 2020.
  49. ^ "2021 Nomination". Republican Party of Virginia. Archived from the original on March 25, 2021. Retrieved March 26, 2021.
  50. ^ "Bell endorses Hugo for lieutenant governor". CBS 19 News. Archived from the original on January 20, 2021. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
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  52. ^ "U.S. President Joe Biden participates in a campaign event with candidate for Lieutenant Governor of Virginia, Hala Ayala, at Lubber Run Park in Arlington, Virginia, U.S., July 23, 2021. REUTERS/Evelyn Hockstein REFILE – QUALITY REPEAT Stock Photo – Alamy". www.alamy.com. Archived from the original on October 3, 2021. Retrieved October 3, 2021.
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  57. ^ "Get Out the Early Vote at UVA with Blake Cooper Griffin · Terry for Virginia".
  58. ^ Harrison, Jaime [@harrisonjaime] (June 9, 2021). "Congratulations to @HalaAyala and @MarkHerringVA on their victories in Virginia last night! Looking forward to working with both as we win up and down the ballot this November! @vademocrats" (Tweet). Archived from the original on July 1, 2021. Retrieved November 9, 2021 – via Twitter.
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  61. ^ "Our Candidates".
  62. ^ Team Winsome [@WinWithWinsome] (November 2, 2021). "Thank you to @RealBenCarson for his strong endorsement of the Youngkin/Sears ticket for VA! Proud to have Dr. Carson's support in this race to save our state. https://t.co/YQNIXNInFs" (Tweet). Archived from the original on November 4, 2021. Retrieved November 9, 2021 – via Twitter.
  63. ^ "Ken Cuccinelli predicts Glenn Youngkin win, Republican sweep of Virginia election". Fox News. October 25, 2021.
  64. ^ a b "Winsome Sears Shocks Race for Lieutenant Governor, Receives Endorsement of Amanda Chase and Octavia Johnson". March 30, 2021. Archived from the original on June 24, 2021. Retrieved June 20, 2021.
  65. ^ Senator Tim Scott: A Vote for Youngkin and Sears is a Vote for Parents and Their Kids. Opportunity Matters Fund. October 29, 2021. Archived from the original on November 4, 2021. Retrieved November 9, 2021 – via YouTube.
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  68. ^ Democratic Party of Virginia (May 11, 2021). "Virginia Republicans Nominate Amanda Chase's Pick for Lieutenant Governor". Archived from the original on May 11, 2021.
  69. ^ "Amanda Chase endorses Sears". March 30, 2021. Archived from the original on June 24, 2021. Retrieved June 20, 2021.
  70. ^ "Political newcomer Youngkin, former delegate Sears win Virginia GOP races". Associated Press. May 12, 2021. Archived from the original on October 7, 2021. Retrieved July 18, 2021.
  71. ^ "Candidate Profile for Winsome Sears". ivoterguide.com. Archived from the original on June 30, 2021. Retrieved October 7, 2021.
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  75. ^ "NRA-PVF | Grades | Virginia". nrapvf.org. Archived from the original on November 2, 2021.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
  76. ^ "NRA Endorses Miyares and Sears in Virginia". NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on July 23, 2021. Retrieved July 23, 2021. ...the National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund (NRA-PVF) is proud to endorse Jason Miyares for attorney general and Winsome Sears for lieutenant governor of Virginia.
  77. ^ Times-Dispatch, MEL LEONOR Richmond (July 22, 2021). "NRA skips Youngkin endorsement, backs other GOP statewide candidates". Richmond Times-Dispatch. Archived from the original on July 23, 2021. Retrieved July 23, 2021.(subscription required)
  78. ^ "National Republican group says they are investing another $100K in Winsome Sears for lieutenant governor". September 22, 2021. Archived from the original on September 23, 2021.
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  80. ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
  81. ^ Echelon Insights (R) Archived 2021-10-29 at the Wayback Machine
  82. ^ Roanoke College
  83. ^ Washington Post/Schar School
  84. ^ Christopher Newport University
  85. ^ Suffolk University
  86. ^ co/efficient (R)
  87. ^ Cygnal (R)
  88. ^ Virginia Commonwealth University
  89. ^ Data for Progress (D)
  90. ^ Christopher Newport University
  91. ^ Roanoke College
  92. ^ KAConsulting LLC (R)
  93. ^ Virginia Commonwealth University
  94. ^ University of Mary Washington
  95. ^ Monmouth University
  96. ^ Christopher Newport University
  97. ^ Roanoke College
  98. ^ Virginia Commonwealth University
  99. ^ JMC Analytics and Polling (R)
  100. ^ "2021 November General". results.elections.virginia.gov. Archived from the original on April 12, 2022. Retrieved November 3, 2021.
  101. ^ "Dra 2020".
[edit]

Official campaign websites

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